Evidence map›Paper›PMID 35350099›Full record

ArticleFrontiers in endocrinology2022

Projecting National-Level Prevalence of General Obesity and Abdominal Obesity Among Chinese Adults With Aging Effects.

Xu Tian, Hui Wang

Open access · goldAbstract read
In one paragraph

Article in Frontiers in endocrinology, 2022. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Cited by 12 papers, 1 of them a synthesis that pooled it.

0numbers the graph read from it
0cells of the map it votes in
12citing papers in PubMed, 1 pooled it
3.8field-weighted citation impact, top 7% of its field
1 · What the graph read from it

What it found

Each row is one number read from the abstract, on the scale the paper reported it, with its interval. Left of the dashed line favours the treatment, right favours the comparator. Under each row is the sentence it came from. New to these charts? A ten-minute tutorial.

The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.

2 · The registry

The trial behind it

Trials whose registry record cites this paper, or whose number appears in the abstract. A trial that started after this paper was published is citing it as background, not reporting it.

Neither the registry nor the abstract names a trial number. If this is a trial report, that itself is worth knowing.

3 · Its place in the literature

Who cites it

12 citing papers in PubMed, 1 synthesis or guideline pooled it, 19 citations in OpenAlex.

  1. Pooled it
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  6. Assessment of Adipokine and Inflammation Biomarkers with Cancer Risk among Chinese Men: A Prospective Cohort Study.Cancer epidemiology, biomarkers & prevention : a publication of the American Association for Cancer Research, cosponsored by the American Society of Preventive Oncology · 2025
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4 · The record

Corrections and comments

PubMed lists nothing against this paper. Absence here is not a guarantee, only a check that was made.

5 · Who and what money

Authors and funding

2 authors at 2 institutions in 1 country.

Xu TianCollege of Economics and Management, Academy of Global Food Economics and Policy, China Agricultural University, Beijing, China.
Hui WangDepartment of Maternal and Child Health, School of Public Health, Peking University Health Science Center, Beijing, China.
China Agricultural University · CNPeking University · CN

Funding

UNIV OF NORTH CAROLINA CLINICAL NUTRITION RESEARCH UNITP30DK056350 · NIDDK · UNIV OF NORTH CAROLINA CHAPEL HILL · PI Ian Michael Carroll · 1999 to 2026
$31.6M
MONITORING SOCIAL CHANGE: HEALTH, REPRODUCTION, AGINGR01HD030880 · NICHD · UNIV OF NORTH CAROLINA CHAPEL HILL · PI ADAIR, LINDA S, POPKIN, BARRY M · 1994 to 2024
$27.0M
CHILD HEALTH EFFECTS OF RAPID SOCIO-DEMOGRAPHIC CHANGER01HD038700 · NICHD · UNIVERSITY OF NORTH CAROLINA CHAPEL HILL · PI POPKIN, BARRY M · 2000 to 2004
$1.5M
NICHD NIH HHS R01 HD030880NICHD NIH HHS R01 HD038700NIDDK NIH HHS P30 DK056350
6 · The paper itself

Abstract

Objectives: To explore the impact of population aging on the projected prevalence of obesity among Chinese adults in 2030. Methods: In total, 71450 observations were extracted from the China Health and Nutrition Survey between 1991 and 2015.Population was projected to 2030 using a Bayesian hierarchical modeling method. Two different approaches were adopted to estimate and project the national prevalence of overweight/obesity from 1991 to 2030. One method assumed a constant population at the base year, while the other allowed the age and gender distributions vary in each year. Results: Our projection indicated that approximately two-thirds of Chinese adults would be affected by overweight/general obesity in 2030, and more than 60% of Chinese adults will suffer from abdominal obesity in 2030. Ignoring population aging led to an underestimation of overweight, general obesity and abdominal obesity for women by 3.81, 0.06, and 3.16 percentage points (pp), and overweight and abdominal obesity among men by 1.67 and 0.53 pp, respectively; but the prevalence of general obesity among men will be overestimated by 2.11 pp. Similar underestimations were detected in the estimation from 1991 to 2015. Conclusions: Estimating and projecting the national prevalence of obesity using a constant population structure at the base line would cause significant underestimation if countries are undergoing rapid population aging.

Indexed as

ObesityObesity, AbdominalAdultAgingBayes TheoremChinaFemaleHumansMalePrevalenceabdominal obesitygeneral obesitypopulation agingprojectionsex

Identifiers

PMID35350099
PMCPMC8957832
OpenAlexW4221105768

What OpenQuestion holds

Textmetadata
LicenceCC BY
Read underepoch 390

Registered trials

None linked

Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the OpenQuestion graph.