Evidence map›Paper›PMID 35350993›Full record

ArticleBMC medical research methodology2022

Immortal time bias for life-long conditions in retrospective observational studies using electronic health records.

Freya Tyrer, Krishnan Bhaskaran, Mark J Rutherford

Abstract read
In one paragraph

Article in BMC medical research methodology, 2022. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Cited by 32 papers, 1 of them a synthesis that pooled it.

0numbers the graph read from it
0cells of the map it votes in
32citing papers in PubMed, 1 pooled it
–field-weighted citation impact
1 · What the graph read from it

What it found

Each row is one number read from the abstract, on the scale the paper reported it, with its interval. Left of the dashed line favours the treatment, right favours the comparator. Under each row is the sentence it came from. New to these charts? A ten-minute tutorial.

The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.

2 · The registry

The trial behind it

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3 · Its place in the literature

Who cites it

32 citing papers in PubMed, 1 synthesis or guideline pooled it.

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4 · The record

Corrections and comments

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5 · Who and what money

Authors and funding

3 authors.

Freya TyrerDepartment of Health Sciences (Biostatistics Research Group), University of Leicester, Leicester, UK. fct2@le.ac.uk.ORCID 0000-0003-2877-4342
Krishnan BhaskaranDepartment of Non-communicable Disease Epidemiology, London School of Hygiene & Tropical Medicine, London, UK.
Mark J RutherfordDepartment of Health Sciences (Biostatistics Research Group), University of Leicester, Leicester, UK.

Funding

Wellcome Trust
6 · The paper itself

Abstract

backgroundImmortal time bias is common in observational studies but is typically described for pharmacoepidemiology studies where there is a delay between cohort entry and treatment initiation.

methodsThis study used the Clinical Practice Research Datalink (CPRD) and linked national mortality data in England from 2000 to 2019 to investigate immortal time bias for a specific life-long condition, intellectual disability. Life expectancy (Chiang's abridged life table approach) was compared for 33,867 exposed and 980,586 unexposed individuals aged 10+ years using five methods: (1) treating immortal time as observation time; (2) excluding time before date of first exposure diagnosis; (3) matching cohort entry to first exposure diagnosis; (4) excluding time before proxy date of inputting first exposure diagnosis (by the physician); and (5) treating exposure as a time-dependent measure.

resultsWhen not considered in the design or analysis (Method 1), immortal time bias led to disproportionately high life expectancy for the exposed population during the first calendar period (additional years expected to live: 2000-2004: 65.6 [95% CI: 63.6,67.6]) compared to the later calendar periods (2005-2009: 59.9 [58.8,60.9]; 2010-2014: 58.0 [57.1,58.9]; 2015-2019: 58.2 [56.8,59.7]). Date of entry of diagnosis (Method 4) was unreliable in this CPRD cohort. The final methods (Method 2, 3 and 5) appeared to solve the main theoretical problem but residual bias may have remained.

conclusionsWe conclude that immortal time bias is a significant issue for studies of life-long conditions that use electronic health record data and requires careful consideration of how clinical diagnoses are entered onto electronic health record systems.

Indexed as

Electronic Health RecordsBiasChildCohort StudiesHumansRetrospective StudiesTime FactorsBias (epidemiology)Electronic health recordsEpidemiologic methodsImmortal time biasLife expectancyObservational studies

Identifiers

PMID35350993
PMCPMC8962148

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Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the OpenQuestion graph.