Evidence map›Paper›PMID 35409447›Full record

SynthesisInternational journal of environmental research and public health2022

Impact of Short-Term Exposure to Extreme Temperatures on Mortality: A Multi-City Study in Belgium.

Claire Demoury, Raf Aerts, Bram Vandeninden, Bert Van Schaeybroeck, Eva M De Clercq

Open access · goldAbstract readMeta-Analysis
In one paragraph

Synthesis in International journal of environmental research and public health, 2022. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Cited by 11 papers, 1 of them a synthesis that pooled it.

0numbers the graph read from it
0cells of the map it votes in
11citing papers in PubMed, 1 pooled it
3.2field-weighted citation impact, top 7% of its field
1 · What the graph read from it

What it found

Each row is one number read from the abstract, on the scale the paper reported it, with its interval. Left of the dashed line favours the treatment, right favours the comparator. Under each row is the sentence it came from. New to these charts? A ten-minute tutorial.

The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.

2 · The registry

The trial behind it

Trials whose registry record cites this paper, or whose number appears in the abstract. A trial that started after this paper was published is citing it as background, not reporting it.

Neither the registry nor the abstract names a trial number. If this is a trial report, that itself is worth knowing.

3 · Its place in the literature

Who cites it

11 citing papers in PubMed, 1 synthesis or guideline pooled it, 32 citations in OpenAlex.

  1. Pooled it
  2. Article
  3. Heat- and Cold-Associated Mortality in Germany, 2000-2023.Deutsches Arzteblatt international · 2026
    Observational
  4. Article
  5. Article
  6. Article
  7. Article
  8. Article
  9. Territory Differences in Adaptation to Heat among Persons Aged 65 Years and Over in Spain (1983-2018).International journal of environmental research and public health · 2023
    Article
  10. Article
  11. Review
4 · The record

Corrections and comments

PubMed lists nothing against this paper. Absence here is not a guarantee, only a check that was made.

5 · Who and what money

Authors and funding

5 authors at 2 institutions in 1 country.

Claire DemouryRisk and Health Impact Assessment, Sciensano, 1050 Brussels, Belgium.ORCID 0000-0001-5896-9808
Raf AertsRisk and Health Impact Assessment, Sciensano, 1050 Brussels, Belgium.ORCID 0000-0003-4018-0790
Bram VandenindenRisk and Health Impact Assessment, Sciensano, 1050 Brussels, Belgium.
Bert Van SchaeybroeckDepartment of Meteorological Research and Development, Royal Meteorological Institute of Belgium, 1180 Brussels, Belgium.ORCID 0000-0002-9507-7929
Eva M De ClercqRisk and Health Impact Assessment, Sciensano, 1050 Brussels, Belgium.
Sciensano (Belgium) · BERoyal Meteorological Institute of Belgium · BE

Funding

No grant is acknowledged in the PubMed record.

6 · The paper itself

Abstract

In light of climate change, health risks are expected to be exacerbated by more frequent high temperatures and reduced by less frequent cold extremes. To assess the impact of different climate change scenarios, it is necessary to describe the current effects of temperature on health. A time-stratified case-crossover design fitted with conditional quasi-Poisson regressions and distributed lag non-linear models was applied to estimate specific temperature-mortality associations in nine urban agglomerations in Belgium, and a random-effect meta-analysis was conducted to pool the estimates. Based on 307,859 all-cause natural deaths, the mortality risk associated to low temperature was 1.32 (95% CI: 1.21-1.44) and 1.21 (95% CI: 1.08-1.36) for high temperature relative to the minimum mortality temperature (23.1 °C). Both cold and heat were associated with an increased risk of cardiovascular and respiratory mortality. We observed differences in risk by age category, and women were more vulnerable to heat than men. People living in the most built-up municipalities were at higher risk for heat. Air pollutants did not have a confounding effect. Evidence from this study helps to identify specific populations at risk and is important for current and future public health interventions and prevention strategies.

Indexed as

Air PollutantsHot TemperatureBelgiumCitiesCold TemperatureFemaleHumansMaleMortalityTemperatureAir PollutantsBelgiumcase-crossovercause-specific mortalityclimate changeDLNMtemperaturevulnerability

Identifiers

PMID35409447
PMCPMC8997565
OpenAlexW4223471071

What OpenQuestion holds

Textmetadata
LicenceCC BY
Read underepoch 390

Registered trials

None linked

Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the OpenQuestion graph.