Evidence map›Paper›PMID 35370330›Full record

ArticlePopulation research and policy review2022

User Beware: Concerning Findings from the Post 2011-2012 U.S. Internal Revenue Service Migration Data.

Jack DeWaard, Mathew Hauer, Elizabeth Fussell, Katherine J Curtis, Stephan D Whitaker, Kathryn McConnell, Kobie Price, David Egan-Robertson, Michael Soto, Catalina Anampa Castro

Abstract read
In one paragraph

Article in Population research and policy review, 2022. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Cited by 9 papers.

0numbers the graph read from it
0cells of the map it votes in
9citing papers in PubMed
–field-weighted citation impact
1 · What the graph read from it

What it found

Each row is one number read from the abstract, on the scale the paper reported it, with its interval. Left of the dashed line favours the treatment, right favours the comparator. Under each row is the sentence it came from. New to these charts? A ten-minute tutorial.

The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.

2 · The registry

The trial behind it

Trials whose registry record cites this paper, or whose number appears in the abstract. A trial that started after this paper was published is citing it as background, not reporting it.

Neither the registry nor the abstract names a trial number. If this is a trial report, that itself is worth knowing.

3 · Its place in the literature

Who cites it

9 citing papers in PubMed.

  1. Article
  2. Article
  3. Article
  4. Article
  5. Climate migration amplifies demographic change and population aging.Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences of the United States of America · 2024
    Article
  6. Article
  7. Article
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4 · The record

Corrections and comments

PubMed lists nothing against this paper. Absence here is not a guarantee, only a check that was made.

5 · Who and what money

Authors and funding

10 authors.

Jack DeWaardDepartment of Sociology & Minnesota Population Center, University of Minnesota. 909 Social Sciences, 267 19 Ave. S., Minneapolis, MN 55455.
Mathew HauerDepartment of Sociology, Florida State University. Box 3062270, 516 Bellamy Building, 113 Collegiate Loop, Tallahassee, FL 32306.
Elizabeth FussellPopulation Studies and Training Center, Brown University. Box 1836, 68 Waterman Street, Providence, RI 02912.
Katherine J CurtisDepartment of Community and Environmental Sociology & Applied Population Laboratory, University of Wisconsin-Madison. 350 Agricultural Hall, 1450 Linden Drive, Madison, WI 53706.
Stephan D WhitakerFederal Reserve Bank of Cleveland. 1455 E. 6 St. Cleveland, OH 44114.
Kathryn McConnellSchool of Forestry & Environmental Studies, Yale University. 195 Prospect Street, New Haven, CT 06511.
Kobie PriceDepartment of Sociology & Minnesota Population Center, University of Minnesota. 909 Social Sciences, 267 19 Ave. S., Minneapolis, MN 55455.
David Egan-RobertsonDepartment of Community and Environmental Sociology & Applied Population Laboratory, University of Wisconsin-Madison. 350 Agricultural Hall, 1450 Linden Drive, Madison, WI 53706.
Michael SotoDepartment of Sociology & Minnesota Population Center, University of Minnesota. 909 Social Sciences, 267 19 Ave. S., Minneapolis, MN 55455.
Catalina Anampa CastroDepartment of Sociology, University of Michigan. 3115 LSA Building, 500 S. State St. An Arbor, MI 48109.

Funding

Science/Technical CoreP2CHD041020 · NICHD · BROWN UNIVERSITY · PI ZHENCHAO QIAN · 2016 to 2026
$7.6M
Spatial Analysis CoreR24HD041020 · NICHD · BROWN UNIVERSITY · PI LOGAN, JOHN R · 2001 to 2016
$7.4M
Center for Demography and EcologyR24HD047873 · NICHD · UNIVERSITY OF WISCONSIN-MADISON · PI RAYMO, JAMES M · 2004 to 2013
$7.2M
Scientific and Technical CoreP2CHD047873 · NICHD · UNIVERSITY OF WISCONSIN-MADISON · PI Katherine J. Curtis · 2014 to 2026
$5.1M
Minnesota Population Center Science and Technical CoreP2CHD041023 · NICHD · UNIVERSITY OF MINNESOTA · PI THERESA LOUISE OSYPUK · 2016 to 2026
$4.3M
Spatial Analysis CoreR24HD041023 · NICHD · UNIVERSITY OF MINNESOTA TWIN CITIES · PI RUGGLES, STEVE · 2001 to 2016
$4.1M
Demographic Responses to Natural Resource ChangesR03HD095014 · NICHD · UNIVERSITY OF WISCONSIN-MADISON · PI CURTIS, KATHERINE J., DEWAARD, JACK · 2019 to 2020
$184k
NICHD NIH HHS P2C HD041020NICHD NIH HHS P2C HD041023NICHD NIH HHS P2C HD047873NICHD NIH HHS R03 HD095014NICHD NIH HHS R24 HD041020NICHD NIH HHS R24 HD041023NICHD NIH HHS R24 HD047873
6 · The paper itself

Abstract

The U.S. Internal Revenue Service (IRS) makes publicly and freely available period migration data at the state and county levels. Among their uses, these data inform estimates of net-migration as part of the U.S. Census Bureau's Population Estimates Program, which, in turn, are used for producing other annual statistics, survey design, business and community planning, and federal funding allocations. Building on and extending prior research, we devote this Research Brief to documenting from multiple new angles a highly concerning and apparently systemic problem with the IRS migration data since the IRS took over responsibilities for preparing these data from the U.S. Census Bureau in 2011. As we then discuss, despite the fact that the IRS provides documentation detailing changes that it made to how it prepares these data relative to how the U.S. Census Bureau prepared them, it is not clear why or how these changes would result in the problem detailed in our analysis. Given that this problem appears to be an internal one within the IRS, we conclude by suggesting that the post 2011-12 IRS migration data not be used until this problem is resolved, and we encourage the IRS to do so quickly, transparently, and collaboratively.

Indexed as

Internal migrationInternal Revenue ServiceMigrationMigration dataU.S. Census Bureau

Identifiers

PMID35370330
PMCPMC8974493

What OpenQuestion holds

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Read underepoch 390

Registered trials

None linked

Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the OpenQuestion graph.