Evidence map›Paper›PMID 35388057›Full record

ArticleScientific reports2022

Complex drought patterns robustly explain global yield loss for major crops.

Monia Santini, Sergio Noce, Marta Antonelli, Luca Caporaso

Abstract read
In one paragraph

Article in Scientific reports, 2022. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Cited by 17 papers.

0numbers the graph read from it
0cells of the map it votes in
17citing papers in PubMed
–field-weighted citation impact
1 · What the graph read from it

What it found

Each row is one number read from the abstract, on the scale the paper reported it, with its interval. Left of the dashed line favours the treatment, right favours the comparator. Under each row is the sentence it came from. New to these charts? A ten-minute tutorial.

The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.

2 · The registry

The trial behind it

Trials whose registry record cites this paper, or whose number appears in the abstract. A trial that started after this paper was published is citing it as background, not reporting it.

Neither the registry nor the abstract names a trial number. If this is a trial report, that itself is worth knowing.

3 · Its place in the literature

Who cites it

17 citing papers in PubMed.

  1. Article
  2. Review
  3. Escalating drought sensitivity of a greening China.Frontiers in plant science · 2026
    Article
  4. Article
  5. Review
  6. Peptide Hormone-Mediated Regulation of Plant Development and Environmental Adaptability.Advanced science (Weinheim, Baden-Wurttemberg, Germany) · 2025
    Review
  7. Review
  8. Article
  9. Article
  10. Article
  11. Article
  12. Review
  13. Article
  14. Unveiling synergistic QTLs associated with slow wilting in soybean (Glycine max [L.] Merr.).TAG. Theoretical and applied genetics. Theoretische und angewandte Genetik · 2024
    Article
  15. Article
  16. Article
  17. Review
4 · The record

Corrections and comments

PubMed lists nothing against this paper. Absence here is not a guarantee, only a check that was made.

5 · Who and what money

Authors and funding

4 authors.

Monia SantiniImpacts on Agriculture, Forests and Ecosystem Services (IAFES) Division, Foundation Euro-Mediterranean Center on Climate Change (CMCC), 01100, Viterbo, Italy. monia.santini@cmcc.it.
Sergio NoceImpacts on Agriculture, Forests and Ecosystem Services (IAFES) Division, Foundation Euro-Mediterranean Center on Climate Change (CMCC), 01100, Viterbo, Italy.
Marta AntonelliImpacts on Agriculture, Forests and Ecosystem Services (IAFES) Division, Foundation Euro-Mediterranean Center on Climate Change (CMCC), 01100, Viterbo, Italy.
Luca CaporasoImpacts on Agriculture, Forests and Ecosystem Services (IAFES) Division, Foundation Euro-Mediterranean Center on Climate Change (CMCC), 01100, Viterbo, Italy.

Funding

No grant is acknowledged in the PubMed record.

6 · The paper itself

Abstract

Multi-purpose crops as maize, rice, soybean, and wheat are key in the debate concerning food, land, water and energy security and sustainability. While strong evidence exists on the effects of climate variability on the production of these crops, so far multifaceted attributes of droughts-magnitude, frequency, duration, and timing-have been tackled mainly separately, for a limited part of the cropping season, or over small regions. Here, a more comprehensive assessment is provided on how droughts with their complex patterns-given by their compound attributes-are consistently related to negative impacts on crop yield on a global scale. Magnitude and frequency of both climate and yield variability are jointly analysed from 1981 to 2016 considering multiscale droughts, i.e., dry conditions occurring with different durations and timings along the whole farming season, through two analogous and standardized indicators enabling comparison among crops, countries, and years. Mainly winter wheat and then spring wheat, soybean and the main maize's season reveal high susceptibility of yield under more complex drought patterns than previously assessed. The second maize's season and rice present less marked and more uncertain results, respectively. Overall, southern and eastern Europe, the Americas and sub-Saharan Africa presents multi-crop susceptibility, with eastern Europe, Middle East and Central Asia appearing critical regions for the most vulnerable crop, which is wheat. Finally, yield losses for wheat and soybean clearly worsen when moving from moderate to extreme multiscale droughts.

Indexed as

DroughtsOryzaAgricultureClimateClimate ChangeCrops, AgriculturalGlycine maxTriticum

Identifiers

PMID35388057
PMCPMC8986840

What OpenQuestion holds

Textmetadata
LicenceCC BY
Read underepoch 390

Registered trials

None linked

Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the OpenQuestion graph.