Evidence map›Paper›PMID 35359835›Full record

ArticleFrontiers in pharmacology2022

Limits of Prediction for Machine Learning in Drug Discovery.

Modest von Korff, Thomas Sander

Abstract read
In one paragraph

Article in Frontiers in pharmacology, 2022. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Cited by 5 papers.

0numbers the graph read from it
0cells of the map it votes in
5citing papers in PubMed
–field-weighted citation impact
1 · What the graph read from it

What it found

Each row is one number read from the abstract, on the scale the paper reported it, with its interval. Left of the dashed line favours the treatment, right favours the comparator. Under each row is the sentence it came from. New to these charts? A ten-minute tutorial.

The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.

2 · The registry

The trial behind it

Trials whose registry record cites this paper, or whose number appears in the abstract. A trial that started after this paper was published is citing it as background, not reporting it.

Neither the registry nor the abstract names a trial number. If this is a trial report, that itself is worth knowing.

3 · Its place in the literature

Who cites it

5 citing papers in PubMed.

  1. Article
  2. Review
  3. Article
  4. Directional ΔJournal of chemical information and modeling · 2024
    Article
  5. Article
4 · The record

Corrections and comments

PubMed lists nothing against this paper. Absence here is not a guarantee, only a check that was made.

5 · Who and what money

Authors and funding

2 authors.

Modest von KorffIdorsia Pharmaceuticals Ltd., Allschwil, Switzerland.
Thomas SanderIdorsia Pharmaceuticals Ltd., Allschwil, Switzerland.

Funding

No grant is acknowledged in the PubMed record.

6 · The paper itself

Abstract

In drug discovery, molecules are optimized towards desired properties. In this context, machine learning is used for extrapolation in drug discovery projects. The limits of extrapolation for regression models are known. However, a systematic analysis of the effectiveness of extrapolation in drug discovery has not yet been performed. In response, this study examined the capabilities of six machine learning algorithms to extrapolate from 243 datasets. The response values calculated from the molecules in the datasets were molecular weight, cLogP, and the number of sp3-atoms. Three experimental set ups were chosen for response values. Shuffled data were used for interpolation, whereas data for extrapolation were sorted from high to low values, and the reverse. Extrapolation with sorted data resulted in much larger prediction errors than extrapolation with shuffled data. Additionally, this study demonstrated that linear machine learning methods are preferable for extrapolation.

Indexed as

data setdrug discoveryextrapolationGaussian regressionmachine learningPLS (partial least square)random forestsupport vector regression

Identifiers

PMID35359835
PMCPMC8960959

What OpenQuestion holds

Textmetadata
LicenceCC BY
Read underepoch 390

Registered trials

None linked

Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the OpenQuestion graph.