Evidence map›Paper›PMID 35411507›Full record

ReviewPharmaceutical research2022

Role of Disease Progression Models in Drug Development.

Jeffrey S Barrett, Tim Nicholas, Karim Azer, Brian W Corrigan

Abstract readReview
In one paragraph

Review in Pharmaceutical research, 2022. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Cited by 21 papers, 2 of them syntheses that pooled it.

0numbers the graph read from it
0cells of the map it votes in
21citing papers in PubMed, 2 pooled it
–field-weighted citation impact
1 · What the graph read from it

What it found

Each row is one number read from the abstract, on the scale the paper reported it, with its interval. Left of the dashed line favours the treatment, right favours the comparator. Under each row is the sentence it came from. New to these charts? A ten-minute tutorial.

The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.

2 · The registry

The trial behind it

Trials whose registry record cites this paper, or whose number appears in the abstract. A trial that started after this paper was published is citing it as background, not reporting it.

Neither the registry nor the abstract names a trial number. If this is a trial report, that itself is worth knowing.

3 · Its place in the literature

Who cites it

21 citing papers in PubMed, 2 syntheses or guidelines pooled it.

  1. Pooled it
  2. In Silico Clinical Trials in Drug Development: A Systematic Review.Therapeutic innovation & regulatory science · 2026
    Pooled it
  3. Article
  4. Review
  5. Observational
  6. Review
  7. Review
  8. Review
  9. Review
  10. Future Directions for Quantitative Systems Pharmacology.Handbook of experimental pharmacology · 2025
    Review
  11. Article
  12. Article
  13. Article
  14. Article
  15. In Silico Clinical Trials: Is It Possible?Methods in molecular biology (Clifton, N.J.) · 2024
    Article
  16. Review
  17. Article
  18. Article
  19. Article
  20. Review
4 · The record

Corrections and comments

PubMed lists nothing against this paper. Absence here is not a guarantee, only a check that was made.

5 · Who and what money

Authors and funding

4 authors.

Jeffrey S BarrettRare Disease Cures Accelerator Data Analytics Platform, Critical Path Institute, Tuscon, AZ, 85718, USA. jbarrett@c-path.org.
Tim NicholasGlobal Product Development, Pfizer Inc, 445 Eastern Point Rd, Groton, CT, 06340, USA.
Karim AzerAxcella Therapeutics, 840 Memorial Drive, Cambridge, MA, 02139, USA.
Brian W CorriganGlobal Product Development, Pfizer Inc, 445 Eastern Point Rd, Groton, CT, 06340, USA.

Funding

No grant is acknowledged in the PubMed record.

6 · The paper itself

Abstract

The use of Disease progression models (DPMs) in Drug Development has been widely adopted across therapeutic areas as a method for integrating previously obtained disease knowledge to elucidate the impact of novel therapeutics or vaccines on disease course, thus quantifying the potential clinical benefit at different stages of drug development programs. This paper provides a brief overview of DPMs and the evolution in data types, analytic methods, and applications that have occurred in their use by Quantitive Clinical Pharmacologists. It also provides examples of how these models have informed decisions and clinical trial design across several therapeutic areas and at various stages of development. It briefly describes potential new applications of DPMs utilizing emerging data sources, and utilizing new analytic techniques, and discuss new challenges faced such as requiring description of multiple endpoints, rapid model development, application of machine learning-based analytics, and use of high dimensional and real-world data. Considerations for the continued evolution future of DPMs to serve as community-maintained expert systems are also provided.

Indexed as

Disease ProgressionDrug DevelopmentClinical Trials as TopicHumansResearch Designdecision-makingdisease progression modeldrug developmentMIDD

Identifiers

PMID35411507
PMCPMC9000925

What OpenQuestion holds

Textmetadata
Read underepoch 390

Registered trials

None linked

Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the OpenQuestion graph.