Evidence map›Paper›PMID 35371615›Full record

ArticleAging and disease2022

Senior-COVID-Rea Cohort Study: A Geriatric Prediction Model of 30-day Mortality in Patients Aged over 60 Years in ICU for Severe COVID-19.

Claire Falandry, Laurent Bitker, Paul Abraham, Fabien Subtil, Vincent Collange, Baptiste Balança, Max Haïne, Céline Guichon, Christophe Leroy, Marie Simon and 6 more

Abstract read
In one paragraph

Article in Aging and disease, 2022. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Cited by 5 papers, 1 of them a synthesis that pooled it.

0numbers the graph read from it
0cells of the map it votes in
5citing papers in PubMed, 1 pooled it
–field-weighted citation impact
1 · What the graph read from it

What it found

Each row is one number read from the abstract, on the scale the paper reported it, with its interval. Left of the dashed line favours the treatment, right favours the comparator. Under each row is the sentence it came from. New to these charts? A ten-minute tutorial.

The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.

2 · The registry

The trial behind it

Trials whose registry record cites this paper, or whose number appears in the abstract. A trial that started after this paper was published is citing it as background, not reporting it.

Neither the registry nor the abstract names a trial number. If this is a trial report, that itself is worth knowing.

3 · Its place in the literature

Who cites it

5 citing papers in PubMed, 1 synthesis or guideline pooled it.

  1. Pooled it
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  3. Article
  4. Article
  5. Article
4 · The record

Corrections and comments

PubMed lists nothing against this paper. Absence here is not a guarantee, only a check that was made.

5 · Who and what money

Authors and funding

16 authors.

Claire Falandry1Hospices Civils de Lyon, Service de Gériatrie, Centre Hospitalier Lyon Sud, Pierre-Bénite, France.
Laurent Bitker3Hospices Civils de Lyon, Service de Réanimation Médicale, Hôpital de La Croix Rousse, Lyon, France.
Paul Abraham5Hospices Civils de Lyon, Département d'anesthésie et reanimation médicale, Hôpital Edouard Herriot, Lyon, France.
Fabien Subtil6Université de Lyon, CNRS, UMR5558, Laboratoire de Biométrie et Biologie Evolutive, Université Claude Bernard Lyon 1, Villeurbanne, France.
Vincent Collange8Medipole Lyon-Villeurbanne, Département anesthésie réanimation, Villeurbanne, France.
Baptiste Balança9Hospices Civils de Lyon, Département of d'Anesthésie Réanimation Neurologique, Hôpital Wertheimer, Bron, France.
Max Haïne11Hôpital Nord-Ouest, Service de Gériatrie, Gleizé, France.
Céline Guichon12Hospices Civils de Lyon, Service de réanimation, Centre hospitalier universitaire de la Croix Rousse, Lyon, France.
Christophe Leroy14Centre Hospitalier Emile Roux, Service de réanimation, Le Puy-en-Velay, France.
Marie Simon15Hospices Civils de Lyon, Service de Médecine Intensive-Réanimation Médicale, Hôpital Edouard Herriot, Lyon, France.
Amélie Malapert16Hospices Civils de Lyon, Plateforme Transversale de Recherche de l'ICHCL, Pierre-Bénite, France.
Jean-Baptiste Pialat17Hospices Civils de Lyon, Service de radiologie, Groupement Hospitalier Sud; Pierre-Bénite, France.
Laurent Jallades19Hospices Civils de Lyon, Service d'Hématologie biologique - Groupement Hospitalier Sud, Pierre-Bénite, France.
Alain Lepape20Hospices Civils de Lyon, Service d'Anesthésie-Réanimation, Centre Hospitalier Lyon Sud, Pierre-Bénite, France.
Arnaud Friggeri20Hospices Civils de Lyon, Service d'Anesthésie-Réanimation, Centre Hospitalier Lyon Sud, Pierre-Bénite, France.
Fabrice Thiolliere20Hospices Civils de Lyon, Service d'Anesthésie-Réanimation, Centre Hospitalier Lyon Sud, Pierre-Bénite, France.

Funding

No grant is acknowledged in the PubMed record.

6 · The paper itself

Abstract

The SARS-COV2 pandemic induces tensions on health systems and ethical dilemmas. Practitioners need help tools to define patients not candidate for ICU admission. A multicentre observational study was performed to evaluate the impact of age and geriatric parameters on 30-day mortality in patients aged ≥60 years of age. Patients or next of kin were asked to answer a phone questionnaire assessing geriatric covariates 1 month before ICU admission. Among 290 screened patients, 231 were included between March 7 and May 7, 2020. In univariate, factors associated with lower 30-day survival were: age (per 10 years increase; OR 3.43, [95%CI: 2.13-5.53]), ≥3 CIRS-G grade ≥2 comorbidities (OR 2.49 [95%CI: 1.36-4.56]), impaired ADL, (OR 4.86 [95%CI: 2.44-9.72]), impaired IADL8 (OR 6.33 [95%CI: 3.31-12.10], p<0.001), frailty according to the Fried score (OR 4.33 [95%CI: 2.03-9.24]) or the CFS ≥5 (OR 3.79 [95%CI: 1.76-8.15]), 6-month fall history (OR 3.46 [95%CI: 1.58-7.63]). The final multivariate model included age (per 10 years increase; 2.94 [95%CI:1.78-5.04], p<0.001) and impaired IADL8 (OR 5.69 [95%CI: 2.90-11.47], p<0.001)). Considered as continuous variables, the model led to an AUC of 0.78 [95% CI: 0.72, 0.85]. Age and IADL8 provide independent prognostic factors for 30-day mortality in the considered population. Considering a risk of death exceeding 80% (82.6% [95%CI: 61.2% - 95.0%]), patients aged over 80 years with at least 1 IADL impairment appear as poor candidates for ICU admission.

Indexed as

COVID-19geriatric parametersintensive caretriage

Identifiers

PMID35371615
PMCPMC8947822

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Registered trials

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Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the OpenQuestion graph.