Evidence map›Paper›PMID 35422134›Full record

Trial reportThe Journal of urology2022

Results from 22 years of Followup in the Göteborg Randomized Population-Based Prostate Cancer Screening Trial.

Maria Frånlund, Marianne Månsson, Rebecka Arnsrud Godtman, Gunnar Aus, Erik Holmberg, Karin Stinesen Kollberg, Pär Lodding, Carl-Gustaf Pihl, Johan Stranne, Hans Lilja and 1 more

Open access · hybridAbstract readRandomized Controlled Trial
In one paragraph

Trial report in The Journal of urology, 2022. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Cited by 63 papers, 4 of them syntheses that pooled it.

0numbers the graph read from it
0cells of the map it votes in
63citing papers in PubMed, 4 pooled it
11.9field-weighted citation impact, top 1% of its field
1 · What the graph read from it

What it found

Each row is one number read from the abstract, on the scale the paper reported it, with its interval. Left of the dashed line favours the treatment, right favours the comparator. Under each row is the sentence it came from. New to these charts? A ten-minute tutorial.

The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.

2 · The registry

The trial behind it

Trials whose registry record cites this paper, or whose number appears in the abstract. A trial that started after this paper was published is citing it as background, not reporting it.

Neither the registry nor the abstract names a trial number. If this is a trial report, that itself is worth knowing.

3 · Its place in the literature

Who cites it

63 citing papers in PubMed, 4 syntheses or guidelines pooled it, 82 citations in OpenAlex.

  1. Pooled it
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  4. Pooled it
  5. Trial
  6. European Cancer Prevention Organization on cancer screening: an expert panel position paper.European journal of cancer prevention : the official journal of the European Cancer Prevention Organisation (ECP) · 2026
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3 more citing papers are in PubMed but not listed here.

4 · The record

Corrections and comments

  • Commented on by
    2023
5 · Who and what money

Authors and funding

11 authors at 3 institutions in 3 countries.

Maria FrånlundDepartment of Urology, Institute of Clinical Sciences, Sahlgrenska Academy at University of Gothenburg, Sahlgrenska University Hospital, Gothenburg, Sweden.ORCID 0000-0002-7827-5392
Marianne MånssonDepartment of Urology, Institute of Clinical Sciences, Sahlgrenska Academy at University of Gothenburg, Sahlgrenska University Hospital, Gothenburg, Sweden.
Rebecka Arnsrud GodtmanDepartment of Urology, Institute of Clinical Sciences, Sahlgrenska Academy at University of Gothenburg, Sahlgrenska University Hospital, Gothenburg, Sweden.
Gunnar AusDepartment of Urology, Carlanderska Hospital, Gothenburg, Sweden.
Erik HolmbergDepartment of Oncology, Institute of Clinical Sciences, Sahlgrenska Academy at University of Gothenburg, Sahlgrenska University Hospital, Gothenburg, Sweden.
Karin Stinesen KollbergDepartment of Urology, Institute of Clinical Sciences, Sahlgrenska Academy at University of Gothenburg, Sahlgrenska University Hospital, Gothenburg, Sweden.
Pär LoddingDepartment of Urology, Institute of Clinical Sciences, Sahlgrenska Academy at University of Gothenburg, Sahlgrenska University Hospital, Gothenburg, Sweden.
Carl-Gustaf PihlDepartment of Pathology, Institute of Biomedicine, Sahlgrenska Academy at University of Gothenburg, Sahlgrenska University Hospital, Gothenburg, Sweden.
Johan StranneDepartment of Urology, Institute of Clinical Sciences, Sahlgrenska Academy at University of Gothenburg, Sahlgrenska University Hospital, Gothenburg, Sweden.
Hans LiljaDepartment of Surgery (Urology Service), Memorial Sloan Kettering Cancer Center, New York, New York.
Jonas HugossonDepartment of Urology, Institute of Clinical Sciences, Sahlgrenska Academy at University of Gothenburg, Sahlgrenska University Hospital, Gothenburg, Sweden.
Sahlgrenska University Hospital · SECarlanderska Sjukhuset · SEMemorial Sloan Kettering Cancer Center · US

Funding

X-RAY CRYSTALLOGRAPHYP30CA008748 · NCI · SLOAN-KETTERING INSTITUTE FOR CANCER RES · PI Hongbiao Carl Lekaye · 1985 to 2026
$347.4M
SPORE In Prostate CancerP50CA092629 · NCI · SLOAN-KETTERING INSTITUTE FOR CANCER RES · PI JAMES A EASTHAM · 2001 to 2026
$63.0M
NCI NIH HHS P30 CA008748NCI NIH HHS P50 CA092629
6 · The paper itself

Abstract

purposeOur goal was to analyze results from 22 years of followup in the Göteborg randomized prostate cancer (PC) screening trial. MATERIALS AND

methodsIn December 1994, 20,000 men born 1930-1944 were randomly extracted from the Swedish population register and were randomized (1:1) into either a screening group (SG) or to a control group (CG). Men in the SG were repeatedly invited for biennial prostate specific antigen testing up to an average age of 69 years. Main endpoints were PC incidence and mortality (intention-to-screen principle).

resultsAfter 22 years, 1,528 men in the SG and 1,124 men in the CG had been diagnosed with PC. In total, 112 PC deaths occurred in the SG and 158 in the CG. Compared with the CG, the SG showed a PC incidence rate ratio (RR) of 1.42 (95% CI, 1.31-1.53) and a PC mortality RR of 0.71 (95% CI, 0.55-0.91). The 22-year cumulative PC mortality rate was 1.55% (95% CI, 1.29-1.86) in the SG and 2.13% (95% CI, 1.83-2.49) in the CG. Correction for nonattendance (Cuzick method) yielded a RR of PC mortality of 0.59 (95% CI, 0.43-0.80). Number needed to invite and number needed to diagnose was estimated to 221 and 9, respectively. PC death risk was increased in the following groups: nontesting men, men entering the program after age 60 and men with >10 years of followup after screening termination.

conclusionsProstate specific antigen-based screening substantially decreases PC mortality. However, not attending, starting after age 60 and stopping at age 70 seem to be major pitfalls regarding PC death risk.

Indexed as

Prostate-Specific AntigenProstatic NeoplasmsAgedEarly Detection of CancerHumansIncidenceMaleMass ScreeningMiddle AgedProstate-Specific Antigenepidemiologymass screeningmortalityprostate-specific antigenprostatic neoplasms

Identifiers

PMID35422134
PMCPMC9275849
OpenAlexW4223974106

What OpenQuestion holds

Textmetadata
LicenceTDM
Read underepoch 390

Registered trials

None linked

Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the OpenQuestion graph.