Evidence map›Paper›PMID 35428680›Full record

ArticleBMJ global health2022

Derivation and validation of a novel risk assessment tool to identify children aged 2-59 months at risk of hospitalised pneumonia-related mortality in 20 countries.

Chris A Rees, Tim Colbourn, Shubhada Hooli, Carina King, Norman Lufesi, Eric D McCollum, Charles Mwansambo, Clare Cutland, Shabir Ahmed Madhi, Marta Nunes and 48 more

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Article in BMJ global health, 2022. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Cited by 24 papers, 1 of them a synthesis that pooled it.

0numbers the graph read from it
0cells of the map it votes in
24citing papers in PubMed, 1 pooled it
–field-weighted citation impact
1 · What the graph read from it

What it found

Each row is one number read from the abstract, on the scale the paper reported it, with its interval. Left of the dashed line favours the treatment, right favours the comparator. Under each row is the sentence it came from. New to these charts? A ten-minute tutorial.

The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.

2 · The registry

The trial behind it

Trials whose registry record cites this paper, or whose number appears in the abstract. A trial that started after this paper was published is citing it as background, not reporting it.

Neither the registry nor the abstract names a trial number. If this is a trial report, that itself is worth knowing.

3 · Its place in the literature

Who cites it

24 citing papers in PubMed, 1 synthesis or guideline pooled it.

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4 · The record

Corrections and comments

PubMed lists nothing against this paper. Absence here is not a guarantee, only a check that was made.

5 · Who and what money

Authors and funding

58 authors.

Chris A ReesDivision of Pediatric Emergency Medicine, Emory University School of Medicine, Children's Healthcare of Atlanta, Atlanta, Georgia, USA.
Tim ColbournInstitute for Global Health, University College London, London, UK.ORCID 0000-0002-6917-6552
Shubhada HooliSection of Pediatric Emergency Medicine, Texas Children's Hospital, Baylor College of Medicine, Houston, Texas, USA.
Carina KingDepartment of Global Public Health, Karolinska Institutet, Stockholm, Sweden.
Norman LufesiAcute Respiratory Illness Unit, Government of Malawi Ministry of Health, Lilongwe, Malawi.
Eric D McCollumGlobal Program in Respiratory Sciences, Eudowood Division of Pediatric Respiratory Sciences, Department of Pediatrics, Johns Hopkins School of Medicine, Baltimore, Maryland, USA.ORCID 0000-0002-1872-5566
Charles MwansamboAcute Respiratory Illness Unit, Government of Malawi Ministry of Health, Lilongwe, Malawi.
Clare CutlandSouth African Medical Research Council: Vaccines and Infectious Diseases Analytics Research Unit, School of Pathology, Faculty of Health Sciences, University of the Witwatersrand, Johannesburg-Braamfontein, South Africa.
Shabir Ahmed MadhiSouth African Medical Research Council: Vaccines and Infectious Diseases Analytics Research Unit, School of Pathology, Faculty of Health Sciences, University of the Witwatersrand, Johannesburg-Braamfontein, South Africa.ORCID 0000-0002-7629-0636
Marta NunesSouth African Medical Research Council: Vaccines and Infectious Diseases Analytics Research Unit, School of Pathology, Faculty of Health Sciences, University of the Witwatersrand, Johannesburg-Braamfontein, South Africa.
Joseph L MatthewAdvanced Pediatrics Centre, Postgraduate Institute of Medical Education and Research, Chandigarh, India.
Emmanuel Addo-YoboDepartment of Pediatrics, Komfo Anokye Teaching Hospital, Kumasi, Ghana.
Noel ChisakaWorld Bank, World Bank, Washington, District of Columbia, USA.
Mumtaz HassanDepartment of Pediatrics, Children's Hospital, Islamabad, Pakistan.
Patricia L HibberdDepartment of Global Health, Boston University School of Public Health, Boston, Massachusetts, USA.
Prakash M JeenaDepartment of Paediatrics and Child Health, University of KwaZulu-Natal Nelson R Mandela School of Medicine, Durban, South Africa.
Juan M LozanoDivision of Medical and Population Health Science Education and Research, Florida International University, Miami, Florida, USA.
William B MacLeodDepartment of Global Health, Boston University School of Public Health, Boston, Massachusetts, USA.
Archana PatelLata Medical Research Foundation, Nagpur and Datta Meghe Institute of Medical Sciences, Sawangi, India.
Donald M TheaDepartment of Global Health, Boston University School of Public Health, Boston, Massachusetts, USA.
Ngoc Tuong Vy NguyenDepartment of Pediatrics, Children Hospital No 1, Ho Chi Minh City, Viet Nam.
Cissy B KartasasmitaDepartment of Child Health, Faculty of Medicine, Universitas Padjadjaran, Bandung, Indonesia.
Marilla LuceroDepartment of Pediatrics, Research Institute for Tropical Medicine, Muntinlupa City, Philippines.
Shally AwasthiDepartment of Pediatrics, King George's Medical University, Lucknow, Uttar Pradesh, India.
Ashish BavdekarDepartment of Pediatrics, KEM Hospital Pune, Pune, India.
Monidarin ChouRodolph Mérieux Laboratory, Faculty of Medicine, University of Health Sciences, Phnom Penh, Cambodia.
Pagbajabyn NymadawaDepartment of Pediatrics, Mongolian Academy of Sciences, Ulaanbaatar, Mongolia.
Jean-William PapeDepartment of Pediatrics, GHESKIO, Port-au-Prince, Haiti.
Glaucia Paranhos-BaccalaPediatrics, Fondation Merieux, Lyon, France.
Valentina S PicotPediatrics, Fondation Merieux, Lyon, France.
Mala Rakoto-AndrianariveloCentre d'Infectiologie, Charles Mérieux, Antanarivo, Madagascar.
Vanessa RouzierDepartment of Pediatrics, GHESKIO, Port-au-Prince, Haiti.
Graciela RussomandoDepartamento de Biología Molecular y Genética, Instituto de Investigaciones en Ciencias de la Salud, Asuncion, Paraguay.
Mariam SyllaDepartment of Pediatrics, Gabriel Touré University Hospital Center, Bamako, Mali.
Philippe VanhemsUnité d'Hygiène, Epidémiologie, Infectiovigilance et Prévention, Hospices Civils de Lyon, Lyon, France.
Jianwei WangMOH Key Laboratory of Systems Biology of Pathogens and Dr Christophe Mérieux Laboratory, Chinese Academy of Medical Sciences & Peking Union, Beijing, China.
Rai AsgharDepartment of Paediatrics, Rawalpindi Medical College, Rawalpindi, Pakistan.
Salem BanajehDepartment of Pediatrics, Sana'a University, Sana'a, Yemen.
Imran IqbalDepartment of Pediatrics, Nishtar Medical College, Multan, Pakistan.
Irene Maulen-RadovanDivision de Investigacion Insurgentes, Instituto Nactional de Pediatria, Mexico City, Mexico.
Greta Mino-LeonInfectious Diseases, Children's Hospital Dr Francisco de Ycaza Bustamante, Guayaquil, Ecuador.
Samir K SahaChild Health Research Foundation, Dhaka Shishu Hosp, Dhaka, Bangladesh.
Mathuram SantoshamInternational Vaccine Access Center (IVAC), Department of International Health, Johns Hopkins University Bloomberg School of Public Health, Baltimore, Maryland, USA.
Sunit SinghiDepartment of Pediatrics, Medanta, The Medicity, Gurgaon, India.
Sudha BasnetDepartment of Pediatrics, Tribhuvan University Institute of Medicine, Kathmandu, Nepal.
Tor A StrandDepartment of Research, Innlandet Hospital Trust, Lillehammer, Norway.
Shinjini BhatnagarDepartment of Maternal and Child Health, Translational Health Science and Technology Institute, Faridabad, India.
Nitya WadhwaDepartment of Maternal and Child Health, Translational Health Science and Technology Institute, Faridabad, India.
Rakesh LodhaDepartment of Pediatrics, All India Institute of Medical Sciences, New Delhi, India.
Satinder AnejaDepartment of Pediatrics, Sharda University School of Medical Sciences and Research, Greater Noida, Uttar Pradesh, India.
Alexey W ClaraCentral American Region, Centers for Disease Control and Prevention, Atlanta, Georgia, USA.
Harry CampbellPopulation Health Sciences and Informati, The University of Edinburgh, Edinburgh, UK.
Harish NairCentre for Global Health, Usher Institute, The University of Edinburgh, Edinburgh, Scotland.
Jennifer FalconerCentre for Global Health, Usher Institute, The University of Edinburgh, Edinburgh, Scotland.
Shamim A QaziDepartment of Maternal, Newborn, Child, and Adolescent Health (Retired), World Health Organization, Geneva, Switzerland.
Yasir B NisarDepartment of Maternal, Newborn, Child and Adolescent Health and Ageing, World Health Organization, Geneva, Switzerland nisary@who.int.
Mark I NeumanDivision of Emergency Medicine, Boston Children's Hospital, Harvard Medical School, Boston, Massachusetts, USA.
World Health Organization PREPARE study group

Funding

Gates Foundation INV-007927World Health Organization 001
6 · The paper itself

Abstract

introductionExisting risk assessment tools to identify children at risk of hospitalised pneumonia-related mortality have shown suboptimal discriminatory value during external validation. Our objective was to derive and validate a novel risk assessment tool to identify children aged 2-59 months at risk of hospitalised pneumonia-related mortality across various settings.

methodsWe used primary, baseline, patient-level data from 11 studies, including children evaluated for pneumonia in 20 low-income and middle-income countries. Patients with complete data were included in a logistic regression model to assess the association of candidate variables with the outcome hospitalised pneumonia-related mortality. Adjusted log coefficients were calculated for each candidate variable and assigned weighted points to derive the Pneumonia Research Partnership to Assess WHO Recommendations (PREPARE) risk assessment tool. We used bootstrapped selection with 200 repetitions to internally validate the PREPARE risk assessment tool.

resultsA total of 27 388 children were included in the analysis (mean age 14.0 months, pneumonia-related case fatality ratio 3.1%). The PREPARE risk assessment tool included patient age, sex, weight-for-age z-score, body temperature, respiratory rate, unconsciousness or decreased level of consciousness, convulsions, cyanosis and hypoxaemia at baseline. The PREPARE risk assessment tool had good discriminatory value when internally validated (area under the curve 0.83, 95% CI 0.81 to 0.84).

conclusionsThe PREPARE risk assessment tool had good discriminatory ability for identifying children at risk of hospitalised pneumonia-related mortality in a large, geographically diverse dataset. After external validation, this tool may be implemented in various settings to identify children at risk of hospitalised pneumonia-related mortality.

Indexed as

PneumoniaChildHumansIncomeInfantRisk AssessmentPaediatricsPneumonia

Identifiers

PMID35428680
PMCPMC9014031

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