Evidence map›Paper›PMID 35385304›Full record

ReviewScience advances2022

The future of Earth system prediction: Advances in model-data fusion.

Andrew Gettelman, Alan J Geer, Richard M Forbes, Greg R Carmichael, Graham Feingold, Derek J Posselt, Graeme L Stephens, Susan C van den Heever, Adam C Varble, Paquita Zuidema

Open access · goldAbstract readReview
In one paragraph

Review in Science advances, 2022. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Cited by 10 papers, 1 of them a synthesis that pooled it.

0numbers the graph read from it
0cells of the map it votes in
10citing papers in PubMed, 1 pooled it
15.3field-weighted citation impact, top 1% of its field
1 · What the graph read from it

What it found

Each row is one number read from the abstract, on the scale the paper reported it, with its interval. Left of the dashed line favours the treatment, right favours the comparator. Under each row is the sentence it came from. New to these charts? A ten-minute tutorial.

The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.

2 · The registry

The trial behind it

Trials whose registry record cites this paper, or whose number appears in the abstract. A trial that started after this paper was published is citing it as background, not reporting it.

Neither the registry nor the abstract names a trial number. If this is a trial report, that itself is worth knowing.

3 · Its place in the literature

Who cites it

10 citing papers in PubMed, 1 synthesis or guideline pooled it, 132 citations in OpenAlex.

  1. Pooled it
  2. Article
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  4. Article
  5. Article
  6. Review
  7. Article
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4 · The record

Corrections and comments

PubMed lists nothing against this paper. Absence here is not a guarantee, only a check that was made.

5 · Who and what money

Authors and funding

10 authors at 8 institutions in 2 countries.

Andrew GettelmanNational Center for Atmospheric Research, Boulder, CO, USA.ORCID 0000-0002-8284-2599
Alan J GeerEuropean Centre for Medium-Range Weather Forecasts, Reading, UK.ORCID 0000-0002-9476-5519
Richard M ForbesEuropean Centre for Medium-Range Weather Forecasts, Reading, UK.ORCID 0000-0002-3596-8287
Greg R CarmichaelUniversity of Iowa, Iowa City, IA, USA.
Graham FeingoldNOAA Chemical Sciences Laboratory, Boulder, CO, USA.ORCID 0000-0002-0774-2926
Derek J PosseltJet Propulsion Laboratory, California Institute of Technology, Pasadena, CA, USA.ORCID 0000-0002-5670-5822
Graeme L StephensJet Propulsion Laboratory, California Institute of Technology, Pasadena, CA, USA.ORCID 0000-0002-9860-0287
Susan C van den HeeverColorado State University, Fort Collins, CO, USA.ORCID 0000-0001-9843-3864
Adam C VarblePacific Northwest National Laboratory, Richland, WA, USA.ORCID 0000-0001-5926-7154
Paquita ZuidemaRosenstiel School of Marine and Atmospheric Science, University of Miami, Miami, FL, USA.ORCID 0000-0003-4719-372X
European Centre for Medium-Range Weather Forecasts · GBJet Propulsion Laboratory · USColorado State University · USNOAA Chemical Sciences Laboratory · USNSF National Center for Atmospheric Research · USPacific Northwest National Laboratory · USUniversity of Iowa · USUniversity of Miami · US

Funding

No grant is acknowledged in the PubMed record.

6 · The paper itself

Abstract

Predictions of the Earth system, such as weather forecasts and climate projections, require models informed by observations at many levels. Some methods for integrating models and observations are very systematic and comprehensive (e.g., data assimilation), and some are single purpose and customized (e.g., for model validation). We review current methods and best practices for integrating models and observations. We highlight how future developments can enable advanced heterogeneous observation networks and models to improve predictions of the Earth system (including atmosphere, land surface, oceans, cryosphere, and chemistry) across scales from weather to climate. As the community pushes to develop the next generation of models and data systems, there is a need to take a more holistic, integrated, and coordinated approach to models, observations, and their uncertainties to maximize the benefit for Earth system prediction and impacts on society.

Identifiers

PMID35385304
PMCPMC8985915
OpenAlexW4224229906

What OpenQuestion holds

Textmetadata
LicenceCC BY
Read underepoch 390

Registered trials

None linked

Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the OpenQuestion graph.