Evidence map›Paper›PMID 35363255›Full record

ArticleAge and ageing2022

Retinal photograph-based deep learning predicts biological age, and stratifies morbidity and mortality risk.

Simon Nusinovici, Tyler Hyungtaek Rim, Marco Yu, Geunyoung Lee, Yih-Chung Tham, Ning Cheung, Crystal Chun Yuen Chong, Zhi Da Soh, Sahil Thakur, Chan Joo Lee and 7 more

Open access · hybridAbstract read
In one paragraph

Article in Age and ageing, 2022. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Cited by 54 papers, 1 of them a synthesis that pooled it.

0numbers the graph read from it
0cells of the map it votes in
54citing papers in PubMed, 1 pooled it
10.9field-weighted citation impact, top 1% of its field
1 · What the graph read from it

What it found

Each row is one number read from the abstract, on the scale the paper reported it, with its interval. Left of the dashed line favours the treatment, right favours the comparator. Under each row is the sentence it came from. New to these charts? A ten-minute tutorial.

The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.

2 · The registry

The trial behind it

Trials whose registry record cites this paper, or whose number appears in the abstract. A trial that started after this paper was published is citing it as background, not reporting it.

Neither the registry nor the abstract names a trial number. If this is a trial report, that itself is worth knowing.

3 · Its place in the literature

Who cites it

54 citing papers in PubMed, 1 synthesis or guideline pooled it, 85 citations in OpenAlex.

  1. Pooled it
  2. Article
  3. Review
  4. Article
  5. AI-driven multimodal retinal imaging for early detection and risk stratification of vascular and neurodegenerative diseases.Graefe's archive for clinical and experimental ophthalmology = Albrecht von Graefes Archiv fur klinische und experimentelle Ophthalmologie · 2026
    Review
  6. Article
  7. Review
  8. Functional, molecular, and digital measurements of biological age.The Journal of clinical investigation · 2026
    Review
  9. Article
  10. Article
  11. Article
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  18. Spine age derived from DXA vertebral fracture assessment images predicts incident fractures and mortality: the Manitoba Bone Mineral Density Registry.Journal of bone and mineral research : the official journal of the American Society for Bone and Mineral Research · 2026
    Article
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4 · The record

Corrections and comments

PubMed lists nothing against this paper. Absence here is not a guarantee, only a check that was made.

5 · Who and what money

Authors and funding

17 authors at 7 institutions in 2 countries.

Simon NusinoviciSingapore Eye Research Institute, Singapore National Eye Centre, Singapore.
Tyler Hyungtaek RimSingapore Eye Research Institute, Singapore National Eye Centre, Singapore.
Marco YuSingapore Eye Research Institute, Singapore National Eye Centre, Singapore.
Geunyoung LeeMedi Whale Inc., Seoul, South Korea.
Yih-Chung ThamSingapore Eye Research Institute, Singapore National Eye Centre, Singapore.
Ning CheungSingapore Eye Research Institute, Singapore National Eye Centre, Singapore.
Crystal Chun Yuen ChongSingapore Eye Research Institute, Singapore National Eye Centre, Singapore.
Zhi Da SohSingapore Eye Research Institute, Singapore National Eye Centre, Singapore.
Sahil ThakurSingapore Eye Research Institute, Singapore National Eye Centre, Singapore.
Chan Joo LeeDivision of Cardiology, Severance Cardiovascular Hospital, Severance Hospital, Yonsei University College of Medicine, Seoul, South Korea.
Charumathi SabanayagamSingapore Eye Research Institute, Singapore National Eye Centre, Singapore.
Byoung Kwon LeeDivision of Cardiology, Severance Cardiovascular Hospital, Gangnam Severance Hospital, Yonsei University Medical College of Medicine, Seoul, South Korea.
Sungha ParkDivision of Cardiology, Severance Cardiovascular Hospital and Integrated Research Center for Cerebrovascular and Cardiovascular Disease, Severance Hospital, Yonsei University College of Medicine, Seoul, South Korea.
Sung Soo KimDepartment of Ophthalmology, Severance Hospital, Yonsei University College of Medicine, Seoul, Korea.
Hyeon Chang KimDepartment of Preventive Medicine, Yonsei University College of Medicine, Seoul, Korea.
Tien-Yin WongSingapore Eye Research Institute, Singapore National Eye Centre, Singapore.
Ching-Yu ChengSingapore Eye Research Institute, Singapore National Eye Centre, Singapore.
Singapore Eye Research Institute · SGDuke-NUS Medical School · SGSeverance Hospital · KRYonsei University · KRGangnam Severance Hospital · KRNational University of Singapore · SGSingapore National Eye Center · SG

Funding

Medical Research Council MC_PC_17228Medical Research Council MC_QA137853
6 · The paper itself

Abstract

backgroundageing is an important risk factor for a variety of human pathologies. Biological age (BA) may better capture ageing-related physiological changes compared with chronological age (CA).

objectivewe developed a deep learning (DL) algorithm to predict BA based on retinal photographs and evaluated the performance of our new ageing marker in the risk stratification of mortality and major morbidity in general populations.

methodswe first trained a DL algorithm using 129,236 retinal photographs from 40,480 participants in the Korean Health Screening study to predict the probability of age being ≥65 years ('RetiAGE') and then evaluated the ability of RetiAGE to stratify the risk of mortality and major morbidity among 56,301 participants in the UK Biobank. Cox proportional hazards model was used to estimate the hazard ratios (HRs).

resultsin the UK Biobank, over a 10-year follow up, 2,236 (4.0%) died; of them, 636 (28.4%) were due to cardiovascular diseases (CVDs) and 1,276 (57.1%) due to cancers. Compared with the participants in the RetiAGE first quartile, those in the RetiAGE fourth quartile had a 67% higher risk of 10-year all-cause mortality (HR = 1.67 [1.42-1.95]), a 142% higher risk of CVD mortality (HR = 2.42 [1.69-3.48]) and a 60% higher risk of cancer mortality (HR = 1.60 [1.31-1.96]), independent of CA and established ageing phenotypic biomarkers. Likewise, compared with the first quartile group, the risk of CVD and cancer events in the fourth quartile group increased by 39% (HR = 1.39 [1.14-1.69]) and 18% (HR = 1.18 [1.10-1.26]), respectively. The best discrimination ability for RetiAGE alone was found for CVD mortality (c-index = 0.70, sensitivity = 0.76, specificity = 0.55). Furthermore, adding RetiAGE increased the discrimination ability of the model beyond CA and phenotypic biomarkers (increment in c-index between 1 and 2%).

conclusionsthe DL-derived RetiAGE provides a novel, alternative approach to measure ageing.

Indexed as

Deep LearningAgedAgingHumansMorbidityProportional Hazards ModelsRisk Factorsartificial intelligencebiological agecancercardiovascular diseaseDeep learningmortalityolder peopleretinal photograph

Identifiers

PMID35363255
PMCPMC8973000
OpenAlexW4226065208

What OpenQuestion holds

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LicenceCC BY-NC
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Registered trials

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Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the OpenQuestion graph.