ArticleProceedings of the National Academy of Sciences of the United States of America2022
Tripling of western US particulate pollution from wildfires in a warming climate.
Article in Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences of the United States of America, 2022. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Cited by 30 papers.
What it found
Each row is one number read from the abstract, on the scale the paper reported it, with its interval. Left of the dashed line favours the treatment, right favours the comparator. Under each row is the sentence it came from. New to these charts? A ten-minute tutorial.
The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.
The trial behind it
Trials whose registry record cites this paper, or whose number appears in the abstract. A trial that started after this paper was published is citing it as background, not reporting it.
Neither the registry nor the abstract names a trial number. If this is a trial report, that itself is worth knowing.
Who cites it
30 citing papers in PubMed.
- Growing impacts of fire smoke on ozone pollution and associated mortality burden in the United States.Science advances · 2026Article
- Wildland-Urban Interface Fires: Toxic Physicochemical Properties of Emitted Particulate Matter and Impacts on Lung Macrophages.Environmental science & technology · 2026Article
- Air Quality Alerts, Health Impacts, and Adaptation Implications Under Varying Climate Policy.Environmental science & technology · 2026Article
- Evaluation of Smoke Exposure Risk from January 2025 Los Angeles Wildfires Using Crowdsourced Data.ACS ES&T air · 2026Article
- The 'Values in Modelling' Framework for Patient and Public Involvement in Health Economics Modelling: Development and Application in the LEAP Model Project.PharmacoEconomics · 2026Review
- Large role of anthropogenic climate change in driving smoke concentrations across the western United States from 1992 to 2020.Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences of the United States of America · 2025Article
- Wildfire-related PM2.5 and respiratory transmitted disease among Chinese children and adolescents from 2008 to 2019: A retrospective study.PLoS medicine · 2025Article
- Article
- Assessing PMEnvironmental research letters : ERL [Web site] · 2025Article
- Article
- Long-range PMNature · 2025Article
- Assessing the Impact of Wildfire Smoke Transport Through Chemical Transport Modeling, Satellite Retrievals, and Ground-Based Observations of Ozone in Rural Nevada.ACS ES&T air · 2025Article
- The Epidemiological and Toxicological Intersection of Air Pollution and Dementia.Reviews of environmental contamination and toxicology · 2025Review
- A Comparative Analysis of Satellite-Derived CO Retrievals During the 2020 Wildfires in North America.Journal of geophysical research. Atmospheres : JGR · 2024Article
- Wildfire Impacts on OEnvironmental science & technology · 2024Article
- Physicochemical Characterization of the Particulate Matter in New Jersey/New York City Area, Resulting from the Canadian Quebec Wildfires in June 2023.Environmental science & technology · 2024Article
- Long-term source apportionment of PMJournal of hazardous materials · 2024Article
- Are Northern Hemisphere boreal forest fires more sensitive to future aerosol mitigation than to greenhouse gas-driven warming?Science advances · 2024Article
- Invited Perspective: Increasing Disparities in Air Pollution Health Burdens in the United States-A Concerning Trend forEnvironmental health perspectives · 2024Article
- Review
Corrections and comments
PubMed lists nothing against this paper. Absence here is not a guarantee, only a check that was made.
Authors and funding
8 authors.
Funding
No grant is acknowledged in the PubMed record.
Abstract
SignificanceRecord-setting fires in the western United States over the last decade caused severe air pollution, loss of human life, and property damage. Enhanced drought and increased biomass in a warmer climate may fuel larger and more frequent wildfires in the coming decades. Applying an empirical statistical model to fires projected by Earth System Models including climate-ecosystem-socioeconomic interactions, we show that fine particulate pollution over the US Pacific Northwest could double to triple during late summer to fall by the late 21st century under intermediate- and low-mitigation scenarios. The historic fires and resulting pollution extremes of 2017-2020 could occur every 3 to 5 y under 21st-century climate change, posing challenges for air quality management and threatening public health.
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Registered trials
Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the OpenQuestion graph.