Evidence map›Paper›PMID 35365228›Full record

ArticleArchives of public health = Archives belges de sante publique2022

Measuring disability-adjusted life years (DALYs) due to COVID-19 in Scotland, 2020.

Grant M A Wyper, Eilidh Fletcher, Ian Grant, Gerry McCartney, Colin Fischbacher, Oliver Harding, Hannah Jones, Maria Teresa de Haro Moro, Niko Speybroeck, Brecht Devleesschauwer and 1 more

Abstract read
In one paragraph

Article in Archives of public health = Archives belges de sante publique, 2022. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Cited by 24 papers, 1 of them a synthesis that pooled it.

0numbers the graph read from it
0cells of the map it votes in
24citing papers in PubMed, 1 pooled it
–field-weighted citation impact
1 · What the graph read from it

What it found

Each row is one number read from the abstract, on the scale the paper reported it, with its interval. Left of the dashed line favours the treatment, right favours the comparator. Under each row is the sentence it came from. New to these charts? A ten-minute tutorial.

The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.

2 · The registry

The trial behind it

Trials whose registry record cites this paper, or whose number appears in the abstract. A trial that started after this paper was published is citing it as background, not reporting it.

Neither the registry nor the abstract names a trial number. If this is a trial report, that itself is worth knowing.

3 · Its place in the literature

Who cites it

24 citing papers in PubMed, 1 synthesis or guideline pooled it.

  1. Pooled it
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  4. COVID-19 burden in Iran: disability-adjusted life years analysis from hospital data, 2020-2021.Archives of public health = Archives belges de sante publique · 2024
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  13. Challenges in the Vaccination of the Elderly and Strategies for Improvement.Pathophysiology : the official journal of the International Society for Pathophysiology · 2023
    Review
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4 · The record

Corrections and comments

PubMed lists nothing against this paper. Absence here is not a guarantee, only a check that was made.

5 · Who and what money

Authors and funding

11 authors.

Grant M A WyperPlace and Wellbeing Directorate, Public Health Scotland, Glasgow, Scotland. grant.wyper@phs.scot.ORCID http://orcid.org/0000-0003-2854-5822
Eilidh FletcherData Driven Innovation Directorate, Public Health Scotland, Edinburgh, Scotland.
Ian GrantData Driven Innovation Directorate, Public Health Scotland, Edinburgh, Scotland.
Gerry McCartneyCollege of Social Sciences, University of Glasgow, Glasgow, Scotland.
Colin FischbacherClinical and Protecting Health Directorate, Public Health Scotland, Edinburgh, Scotland.
Oliver HardingDirectorate of Public Health, NHS Forth Valley, Stirling, Scotland.
Hannah JonesPlace and Wellbeing Directorate, Public Health Scotland, Glasgow, Scotland.
Maria Teresa de Haro MoroData Driven Innovation Directorate, Public Health Scotland, Edinburgh, Scotland.
Niko SpeybroeckResearch Institute of Health and Society (IRSS), Université catholique de Louvain, Brussels, Belgium.
Brecht DevleesschauwerDepartment of Epidemiology and Public Health, Sciensano, Brussels, Belgium.
Diane L StocktonClinical and Protecting Health Directorate, Public Health Scotland, Edinburgh, Scotland.

Funding

No grant is acknowledged in the PubMed record.

6 · The paper itself

Abstract

backgroundDisability-adjusted life years (DALYs) combine the impact of morbidity and mortality and can enable comprehensive, and comparable, assessments of direct and indirect health harms due to COVID-19. Our aim was to estimate DALYs directly due to COVID-19 in Scotland, during 2020; and contextualise its population impact relative to other causes of disease and injury.

methodsNational deaths and daily case data were used. Deaths were based on underlying and contributory causes recorded on death certificates. We calculated DALYs based on the COVID-19 consensus model and methods outlined by the European Burden of Disease Network. DALYs were presented as a range, using a sensitivity analysis based on Years of Life Lost estimates using: cause-specific; and COVID-19 related deaths. All COVID-19 estimates were for 2020.

resultsIn 2020, estimates of COVID-19 DALYs in Scotland ranged from 96,500 to 108,200. Direct COVID-19 DALYs were substantial enough to be framed as the second leading cause of disease and injury, with only ischaemic heart disease having a larger impact on population health. Mortality contributed 98% of total DALYs.

conclusionsThe direct population health impact of COVID-19 has been very substantial. Despite unprecedented mitigation efforts, COVID-19 developed from a single identified case in early 2020 to a condition with an impact in Scotland second only to ischaemic heart disease. Periodic estimation of DALYs during 2021, and beyond, will provide indications of the impact of DALYs averted due to the national rollout of the vaccination programme and other continued mitigation efforts, although new variants may pose significant challenges.

Indexed as

Burden of diseasecoronavirusCOVID-19DALYdisability-adjusted life yearsEuropean burden of disease networkpopulation healthScottish burden of diseaseYLDYLL

Identifiers

PMID35365228
PMCPMC8972687

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Registered trials

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Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the OpenQuestion graph.