Evidence map›Paper›PMID 35330629›Full record

ArticleEnvironmental DNA (Hoboken, N.J.)2020

What do you mean by false positive.

John A Darling, Christopher L Jerde, Adam J Sepulveda

Abstract read
In one paragraph

Article in Environmental DNA (Hoboken, N.J.), 2020. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Cited by 25 papers.

0numbers the graph read from it
0cells of the map it votes in
25citing papers in PubMed
–field-weighted citation impact
1 · What the graph read from it

What it found

Each row is one number read from the abstract, on the scale the paper reported it, with its interval. Left of the dashed line favours the treatment, right favours the comparator. Under each row is the sentence it came from. New to these charts? A ten-minute tutorial.

The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.

2 · The registry

The trial behind it

Trials whose registry record cites this paper, or whose number appears in the abstract. A trial that started after this paper was published is citing it as background, not reporting it.

Neither the registry nor the abstract names a trial number. If this is a trial report, that itself is worth knowing.

3 · Its place in the literature

Who cites it

25 citing papers in PubMed.

  1. Article
  2. Review
  3. Review
  4. Invisible invaders: A new warning flag for molecularly detected alien species (MODAS) in databases and information systems.Ecological applications : a publication of the Ecological Society of America · 2026
    Article
  5. Article
  6. Article
  7. Article
  8. Article
  9. Review
  10. Article
  11. Article
  12. Article
  13. Article
  14. Article
  15. Article
  16. Article
  17. Field Trials of an Autonomous eDNA Sampler in Lotic Waters.Environmental science & technology · 2024
    Article
  18. Article
  19. Article
  20. Article
4 · The record

Corrections and comments

PubMed lists nothing against this paper. Absence here is not a guarantee, only a check that was made.

5 · Who and what money

Authors and funding

3 authors.

John A Darling *Center for Environmental Measurement & Modeling, United States Environmental Protection Agency, Research Triangle Park, NC, USA.ORCID 0000-0002-4776-9533
Christopher L Jerde *Marine Science Institute, University of California, Santa Barbara, CA, USA.ORCID 0000-0002-8074-3466
Adam J Sepulveda *Northern Rocky Mountain Science Center, U.S. Geological Survey, Bozeman, MT, USA.ORCID 0000-0001-7621-7028

Funding

Intramural EPA EPA999999
6 · The paper itself

Abstract

Misunderstandings regarding the term "false positive" present a significant hurdle to broad adoption of eDNA monitoring methods. Here, we identify three challenges to clear communication of false-positive error between scientists, managers, and the public. The first arises from a failure to distinguish between false-positive eDNA detection at the sample level and false-positive inference of taxa presence at the site level. The second is based on the large proportion of false positives that may occur when true-positive detections are likely to be rare, even when rates of contamination or other error are low. And the third misunderstanding occurs when conventional species detection approaches, often based on direct capture, are used to confirm eDNA approaches without acknowledging or quantifying the conventional approach's detection probability. The solutions to these issues include careful and consistent communication of error definitions, managing expectations of error rates, and providing a balanced discussion not only of alternative sources of species DNA, but also of the detection limitations of conventional methods. We argue that the benefit of addressing these misunderstandings will be increased confidence in the utility of eDNA methods and, ultimately, improved resource management using eDNA approaches. The term false positive is often misused in eDNA research and natural resource management. There are issues of scale of inference, the base rate fallacy, and confirmation errors using conventional methods of detection. We offer a perspective to guide discussions of errors in species detection.

Indexed as

base rate fallacyerrorspecies detectionuncertainty

Identifiers

PMID35330629
PMCPMC8941663

What OpenQuestion holds

Textmetadata
LicenceCC BY-NC-ND
Read underepoch 390

Registered trials

None linked

Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the OpenQuestion graph.