Evidence map›Paper›PMID 35388051›Full record

ArticleScientific reports2022

Forecast of peak attainment and imminent decline after 2017 of oral cancer incidence in men in Taiwan.

Jing-Rong Jhuang, Shih-Yung Su, Chun-Ju Chiang, Ya-Wen Yang, Li-Ju Lin, Tsui-Hsia Hsu, Wen-Chung Lee

Open access · goldAbstract read
In one paragraph

Article in Scientific reports, 2022. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Cited by 10 papers.

0numbers the graph read from it
0cells of the map it votes in
10citing papers in PubMed
3.6field-weighted citation impact, top 6% of its field
1 · What the graph read from it

What it found

Each row is one number read from the abstract, on the scale the paper reported it, with its interval. Left of the dashed line favours the treatment, right favours the comparator. Under each row is the sentence it came from. New to these charts? A ten-minute tutorial.

The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.

2 · The registry

The trial behind it

Trials whose registry record cites this paper, or whose number appears in the abstract. A trial that started after this paper was published is citing it as background, not reporting it.

Neither the registry nor the abstract names a trial number. If this is a trial report, that itself is worth knowing.

3 · Its place in the literature

Who cites it

10 citing papers in PubMed, 18 citations in OpenAlex.

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  5. Journal of oral microbiology · 2025
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4 · The record

Corrections and comments

PubMed lists nothing against this paper. Absence here is not a guarantee, only a check that was made.

5 · Who and what money

Authors and funding

7 authors at 1 institution in 1 country.

Jing-Rong JhuangInstitute of Epidemiology and Preventive Medicine, College of Public Health, National Taiwan University, Rm. 536, No. 17, Xuzhou Rd., Taipei, 100, Taiwan.
Shih-Yung SuInstitute of Epidemiology and Preventive Medicine, College of Public Health, National Taiwan University, Rm. 536, No. 17, Xuzhou Rd., Taipei, 100, Taiwan.
Chun-Ju ChiangInstitute of Epidemiology and Preventive Medicine, College of Public Health, National Taiwan University, Rm. 536, No. 17, Xuzhou Rd., Taipei, 100, Taiwan.
Ya-Wen YangInstitute of Epidemiology and Preventive Medicine, College of Public Health, National Taiwan University, Rm. 536, No. 17, Xuzhou Rd., Taipei, 100, Taiwan.
Li-Ju LinHealth Promotion Administration, Taipei, Taiwan.
Tsui-Hsia HsuHealth Promotion Administration, Taipei, Taiwan.
Wen-Chung LeeInstitute of Epidemiology and Preventive Medicine, College of Public Health, National Taiwan University, Rm. 536, No. 17, Xuzhou Rd., Taipei, 100, Taiwan. wenchung@ntu.edu.tw.
National Taiwan University · TW

Funding

No grant is acknowledged in the PubMed record.

6 · The paper itself

Abstract

Oral cancer is the fourth most common cancer among men in Taiwan. The age-standardized incidence rate of oral cancer among men in Taiwan has increased since 1980 and became six times greater in 2014. To enable effective public health planning for oral cancer, research on the projection of oral cancer burden is essential. We conducted an age-period-cohort analysis on the incidence of oral cancer among men in Taiwan from 1997 to 2017 and extrapolated the trend to 2025. We found that the period trends for young adults aged between 25 and 44 have already peaked before 2017; the younger, the earlier, and then the trends declined. The cohort trends have peaked roughly at the 1972 birth cohort and then declined for all ages. Despite the increasing trend in the age-standardized incidence rate for oral cancer among men in Taiwan from 1997 to 2017, we forecast a peak attained, an imminent decline after 2017, and a decrease of 8.4% in age-standardized incidence rate from 2017 to 2025. The findings of this study contribute to developing efficient and comprehensive strategies for oral cancer prevention and control.

Indexed as

Mouth NeoplasmsAdultCohort StudiesForecastingHumansIncidenceMaleTaiwanUnited StatesYoung Adult

Identifiers

PMID35388051
PMCPMC8987068
OpenAlexW4223602300

What OpenQuestion holds

Textmetadata
LicenceCC BY
Read underepoch 390

Registered trials

None linked

Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the OpenQuestion graph.