Evidence map›Paper›PMID 35361134›Full record

ArticleBMC geriatrics2022

The impact of chemotherapy and survival prediction by machine learning in early Elderly Triple Negative Breast Cancer (eTNBC): a population based study from the SEER database.

Kaiyan Huang, Jie Zhang, Yushuai Yu, Yuxiang Lin, Chuangui Song

Open access · goldAbstract read
In one paragraph

Article in BMC geriatrics, 2022. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Cited by 22 papers, 4 of them syntheses that pooled it.

0numbers the graph read from it
0cells of the map it votes in
22citing papers in PubMed, 4 pooled it
3.2field-weighted citation impact, top 6% of its field
1 · What the graph read from it

What it found

Each row is one number read from the abstract, on the scale the paper reported it, with its interval. Left of the dashed line favours the treatment, right favours the comparator. Under each row is the sentence it came from. New to these charts? A ten-minute tutorial.

The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.

2 · The registry

The trial behind it

Trials whose registry record cites this paper, or whose number appears in the abstract. A trial that started after this paper was published is citing it as background, not reporting it.

Neither the registry nor the abstract names a trial number. If this is a trial report, that itself is worth knowing.

3 · Its place in the literature

Who cites it

22 citing papers in PubMed, 4 syntheses or guidelines pooled it, 35 citations in OpenAlex.

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4 · The record

Corrections and comments

PubMed lists nothing against this paper. Absence here is not a guarantee, only a check that was made.

5 · Who and what money

Authors and funding

5 authors at 2 institutions in 1 country.

Kaiyan Huang *Department of Breast Surgery, Fujian Medical University Union Hospital, Fuzhou, 350001, Fujian Province, China.
Jie Zhang *Department of Breast Surgery, Fujian Medical University Union Hospital, Fuzhou, 350001, Fujian Province, China.
Yushuai Yu *Department of Breast Surgery, Fujian Medical University Union Hospital, Fuzhou, 350001, Fujian Province, China.
Yuxiang LinDepartment of Breast Surgery, Fujian Medical University Union Hospital, Fuzhou, 350001, Fujian Province, China.
Chuangui SongDepartment of Breast Surgery, Fujian Medical University Union Hospital, Fuzhou, 350001, Fujian Province, China. Songcg1971@hotmail.com.
Union Hospital · CNFujian Medical University · CN

Funding

No grant is acknowledged in the PubMed record.

6 · The paper itself

Abstract

purposeWe aimed to analysis the impact of chemotherapy and establish prediction models of prognosis in early elderly triple negative breast cancer (eTNBC) by using machine learning.

methodsWe enrolled 4,696 patients in SEER Database who were 70 years or older, diagnosed with primary early TNBC(larger than 5 mm), from 2010 to 2016. The propensity-score matched method was utilized to reduce covariable imbalance. Univariable and multivariable analyses were used to compare breast cancer-specific survival(BCSS) and overall survival(OS). Nine models were developed by machine learning to predict the 5-year OS and BCSS for patients received chemotherapy.

resultsCompared to matched patients in no-chemotherapy group, multivariate analysis showed a better survival in chemotherapy group. Stratified analyses by stage demonstrated that patients with stage II and stage III other than stage I could benefit from chemotherapy. Further investigation in stage II found that chemotherapy was a better prognostic indicator for patients with T2N0M0 and stage IIb, but not in T1N1M0. Patients with grade III could achieve a better survival by receiving chemotherapy, but those with grade I and II couldn't. With 0.75 in 5-year BCSS and 0.81 in 5-year OS for AUC, the LightGBM outperformed other algorithms.

conclusionFor early eTNBC patients with stage I, T1N1M0 and grade I-II, chemotherapy couldn't improve survival. Therefore, de-escalation therapy might be appropriate for selected patients. The LightGBM is a trustful model to predict the survival and provide precious systemic treatment for patients received chemotherapy.

Indexed as

Triple Negative Breast NeoplasmsAgedHumansMachine LearningNeoplasm StagingPrognosisSEER ProgramBreast cancer-specific survivalElderly triple negative breast cancerMachine learningOverall survivalSEER database

Identifiers

PMID35361134
PMCPMC8973884
OpenAlexW4220663440

What OpenQuestion holds

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LicenceCC BY
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Registered trials

None linked

Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the OpenQuestion graph.