Evidence map›Paper›PMID 35361970›Full record

ArticleNature genetics2022

Polygenic prediction of educational attainment within and between families from genome-wide association analyses in 3 million individuals.

Aysu Okbay, Yeda Wu, Nancy Wang, Hariharan Jayashankar, Michael Bennett, Seyed Moeen Nehzati, Julia Sidorenko, Hyeokmoon Kweon, Grant Goldman, Tamara Gjorgjieva and 30 more

Open access · hybridAbstract read
In one paragraph

Article in Nature genetics, 2022. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Cited by 431 papers, 11 of them syntheses that pooled it.

0numbers the graph read from it
0cells of the map it votes in
431citing papers in PubMed, 11 pooled it
116.9field-weighted citation impact, top 1% of its field
1 · What the graph read from it

What it found

Each row is one number read from the abstract, on the scale the paper reported it, with its interval. Left of the dashed line favours the treatment, right favours the comparator. Under each row is the sentence it came from. New to these charts? A ten-minute tutorial.

The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.

2 · The registry

The trial behind it

Trials whose registry record cites this paper, or whose number appears in the abstract. A trial that started after this paper was published is citing it as background, not reporting it.

Neither the registry nor the abstract names a trial number. If this is a trial report, that itself is worth knowing.

3 · Its place in the literature

Who cites it

431 citing papers in PubMed, 11 syntheses or guidelines pooled it, 660 citations in OpenAlex.

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  6. The genetics of cannabis lifetime use.Neuropsychopharmacology : official publication of the American College of Neuropsychopharmacology · 2026
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  9. International journal of molecular sciences · 2025
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  11. Sex-stratified genome-wide meta-analysis identifies novel loci for cognitive decline in older adults.Alzheimer's & dementia : the journal of the Alzheimer's Association · 2025
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371 more citing papers are in PubMed but not listed here.

4 · The record

Corrections and comments

5 · Who and what money

Authors and funding

40 authors at 20 institutions in 22 countries.

Aysu Okbay *Department of Economics, School of Business and Economics, Vrije Universiteit Amsterdam, Amsterdam, the Netherlands. a.okbay@vu.nl.
Yeda WuInstitute for Molecular Bioscience, University of Queensland, Brisbane, QLD, Australia.
Nancy WangNational Bureau of Economic Research, Cambridge, MA, USA.
Hariharan JayashankarNational Bureau of Economic Research, Cambridge, MA, USA.
Michael BennettNational Bureau of Economic Research, Cambridge, MA, USA.ORCID http://orcid.org/0000-0002-0446-1029
Seyed Moeen NehzatiUCLA Anderson School of Management, Los Angeles, CA, USA.
Julia SidorenkoInstitute for Molecular Bioscience, University of Queensland, Brisbane, QLD, Australia.ORCID http://orcid.org/0000-0003-1494-6772
Hyeokmoon KweonDepartment of Economics, School of Business and Economics, Vrije Universiteit Amsterdam, Amsterdam, the Netherlands.
Grant GoldmanNational Bureau of Economic Research, Cambridge, MA, USA.
Tamara GjorgjievaNational Bureau of Economic Research, Cambridge, MA, USA.ORCID http://orcid.org/0000-0002-2514-3580
Yunxuan Jiang23andMe, Inc., Sunnyvale, CA, USA.
Barry Hicks23andMe, Inc., Sunnyvale, CA, USA.
Chao Tian23andMe, Inc., Sunnyvale, CA, USA.
David A Hinds23andMe, Inc., Sunnyvale, CA, USA.ORCID http://orcid.org/0000-0002-4911-803X
Rafael AhlskogDepartment of Government, Uppsala University, Uppsala, Sweden.
Patrik K E MagnussonSwedish Twin Registry, Department of Medical Epidemiology and Biostatistics, Karolinska Institutet, Stockholm, Sweden.ORCID http://orcid.org/0000-0002-7315-7899
Sven OskarssonDepartment of Government, Uppsala University, Uppsala, Sweden.ORCID http://orcid.org/0000-0001-8698-2866
Caroline HaywardMRC Human Genetics Unit, Institute of Genetics and Cancer, University of Edinburgh, Western General Hospital, Edinburgh, UK.ORCID http://orcid.org/0000-0002-9405-9550
Archie CampbellCentre for Genomic and Experimental Medicine, Institute of Genetics and Cancer, University of Edinburgh, Western General Hospital, Edinburgh, UK.ORCID http://orcid.org/0000-0003-0198-5078
David J PorteousCentre for Genomic and Experimental Medicine, Institute of Genetics and Cancer, University of Edinburgh, Western General Hospital, Edinburgh, UK.ORCID http://orcid.org/0000-0003-1249-6106
Jeremy FreeseDepartment of Sociology, Stanford University, Stanford, CA, USA.
Pamela HerdMcCourt School of Public Policy, Georgetown University, Washington, DC, USA.
23andMe Research Team
Social Science Genetic Association Consortium
Chelsea WatsonUCLA Anderson School of Management, Los Angeles, CA, USA.
Jonathan JalaUCLA Anderson School of Management, Los Angeles, CA, USA.
Dalton ConleyDepartment of Sociology, Princeton University, Princeton, NJ, USA.
Philipp D KoellingerDepartment of Economics, School of Business and Economics, Vrije Universiteit Amsterdam, Amsterdam, the Netherlands.
Magnus JohannessonDepartment of Economics, Stockholm School of Economics, Stockholm, Sweden.
David LaibsonDepartment of Economics, Harvard University, Cambridge, MA, USA.
Michelle N MeyerCenter for Translational Bioethics and Health Care Policy, Geisinger Health System, Danville, PA, USA.
James J LeeDepartment of Psychology, University of Minnesota Twin Cities, Minneapolis, MN, USA.
Augustine KongBig Data Institute, Li Ka Shing Centre for Health Information and Discovery, University of Oxford, Oxford, UK.
Loic YengoInstitute for Molecular Bioscience, University of Queensland, Brisbane, QLD, Australia.
David CesariniNational Bureau of Economic Research, Cambridge, MA, USA.
Patrick TurleyDepartment of Economics, University of Southern California, Los Angeles, CA, USA.
Peter M VisscherInstitute for Molecular Bioscience, University of Queensland, Brisbane, QLD, Australia. peter.visscher@uq.edu.au.
Jonathan P BeauchampInterdisciplinary Center for Economic Science and Department of Economics, George Mason University, Fairfax, VA, USA.
Daniel J BenjaminNational Bureau of Economic Research, Cambridge, MA, USA. daniel.benjamin@gmail.com.ORCID http://orcid.org/0000-0002-2642-5416
Alexander I Young *UCLA Anderson School of Management, Los Angeles, CA, USA. alextisyoung@gmail.com.
23andMe (United States) · USUniversity Medical Center Groningen · NLThe University of Queensland · AUUniversity of Helsinki · FIUniversity of Minnesota · USErasmus MC · NLWestern General Hospital · GBFinnish Institute for Health and Welfare · FIMedical University of Graz · ATNational Bureau of Economic Research · USdeCODE Genetics (Iceland) · ISHarvard University · USUniversity of Copenhagen · DKWashington University in St. Louis · USHelmholtz Zentrum München · DERush University Medical Center · USUniversitätsmedizin Greifswald · DEUniversity of Edinburgh · GBUniversity of Leicester · GBUniversity of Michigan · US

Funding

SUPPLEMENT TO RUSH ALZHEIMERS DISEASE CENTER COREP30AG010161 · NIA · RUSH UNIVERSITY MEDICAL CENTER · PI LEURGANS, SUE E. · 1991 to 2020
$49.1M
EPIDEMIOLOGY OF NEURAL RESERVE AND NEUROBIOLOGY IN AGINGR01AG017917 · NIA · RUSH UNIVERSITY MEDICAL CENTER · PI BENNETT, DAVID ALAN · 2001 to 2023
$43.3M
Rush Alzheimer's Disease Research CenterP30AG072975 · NIA · RUSH UNIVERSITY MEDICAL CENTER · PI Lisa L Barnes, Julie A. Schneider · 2021 to 2026
$24.7M
RISK FACTORS, PATHOLOGY, AND CLINICAL EXPRESSIONS OF ADR01AG015819 · NIA · RUSH UNIVERSITY MEDICAL CENTER · PI BENNETT, DAVID ALAN · 1998 to 2024
$21.4M
Statistical methods for studies of rare variantsR01MH101244 · NIMH · HARVARD MEDICAL SCHOOL · PI Benjamin Michael Neale, ALKES L PRICE · 2013 to 2026
$9.4M
Characterizing the Behavior Profile of Healthy Cognitive AgingR01AG034374 · NIA · RUSH UNIVERSITY MEDICAL CENTER · PI PATRICIA A BOYLE · 2009 to 2026
$8.8M
2/7 Psychiatric Genomics Consortium: Finding Actionable VariationU01MH109539 · NIMH · MASSACHUSETTS GENERAL HOSPITAL · PI DALY, MARK JOSEPH · 2016 to 2020
$4.7M
Genome-Wide Analyses of Health and Well-Being PhenotypesR01AG042568 · NIA · UNIVERSITY OF SOUTHERN CALIFORNIA · PI BENJAMIN, DANIEL J · 2015 to 2021
$2.8M
Infrastructure and Core Activities of the Social Science Genetic Association ConsortiumR24AG065184 · NIA · UNIVERSITY OF SOUTHERN CALIFORNIA · PI BENJAMIN, DANIEL J · 2019 to 2023
$1.8M
Identifying gene-by-environment interplay in health behaviorR56AG058726 · NIA · UNIVERSITY OF SOUTHERN CALIFORNIA · PI GALAMA, TITUS JOHANNES · 2020 to 2020
$842k
Genome-Wide Analyses of Health and Well-Being PhenotypesR56AG042568 · NIA · UNIVERSITY OF SOUTHERN CALIFORNIA · PI BENJAMIN, DANIEL J · 2018 to 2018
$803k
Genome-wide analysis of late-onset Alzheimer's disease using intergenerational, multi-trait, and cross-ancestry dataR00AG062787 · NIA · UNIVERSITY OF SOUTHERN CALIFORNIA · PI TURLEY, PATRICK ANSEL · 2021 to 2023
$747k
Medical Research Council MC_UU_00007/10Medical Research Council MR/S019669/1NIA NIH HHS K99 AG062787NIA NIH HHS P30 AG010161NIA NIH HHS P30 AG072975NIA NIH HHS R00 AG062787NIA NIH HHS R01 AG015819NIA NIH HHS R01 AG017917NIA NIH HHS R01 AG034374NIA NIH HHS R01 AG042568NIA NIH HHS R24 AG065184NIA NIH HHS R56 AG042568NIA NIH HHS R56 AG058726NIMH NIH HHS R01 MH101244NIMH NIH HHS U01 MH109539
6 · The paper itself

Abstract

We conduct a genome-wide association study (GWAS) of educational attainment (EA) in a sample of ~3 million individuals and identify 3,952 approximately uncorrelated genome-wide-significant single-nucleotide polymorphisms (SNPs). A genome-wide polygenic predictor, or polygenic index (PGI), explains 12-16% of EA variance and contributes to risk prediction for ten diseases. Direct effects (i.e., controlling for parental PGIs) explain roughly half the PGI's magnitude of association with EA and other phenotypes. The correlation between mate-pair PGIs is far too large to be consistent with phenotypic assortment alone, implying additional assortment on PGI-associated factors. In an additional GWAS of dominance deviations from the additive model, we identify no genome-wide-significant SNPs, and a separate X-chromosome additive GWAS identifies 57.

Indexed as

Genome-Wide Association StudyMultifactorial InheritanceHumansPolymorphism, Single Nucleotide

Identifiers

PMID35361970
PMCPMC9005349
OpenAlexW4220711675

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Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the OpenQuestion graph.