Evidence map›Paper›PMID 35417500›Full record

ArticlePloS one2022

COVID-19 community spread and consequences for prison case rates.

Katherine LeMasters, Shabbar Ranapurwala, Morgan Maner, Kathryn M Nowotny, Meghan Peterson, Lauren Brinkley-Rubinstein

Open access · goldAbstract read
In one paragraph

Article in PloS one, 2022. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Cited by 21 papers, 1 of them a synthesis that pooled it.

0numbers the graph read from it
0cells of the map it votes in
21citing papers in PubMed, 1 pooled it
13.0field-weighted citation impact, top 1% of its field
1 · What the graph read from it

What it found

Each row is one number read from the abstract, on the scale the paper reported it, with its interval. Left of the dashed line favours the treatment, right favours the comparator. Under each row is the sentence it came from. New to these charts? A ten-minute tutorial.

The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.

2 · The registry

The trial behind it

Trials whose registry record cites this paper, or whose number appears in the abstract. A trial that started after this paper was published is citing it as background, not reporting it.

Neither the registry nor the abstract names a trial number. If this is a trial report, that itself is worth knowing.

3 · Its place in the literature

Who cites it

21 citing papers in PubMed, 1 synthesis or guideline pooled it, 33 citations in OpenAlex.

  1. Pooled it
  2. State-of-the-Art Review: The Intersection of Infectious Diseases and Carceral Medicine.Clinical infectious diseases : an official publication of the Infectious Diseases Society of America · 2025
    Review
  3. Review
  4. Article
  5. Carceral Health Care.The New England journal of medicine · 2025
    Review
  6. Article
  7. Article
  8. Rates of SARS-CoV-2 transmission between and into California state prisons.medRxiv : the preprint server for health sciences · 2023
    Article
  9. Article
  10. Article
  11. Article
  12. COVID-19 dynamics in an Ohio prison.Frontiers in public health · 2023
    Article
  13. Article
  14. Article
  15. Review
  16. Article
  17. Article
  18. Article
  19. Article
  20. Article
4 · The record

Corrections and comments

PubMed lists nothing against this paper. Absence here is not a guarantee, only a check that was made.

5 · Who and what money

Authors and funding

6 authors at 2 institutions in 1 country.

Katherine LeMastersDepartment of Epidemiology, Gillings School of Global Public Health, University of North Carolina at Chapel Hill, Chapel Hill, NC, United States of America.ORCID 0000-0002-1754-1730
Shabbar RanapurwalaDepartment of Epidemiology, Gillings School of Global Public Health, University of North Carolina at Chapel Hill, Chapel Hill, NC, United States of America.
Morgan ManerCenter for Health Equity Research, Department of Social Medicine, School of Medicine, University of North Carolina at Chapel Hill, Chapel Hill, NC, United States of America.ORCID 0000-0002-3436-7359
Kathryn M NowotnyDepartment of Sociology, University of Miami, Miami, FL, United States of America.
Meghan PetersonCenter for Health Equity Research, Department of Social Medicine, School of Medicine, University of North Carolina at Chapel Hill, Chapel Hill, NC, United States of America.
Lauren Brinkley-RubinsteinCenter for Health Equity Research, Department of Social Medicine, School of Medicine, University of North Carolina at Chapel Hill, Chapel Hill, NC, United States of America.
University of North Carolina at Chapel Hill · USUniversity of Miami · US

Funding

POPULATION STUDIEST32HD007168 · NICHD · UNIV OF NORTH CAROLINA CHAPEL HILL · PI ELIZABETH A FRANKENBERG · 1985 to 2026
$13.8M
The Lifespan/Brown Criminal Justice Research Program on Substance Use and HIVR25DA037190 · NIDA · MIRIAM HOSPITAL · PI CURT G BECKWITH · 2014 to 2026
$3.5M
AHRQ HHS T32 HS000032NICHD NIH HHS T32 HD007168NIDA NIH HHS R25 DA037190
6 · The paper itself

Abstract

backgroundCOVID-19 and mass incarceration are closely intertwined with prisons having COVID-19 case rates much higher than the general population. COVID-19 has highlighted the relationship between incarceration and health, but prior work has not explored how COVID-19 spread in communities have influenced case rates in prisons. Our objective was to understand the relationship between COVID-19 case rates in the general population and prisons located in the same county.

methodsUsing North Carolina's (NC) Department of Health and Human Services data, this analysis examines all COVID-19 tests conducted in NC from June-August 2020. Using interrupted time series analysis, we assessed the relationship between substantial community spread (50/100,000 detected in the last seven days) and active COVID-19 case rates (cases detected in the past 14 days/100,000) within prisons.

resultsFrom June-August 2020, NC ordered 29,605 tests from prisons and detected 1,639 cases. The mean case rates were 215 and 427 per 100,000 in the general and incarcerated population, respectively. Once counties reached substantial COVID-19 spread, the COVID-19 prison case rate increased by 118.55 cases per 100,000 (95% CI: -3.71, 240.81).

conclusionsCommunity COVID-19 spread contributes to COVID-19 case rates in prisons. In counties with prisons, community spread should be closely monitored. Stringent measures within prisons (e.g., vaccination) and decarceration should be prioritized to prevent COVID-19 outbreaks.

Indexed as

COVID-19PrisonersDisease OutbreaksHumansPrisonsSARS-CoV-2

Identifiers

PMID35417500
PMCPMC9007382
OpenAlexW4223917156

What OpenQuestion holds

Textmetadata
LicenceCC BY
Read underepoch 390

Registered trials

None linked

Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the OpenQuestion graph.