Evidence map›Paper›PMID 35390765›Full record

ArticleJournal of the National Comprehensive Cancer Network : JNCCN2022

Impact of Allocation on Survival During Intermittent Chemotherapy Shortages: A Modeling Analysis.

Andrew Hantel, Michael L McManus, Martha Wadleigh, Michael Cotugno, Gregory A Abel

Open access · bronzeAbstract read
In one paragraph

Article in Journal of the National Comprehensive Cancer Network : JNCCN, 2022. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Cited by 1 paper.

0numbers the graph read from it
0cells of the map it votes in
1citing papers in PubMed
0.8field-weighted citation impact, top 17% of its field
1 · What the graph read from it

What it found

Each row is one number read from the abstract, on the scale the paper reported it, with its interval. Left of the dashed line favours the treatment, right favours the comparator. Under each row is the sentence it came from. New to these charts? A ten-minute tutorial.

The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.

2 · The registry

The trial behind it

Trials whose registry record cites this paper, or whose number appears in the abstract. A trial that started after this paper was published is citing it as background, not reporting it.

Neither the registry nor the abstract names a trial number. If this is a trial report, that itself is worth knowing.

3 · Its place in the literature

Who cites it

1 citing paper in PubMed, 3 citations in OpenAlex.

  1. Chemotherapeutic Shortages: How Do We Prioritize?Journal of the National Comprehensive Cancer Network : JNCCN · 2022
    Article
4 · The record

Corrections and comments

PubMed lists nothing against this paper. Absence here is not a guarantee, only a check that was made.

5 · Who and what money

Authors and funding

5 authors at 2 institutions in 1 country.

Andrew HantelDivision of Population Sciences, and.
Michael L McManusDepartment of Anesthesiology, Boston Children's Hospital.
Martha WadleighDivision of Hematologic Malignancies, Dana-Farber Cancer Institute; and.
Michael CotugnoDepartment of Pharmacy, Brigham and Women's Hospital, Boston, Massachusetts.
Gregory A AbelDivision of Population Sciences, and.
Dana-Farber Cancer Institute · USBoston Children's Hospital · US

Funding

Training in Oncology Population Sciences (TOPS)T32CA092203 · NCI · DANA-FARBER CANCER INST · PI Nancy L Keating, JENNIFER W MACK · 2018 to 2026
$3.7M
NCI NIH HHS T32 CA092203
6 · The paper itself

Abstract

backgroundIntermittent shortages of chemotherapeutics used to treat curable malignancies are a worldwide problem that increases patient mortality. Although multiple strategies have been proposed for managing these shortages (eg, prioritizing patients by age, scarce treatment efficacy per volume, alternative treatment efficacy difference), critical clinical dilemmas arise when selecting a management strategy and understanding its impact. PATIENTS AND

methodsWe developed a model to compare the impact of different allocation strategies on overall survival during intermittent chemotherapy shortages and tested it using vincristine, which was recently scarce for 9 months in the United States. Demographic and treatment data were abstracted from 1,689 previously treated patients in our tertiary-care system; alternatives were abstracted from NCCN Clinical Practice Guidelines in Oncology for each disease and survival probabilities from the studies cited therein. Modeled survival was validated using SEER data. Nine-month shortages were modeled for all possible supply levels. Pairwise differences in 3-year survival and risk reductions were calculated for each strategy compared with standard practice (first-come, first-served) for each 50-mg supply increment, as were supply thresholds above which each strategy maintained survival similar to scenarios without shortages.

resultsA strategy prioritizing by higher vincristine efficacy per volume and greater alternative treatment efficacy difference performed best, improving survival significantly (P<.01) across 86.5% of possible shortages (relative risk reduction, 8.3%; 99% CI, 8.0-8.5) compared with standard practice. This strategy also maintained survival rates similar to a model without shortages until supply fell below 72.2% of the amount required to treat all patients, compared with 94.3% for standard practice.

conclusionsDuring modeled vincristine shortages, prioritizing patients by higher efficacy per volume and alternative treatment efficacy difference significantly improved survival over standard practice. This approach can help optimize allocation as intermittent chemotherapy shortages continue to arise.

Indexed as

Antineoplastic AgentsNeoplasmsHumansSurvival RateUnited StatesVincristineAntineoplastic AgentsVincristine

Identifiers

PMID35390765
PMCPMC10983800
OpenAlexW4223468614

What OpenQuestion holds

Textmetadata
LicenceTDM
Read underepoch 390

Registered trials

None linked

Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the OpenQuestion graph.