ArticleFuture healthcare journal2022
Forecasting the physician assistant/associate workforce: 2020-2035.
Article in Future healthcare journal, 2022. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Cited by 12 papers.
What it found
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The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.
The trial behind it
Trials whose registry record cites this paper, or whose number appears in the abstract. A trial that started after this paper was published is citing it as background, not reporting it.
Neither the registry nor the abstract names a trial number. If this is a trial report, that itself is worth knowing.
Who cites it
12 citing papers in PubMed, 24 citations in OpenAlex.
- Train Rural, Work Rural: The Potential for Advanced Fellowships in Addressing Rural VA Healthcare Workforce Shortages.The Journal of rural health : official journal of the American Rural Health Association and the National Rural Health Care Association · 2026Article
- Evaluating rural healthcare workforce programs: Applying modified whole-of-person retention improvement framework in VHA programs.The Journal of rural health : official journal of the American Rural Health Association and the National Rural Health Care Association · 2026Article
- Navigating unique challenges: librarian perceptions in supporting physician associate (assistant) programs.Journal of the Medical Library Association : JMLA · 2026Article
- Optimizing Colorectal Surgery Outcomes: The Role of the Advanced Practice Provider (APP) in Developing a Center for Pelvic Floor Disorders and Maximizing Scope of Practice for APPs.Clinics in colon and rectal surgery · 2025Review
- Characteristics of family medicine physician associates/assistants in the United States.BMC health services research · 2025Observational
- Doctoral education for physician assistants/associates: trends and characteristics in the U.S.BMC medical education · 2025Article
- Predictive modelling of the UK physician associate supply: 2014-2038.Future healthcare journal · 2024Article
- Tracking 5-Year Trends in the Workforce Prescribing Psychotropics and Medications for Opioid Use Disorder: A Cross-Sectional Study.Journal of general internal medicine · 2024Article
- Underrepresentation of Black Men in Physician Assistant and Associate Training.JAMA network open · 2024Article
- Quantifying the impact of telemedicine and patient medical advice request messages on physicians' work-outside-work.NPJ digital medicine · 2024Article
- Estimating the Primary Care Workforce for Medicare Beneficiaries Using an Activity-Based Approach.Journal of general internal medicine · 2023Observational
- Physician assistant/associate retirement intent: seeking the exit ramp.BMC health services research · 2022Article
Corrections and comments
PubMed lists nothing against this paper. Absence here is not a guarantee, only a check that was made.
Authors and funding
5 authors at 1 institution in 1 country.
Funding
No grant is acknowledged in the PubMed record.
Abstract
Background: Physician assistant/associates (PAs) are healthcare professionals whose roles expand universal access across many nations. PAs fill medical provider supply and demand gaps. Our paper reports a forecasting project to predict the likely census of PAs in the medical workforce spanning from 2020 to 2035. Methods: Microsimulation modelling of the American PA workforce was performed using the number of clinically active PAs employed in 2020 as the baseline. Graduation rates and PA programme expansion were parameters used to predict annual growth; attrition estimates balanced the equation. Two models, one based on data from the US Bureau of Labor Statistics (BLS) and another based on National Commission on Certification of Physician Assistants (NCCPA) data were used to estimate future annual PA census numbers. Results: As of 2020, the BLS estimated 125,280 PAs were in the medical workforce; the NCCPA estimate was 148,560 PAs in active practice. The BLS model predicted approximately 204,243 clinically active PAs by 2035; the NCCPA-based model predicted 214,248 PAs in clinical practice. Conclusions: A PA predictive model based on four data sources projects that the 2035 census of clinically active PAs to be between 204,000 and 214,000: a growth rate of approximately 35%.
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Registered trials
Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the OpenQuestion graph.