Evidence map›Paper›PMID 35391528›Full record

ArticleJournal of preventive medicine and public health = Yebang Uihakhoe chi2022

Spatio-temporal Distribution of Suicide Risk in Iran: A Bayesian Hierarchical Analysis of Repeated Cross-sectional Data.

Seyed Saeed Hashemi Nazari, Kamyar Mansori, Hajar Nazari Kangavari, Ahmad Shojaei, Shahram Arsang-Jang

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Article in Journal of preventive medicine and public health = Yebang Uihakhoe chi, 2022. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Cited by 5 papers, 2 of them syntheses that pooled it.

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5citing papers in PubMed, 2 pooled it
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5 citing papers in PubMed, 2 syntheses or guidelines pooled it.

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4 · The record

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5 · Who and what money

Authors and funding

5 authors.

Seyed Saeed Hashemi NazariSafety Promotion and Injury Prevention Research Center, Department of Epidemiology, School of Public Health, Shahid Beheshti University of Medical Sciences, Tehran, Iran.
Kamyar MansoriDepartment of Epidemiology and Biostatistics, School of Medicine, Zanjan University of Medical Sciences, Zanjan, Iran.
Hajar Nazari KangavariDepartment of Epidemiology, School of Public Health, Iran University of Medical Sciences, Tehran, Iran.
Ahmad ShojaeiLegal Medicine Research Center, Iranian Legal Medicine Organization, Tehran, Iran.
Shahram Arsang-JangDepartment of Epidemiology and Biostatistics, School of Medicine, Zanjan University of Medical Sciences, Zanjan, Iran.

Funding

No grant is acknowledged in the PubMed record.

6 · The paper itself

Abstract

objectivesWe aimed to estimate the space-time distribution of the risk of suicide mortality in Iran from 2006 to 2016.

methodsIn this repeated cross-sectional study, the age-standardized risk of suicide mortality from 2006 to 2016 was determined. To estimate the cumulative and temporal risk, the Besag, York, and Mollié and Bernardinelli models were used.

resultsThe relative risk of suicide mortality was greater than 1 in 43.0% of Iran's provinces (posterior probability >0.8; range, 0.46 to 3.93). The spatio-temporal model indicated a high risk of suicide in 36.7% of Iran's provinces. In addition, significant upward temporal trends in suicide risk were observed in the provinces of Tehran, Fars, Kermanshah, and Gilan. A significantly decreasing pattern of risk was observed for men (β, -0.013; 95% credible interval [CrI], -0.010 to -0.007), and a stable pattern of risk was observed for women (β, -0.001; 95% CrI, -0.010 to 0.007). A decreasing pattern of suicide risk was observed for those aged 15-29 years (β, -0.006; 95% CrI, -0.010 to -0.0001) and 30-49 years (β, -0.001; 95% CrI, -0.018 to -0.002). The risk was stable for those aged >50 years.

conclusionsThe highest risk of suicide mortality was observed in Iran's northwestern provinces and among Kurdish women. Although a low risk of suicide mortality was observed in the provinces of Tehran, Fars, and Gilan, the risk in these provinces is increasing rapidly compared to other regions.

Indexed as

SuicideBayes TheoremCross-Sectional StudiesFemaleHumansIranMaleLongitudinalSelf-injurious behaviorSpatial analysisSuicide mortalityTrend

Identifiers

PMID35391528
PMCPMC8995936

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Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the OpenQuestion graph.