ArticleScientific reports2022
Analysis of individual-level data from 2018-2020 Ebola outbreak in Democratic Republic of the Congo.
Article in Scientific reports, 2022. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Cited by 12 papers.
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Who cites it
12 citing papers in PubMed.
- Validation of a Bayesian Ebola Diagnostic Model Using Data from the Tenth Epidemic of 2018 to 2020 in the Democratic Republic of Congo.Diagnostics (Basel, Switzerland) · 2026Article
- Review
- Ebola virus disease in the modern era: pathogenesis, therapeutic advances, vaccine strategies, and global health preparedness.Infection · 2026Review
- Links between infrastructure for human movement and early Ebola outbreak trajectories.Scientific reports · 2026Article
- Access to licenced vaccines for high-threat infectious diseases: a scoping review and interpretive analysis of Ebola virus disease.BMC infectious diseases · 2026Article
- Viral threats to pregnancy: Global health risks in the era of pandemics.Advances in virus research · 2026Review
- Article
- Towards Inferring Network Properties from Epidemic Data.Bulletin of mathematical biology · 2023Article
- Projecting COVID-19 cases and hospital burden in Ohio.Journal of theoretical biology · 2023Article
- Natural history of nonhuman primates after conjunctival exposure to Ebola virus.Scientific reports · 2023Article
- COVID-19 dynamics in an Ohio prison.Frontiers in public health · 2023Article
- Dynamic survival analysis for non-Markovian epidemic models.Journal of the Royal Society, Interface · 2022Article
Corrections and comments
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Authors and funding
6 authors.
Funding
Abstract
The 2018-2020 Ebola virus disease epidemic in Democratic Republic of the Congo (DRC) resulted in 3481 cases (probable and confirmed) and 2299 deaths. In this paper, we use a novel statistical method to analyze the individual-level incidence and hospitalization data on DRC Ebola victims. Our analysis suggests that an increase in the rate of quarantine and isolation that has shortened the infectiousness period by approximately one day during the epidemic's third and final wave was likely responsible for the eventual containment of the outbreak. The analysis further reveals that the total effective population size or the average number of individuals at risk for the disease exposure in three epidemic waves over the period of 24 months was around 16,000-a much smaller number than previously estimated and likely an evidence of at least partial protection of the population at risk through ring vaccination and contact tracing as well as adherence to strict quarantine and isolation policies.
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