Evidence map›Paper›PMID 35396534›Full record

ArticleNPJ precision oncology2022

Prostate cancer polygenic risk score and prediction of lethal prostate cancer.

Robert J Klein, Emily Vertosick, Dan Sjoberg, David Ulmert, Ann-Charlotte Rönn, Christel Häggström, Elin Thysell, Göran Hallmans, Anders Dahlin, Pär Stattin and 3 more

Open access · goldAbstract read
In one paragraph

Article in NPJ precision oncology, 2022. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Cited by 32 papers, 1 of them a synthesis that pooled it.

0numbers the graph read from it
0cells of the map it votes in
32citing papers in PubMed, 1 pooled it
7.0field-weighted citation impact, top 2% of its field
1 · What the graph read from it

What it found

Each row is one number read from the abstract, on the scale the paper reported it, with its interval. Left of the dashed line favours the treatment, right favours the comparator. Under each row is the sentence it came from. New to these charts? A ten-minute tutorial.

The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.

2 · The registry

The trial behind it

Trials whose registry record cites this paper, or whose number appears in the abstract. A trial that started after this paper was published is citing it as background, not reporting it.

Neither the registry nor the abstract names a trial number. If this is a trial report, that itself is worth knowing.

3 · Its place in the literature

Who cites it

32 citing papers in PubMed, 1 synthesis or guideline pooled it, 47 citations in OpenAlex.

  1. Pooled it
  2. Article
  3. Article
  4. Review
  5. Article
  6. Review
  7. Article
  8. Article
  9. Review
  10. Article
  11. Article
  12. Article
  13. Article
  14. Review
  15. Variation in PSA Levels by Age, Adiposity, Race and Ethnicity, and Genetic Risk: Implications for Prostate Cancer Screening.Cancer epidemiology, biomarkers & prevention : a publication of the American Association for Cancer Research, cosponsored by the American Society of Preventive Oncology · 2025
    Article
  16. Article
  17. Upgrading of Grade Group 1 Prostate Cancer at Prostatectomy: Germline Risk Factors in a Prospective Cohort.Cancer epidemiology, biomarkers & prevention : a publication of the American Association for Cancer Research, cosponsored by the American Society of Preventive Oncology · 2024
    Article
  18. Article
  19. Article
  20. Article
4 · The record

Corrections and comments

PubMed lists nothing against this paper. Absence here is not a guarantee, only a check that was made.

5 · Who and what money

Authors and funding

13 authors at 8 institutions in 2 countries.

Robert J Klein *Department of Genetics and Genomic Sciences and Icahn Genomics Institute, Icahn School of Medicine at Mount Sinai, New York, NY, 10029, USA. Robert.klein@mssm.edu.ORCID http://orcid.org/0000-0003-3539-5391
Emily Vertosick *Department of Epidemiology and Biostatistics, Memorial Sloan Kettering Cancer Center, New York, NY, USA.ORCID http://orcid.org/0000-0001-6948-9850
Dan SjobergDepartment of Epidemiology and Biostatistics, Memorial Sloan Kettering Cancer Center, New York, NY, USA.
David UlmertDepartment of Molecular and Medical Pharmacology, University of California Los Angeles, Los Angeles, CA, USA.
Ann-Charlotte RönnClinical Research Center, Karolinska University Hospital, Huddinge, Sweden.ORCID http://orcid.org/0000-0002-2493-3142
Christel HäggströmDepartment of Biobank Research, Umeå University, Umeå, Sweden.
Elin ThysellDepartment of Medical Biosciences, Umeå University, Umeå, Sweden.
Göran HallmansDepartment of Public Health and Clinical Medicine, Umeå University, Umeå, Sweden.
Anders DahlinDepartment of Clinical Sciences, Lund University, Malmö, Sweden.
Pär StattinDepartment of Surgical Sciences, Uppsala University Hospital, Uppsala, Sweden.
Olle MelanderDepartment of Clinical Sciences, Lund University, Malmö, Sweden.
Andrew VickersDepartment of Epidemiology and Biostatistics, Memorial Sloan Kettering Cancer Center, New York, NY, USA.
Hans LiljaDepartments of Laboratory Medicine, Surgery, and Medicine, Memorial Sloan Kettering Cancer Center, New York, NY, USA.ORCID http://orcid.org/0000-0001-5871-7846
Memorial Sloan Kettering Cancer Center · USLund University · SEUmeå University · SEIcahn School of Medicine at Mount Sinai · USKarolinska University Hospital · SEUniversity of California, Los Angeles · USUppsala University · SEUppsala University Hospital · SE

Funding

X-RAY CRYSTALLOGRAPHYP30CA008748 · NCI · SLOAN-KETTERING INSTITUTE FOR CANCER RES · PI Hongbiao Carl Lekaye · 1985 to 2026
$347.4M
SPORE In Prostate CancerP50CA092629 · NCI · SLOAN-KETTERING INSTITUTE FOR CANCER RES · PI JAMES A EASTHAM · 2001 to 2026
$63.0M
Genetic Predictors of Prostate Cancer SurvivalR01CA244948 · NCI · ICAHN SCHOOL OF MEDICINE AT MOUNT SINAI · PI ROBERT J. KLEIN · 2021 to 2026
$4.1M
Improving prostate cancer screening by integration of SNPs with blood biomarkersR01CA175491 · NCI · SLOAN-KETTERING INST CAN RESEARCH · PI KLEIN, ROBERT J. · 2013 to 2018
$2.8M
COVID and Translational Science supercomputer (CATS)S10OD030463 · OD · ICAHN SCHOOL OF MEDICINE AT MOUNT SINAI · PI KOVATCH, PATRICIA · 2021 to 2021
$2.0M
Big Omics Data Engine 2 SupercomputerS10OD026880 · OD · ICAHN SCHOOL OF MEDICINE AT MOUNT SINAI · PI KOVATCH, PATRICIA · 2019 to 2019
$2.0M
Transforming Genomics with 5 PB Big Omics Data Engine Cray CS300-AC SupercomputerS10OD018522 · OD · ICAHN SCHOOL OF MEDICINE AT MOUNT SINAI · PI KOVATCH, PATRICIA · 2014 to 2014
$1.9M
Cancerfonden (Swedish Cancer Society) CAN 2017/559NCI NIH HHS P30 CA008748NCI NIH HHS P50 CA092629NCI NIH HHS R01 CA175491NCI NIH HHS R01 CA244948NIH HHS S10 OD018522NIH HHS S10 OD026880NIH HHS S10 OD030463ODCDC CDC HHS S10 OD018522ODCDC CDC HHS S10 OD026880U.S. Department of Health & Human Services | NIH | National Cancer Institute (NCI) P50 CA92629Vetenskapsrådet (Swedish Research Council) 2016-02974
6 · The paper itself

Abstract

Polygenic risk scores (PRS) for prostate cancer incidence have been proposed to optimize prostate cancer screening. Prediction of lethal prostate cancer is key to any stratified screening program to avoid excessive overdiagnosis. Herein, PRS for incident prostate cancer was evaluated in two population-based cohorts of unscreened middle-aged men linked to cancer and death registries: the Västerbotten Intervention Project (VIP) and the Malmö Diet and Cancer study (MDC). SNP genotypes were measured by genome-wide SNP genotyping by array followed by imputation or genotyping of selected SNPs using mass spectrometry. The ability of PRS to predict lethal prostate cancer was compared to PSA and a commercialized pre-specified model based on four kallikrein markers. The PRS was associated with incident prostate cancer, replicating previously reported relative risks, and was also associated with prostate cancer death. However, unlike PSA, the PRS did not show stronger association with lethal disease: the hazard ratio for prostate cancer incidence vs. prostate cancer metastasis and death was 1.69 vs. 1.65 in VIP and 1.25 vs. 1.25 in MDC. PSA was a much stronger predictor of prostate cancer metastasis or death with an area-under-the-curve of 0.78 versus 0.63 for the PRS. Importantly, addition of PRS to PSA did not contribute additional risk stratification for lethal prostate cancer. We have shown that a PRS that predicts prostate cancer incidence does not have utility above and beyond that of PSA measured at baseline when applied to the clinically relevant endpoint of prostate cancer death. These findings have implications for public health policies for delivery of prostate cancer screening. Focusing polygenic risk scores on clinically significant endpoints such as prostate cancer metastasis or death would likely improve clinical utility.

Identifiers

PMID35396534
PMCPMC8993880
OpenAlexW4223567842

What OpenQuestion holds

Textmetadata
LicenceCC BY
Read underepoch 390

Registered trials

None linked

Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the OpenQuestion graph.