Evidence map›Paper›PMID 35372850›Full record

ArticleProceedings of machine learning research2021

Dynamic Survival Analysis with Individualized Truncated Parametric Distributions.

Preston Putzel, Padhraic Smyth, Jaehong Yu, Hua Zhong

Abstract read
In one paragraph

Article in Proceedings of machine learning research, 2021. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Cited by 3 papers.

0numbers the graph read from it
0cells of the map it votes in
3citing papers in PubMed
–field-weighted citation impact
1 · What the graph read from it

What it found

Each row is one number read from the abstract, on the scale the paper reported it, with its interval. Left of the dashed line favours the treatment, right favours the comparator. Under each row is the sentence it came from. New to these charts? A ten-minute tutorial.

The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.

2 · The registry

The trial behind it

Trials whose registry record cites this paper, or whose number appears in the abstract. A trial that started after this paper was published is citing it as background, not reporting it.

Neither the registry nor the abstract names a trial number. If this is a trial report, that itself is worth knowing.

3 · Its place in the literature

Who cites it

3 citing papers in PubMed.

  1. Article
  2. Article
  3. Article
4 · The record

Corrections and comments

PubMed lists nothing against this paper. Absence here is not a guarantee, only a check that was made.

5 · Who and what money

Authors and funding

4 authors.

Preston PutzelDepartment of Computer Science, University of California, Irvine, CA, USA.
Padhraic SmythDepartment of Computer Science, University of California, Irvine, CA, USA.
Jaehong YuDepartment of Industrial and Management Engineering, Incheon National University, 119 Academy-Ro, Yeonsu-Gu, Songdo-dong Incheon 22012, South Korea.
Hua ZhongDepartment of Population Health, NYU Grossman School of Medicine, New York, NY, USA.

Funding

EHR-based vs population-based CVD risk predictions for older patients with diabetesR01AG065330 · NIA · WEILL MEDICAL COLL OF CORNELL UNIV · PI ZHONG, HUA JUDY · 2020 to 2024
$2.9M
CVD Risk and Outcome Heterogeneity in Older Adults with DiabetesR01AG054467 · NIA · NEW YORK UNIVERSITY SCHOOL OF MEDICINE · PI ZHONG, HUA JUDY · 2017 to 2020
$1.7M
Personalized Risk Predictions with Deep Learning Methods in the Presence of Missing and Biased Electronic Health Record DataR01LM013344 · NLM · WEILL MEDICAL COLL OF CORNELL UNIV · PI SMYTH, PADHRAIC, ZHONG, HUA JUDY · 2021 to 2024
$1.3M
NIA NIH HHS R01 AG054467NIA NIH HHS R01 AG065330NLM NIH HHS R01 LM013344
6 · The paper itself

Abstract

Dynamic survival analysis is a variant of traditional survival analysis where time-to-event predictions are updated as new information arrives about an individual over time. In this paper we propose a new approach to dynamic survival analysis based on learning a global parametric distribution, followed by individualization via truncating and renormalizing that distribution at different locations over time. We combine this approach with a likelihood-based loss that includes predictions at every time step within an individual's history, rather than just including one term per individual. The combination of this loss and model results in an interpretable approach to dynamic survival, requiring less fine tuning than existing methods, while still achieving good predictive performance. We evaluate the approach on the problem of predicting hospital mortality for a dataset with over 6900 COVID-19 patients.

Indexed as

Dynamic Survival AnalysisParametric Survival AnalysisPersonalized Predictions

Identifiers

PMID35372850
PMCPMC8969882

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Registered trials

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Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the OpenQuestion graph.