ArticleEnvironmental research letters : ERL [Web site]2022
Estimating heat-related mortality in near real time for national heatwave plans.
Article in Environmental research letters : ERL [Web site], 2022. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Cited by 18 papers.
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Who cites it
18 citing papers in PubMed.
- Deadly heat stress conditions are already occurring for submission to Nature Communications.Nature communications · 2026Article
- The overlapping impacts of heat and COVID-19 on mortality in Flanders, Belgium: a time-stratified case-crossover analysis.Scientific reports · 2025Article
- Extreme heat impacts on daily life and adaptive behaviours captured through lived experience.Environmental research letters : ERL [Web site] · 2025Article
- Extreme Events Contributing to Tipping Elements and Tipping Points.Surveys in geophysics · 2025Review
- Refining methods for attributing health impacts to climate change: a heat-mortality case study in Zürich.Climatic change · 2025Article
- Mapping vulnerability to climate-related hazards to inform local authority action in adaptation: A feasibility study.Public health in practice (Oxford, England) · 2024Article
- Geographical Patterns in Mortality Impacts Due To Heatwaves of Different Characteristics in Spanish Cities.GeoHealth · 2024Article
- Temporal changes in temperature-related mortality in relation to the establishment of the heat-health alert system in Victoria, Australia.International journal of biometeorology · 2024Article
- Real-time forecast of temperature-related excess mortality at small-area level: towards an operational framework.Environmental research, health : ERH · 2024Article
- Compound mortality impacts from extreme temperatures and the COVID-19 pandemic.Nature communications · 2024Article
- The Intersection of the COVID-19 Pandemic and the 2021 Heat Dome in Canadian Digital News Media: A Content Analysis.International journal of environmental research and public health · 2023Article
- Optimal heat stress metric for modelling heat-related mortality varies from country to country.International journal of climatology : a journal of the Royal Meteorological Society · 2023Article
- The Scorching Truth: Investigating the Impact of Heatwaves on Selangor's Elderly Hospitalisations.International journal of environmental research and public health · 2023Article
- The Impact of Meteorological Parameters and Seasonal Changes on Reporting Patients with Selected Cardiovascular Diseases to Hospital Emergency Departments: A Pilot Study.International journal of environmental research and public health · 2023Article
- Heat Adaptation among the Elderly in Spain (1983-2018).International journal of environmental research and public health · 2023Article
- Article
- Heatwave Mortality in Summer 2020 in England: An Observational Study.International journal of environmental research and public health · 2022Observational
- Extreme heat impacts on acute care: Examining emergency department visits and hospital admissions during the 2021 British Columbia heatwave.The journal of climate change and healthArticle
Corrections and comments
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Authors and funding
5 authors.
Funding
Abstract
Heatwaves are a serious threat to human life. Public health agencies that are responsible for delivering heat-health action plans need to assess and reduce the mortality impacts of heat. Statistical models developed in epidemiology have previously been used to attribute past observed deaths to high temperatures and project future heat-related deaths. Here, we investigate the novel use of summer temperature-mortality associations established by these models for monitoring heat-related deaths in regions in England in near real time. For four summers in the period 2011-2020, we find that coupling these associations with observed daily mean temperatures results in England-wide heatwave mortality estimates that are consistent with the excess deaths estimated by UK Health Security Agency. However, our results for 2013, 2018 and 2020 highlight that the lagged effects of heat and characteristics of individual summers contribute to disagreement between the two methods. We suggest that our method can be used for heatwave mortality monitoring in England because it has the advantages of including lagged effects and controlling for other risk factors. It could also be employed by health agencies elsewhere for reliably estimating the health burden of heat in near real time and near-term forecasts.
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Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the OpenQuestion graph.