Evidence map›Paper›PMID 35387824›Full record

ArticleBMJ open2022

Predictive performance of comorbidity for 30-day and 1-year mortality in patients with bloodstream infection visiting the emergency department: a retrospective cohort study.

Romy Schuttevaer, William Boogers, Anniek Brink, Willian van Dijk, Jurriaan de Steenwinkel, Stephanie Schuit, Annelies Verbon, Hester Lingsma, Jelmer Alsma

Abstract read
In one paragraph

Article in BMJ open, 2022. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Cited by 7 papers.

0numbers the graph read from it
0cells of the map it votes in
7citing papers in PubMed
–field-weighted citation impact
1 · What the graph read from it

What it found

Each row is one number read from the abstract, on the scale the paper reported it, with its interval. Left of the dashed line favours the treatment, right favours the comparator. Under each row is the sentence it came from. New to these charts? A ten-minute tutorial.

The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.

2 · The registry

The trial behind it

Trials whose registry record cites this paper, or whose number appears in the abstract. A trial that started after this paper was published is citing it as background, not reporting it.

Neither the registry nor the abstract names a trial number. If this is a trial report, that itself is worth knowing.

3 · Its place in the literature

Who cites it

7 citing papers in PubMed.

  1. Article
  2. Article
  3. Article
  4. Article
  5. Article
  6. Observational
  7. Article
4 · The record

Corrections and comments

PubMed lists nothing against this paper. Absence here is not a guarantee, only a check that was made.

5 · Who and what money

Authors and funding

9 authors.

Romy SchuttevaerDepartment of Internal Medicine, Erasmus MC, Rotterdam, Netherlands r.schuttevaer@erasmusmc.nl.ORCID 0000-0002-8589-4650
William BoogersDepartment of Internal Medicine, Erasmus MC, Rotterdam, Netherlands.
Anniek BrinkDepartment of Internal Medicine, Erasmus MC, Rotterdam, Netherlands.
Willian van DijkDepartment of Internal Medicine, Erasmus MC, Rotterdam, Netherlands.
Jurriaan de SteenwinkelDepartment of Medical Microbiology and Infectious Diseases, Erasmus MC, Rotterdam, Netherlands.
Stephanie SchuitDepartment of Internal Medicine, Erasmus MC, Rotterdam, Netherlands.
Annelies VerbonDepartment of Medical Microbiology and Infectious Diseases, Erasmus MC, Rotterdam, Netherlands.
Hester LingsmaDepartment of Public Health, Erasmus MC, Rotterdam, Netherlands.
Jelmer AlsmaDepartment of Internal Medicine, Erasmus MC, Rotterdam, Netherlands.ORCID 0000-0002-2808-1514

Funding

No grant is acknowledged in the PubMed record.

6 · The paper itself

Abstract

objectivesTo investigate whether the Charlson Comorbidity Index (CCI) predicted short-term and long-term mortality in patients with a bloodstream infection visiting the emergency department (ED) and compare it to the often-validated National Early Warning Score (NEWS).

designA retrospective cohort study.

settingA tertiary hospital in the Netherlands.

participantsAdult patients attending the ED with a blood culture-proven infection between 2012 and 2017 were included. We collected the comorbidities from the CCI and the vital signs from the NEWS. MAIN OUTCOMES: Short-term mortality (30-day) and long-term mortality (1 year). We assessed the predictive performance by discrimination, expressed as the area under the curve (AUC).

resultsWe included 1039 patients with a blood culture-proven infection. Mortality was 10.4% within 30 days and 27.8% within 1 year. On average patients had two comorbidities (ranging from 0 to 6). Highly prevalent comorbidities were malignancy (30.2%) and diabetes mellitus (20.5%). The predictive performance of the CCI was highest for 1-year mortality (AUC 0.696 (95%CI) (0.660 to 0.732)) and better compared with the NEWS (AUC (95% CI) 0.594 (0.555 to 0.632)). For prediction of 30-day mortality, the NEWS was superior (AUC (95% CI) 0.706 (0.656 to 0.756)) to the comorbidities of the CCI (AUC (95% CI) 0.568 (0.507 to 0.628)).

conclusionsWe found that presenting comorbidity (ie, the CCI) is most useful to prognosticate long-term outcome in patients with bloodstream infection in the ED. Short-term mortality is more accurately predicted by deviating vital signs (ie, the NEWS).

Indexed as

Emergency Service, HospitalSepsisAdultArea Under CurveComorbidityHospital MortalityHumansRetrospective StudiesBACTERIOLOGYEpidemiologyINFECTIOUS DISEASESINTERNAL MEDICINEMICROBIOLOGY

Identifiers

PMID35387824
PMCPMC8987751

What OpenQuestion holds

Textmetadata
LicenceCC BY-NC
Read underepoch 390

Registered trials

None linked

Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the OpenQuestion graph.