Evidence map›Paper›PMID 35322156›Full record

Trial reportScientific reports2022

Development and validation of a risk-score model for opioid overdose using a national claims database.

Kyu-Nam Heo, Ju-Yeun Lee, Young-Mi Ah

Abstract readRandomized Controlled Trial
In one paragraph

Trial report in Scientific reports, 2022. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Cited by 5 papers, 1 of them a synthesis that pooled it.

0numbers the graph read from it
0cells of the map it votes in
5citing papers in PubMed, 1 pooled it
–field-weighted citation impact
1 · What the graph read from it

What it found

Each row is one number read from the abstract, on the scale the paper reported it, with its interval. Left of the dashed line favours the treatment, right favours the comparator. Under each row is the sentence it came from. New to these charts? A ten-minute tutorial.

The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.

2 · The registry

The trial behind it

Trials whose registry record cites this paper, or whose number appears in the abstract. A trial that started after this paper was published is citing it as background, not reporting it.

Neither the registry nor the abstract names a trial number. If this is a trial report, that itself is worth knowing.

3 · Its place in the literature

Who cites it

5 citing papers in PubMed, 1 synthesis or guideline pooled it.

  1. Pooled it
  2. Assessment of Epidemiological Data and Surveillance in Korea Substance Use Research: Insights and Future Directions.Journal of preventive medicine and public health = Yebang Uihakhoe chi · 2024
    Review
  3. Article
  4. Article
  5. Article
4 · The record

Corrections and comments

PubMed lists nothing against this paper. Absence here is not a guarantee, only a check that was made.

5 · Who and what money

Authors and funding

3 authors.

Kyu-Nam HeoCollege of Pharmacy and Research Institute of Pharmaceutical Sciences, Seoul National University, Seoul, 08826, Republic of Korea.
Ju-Yeun LeeCollege of Pharmacy and Research Institute of Pharmaceutical Sciences, Seoul National University, Seoul, 08826, Republic of Korea. jypharm@snu.ac.kr.
Young-Mi AhCollege of Pharmacy, Yeungnam University, Gyeongsan, Gyeongbuk, 38541, Republic of Korea. ymah@ynu.ac.kr.

Funding

No grant is acknowledged in the PubMed record.

6 · The paper itself

Abstract

Opioid overdose can be serious adverse effects of opioid analgesics. Thus, several strategies to mitigate risk and reduce the harm of opioid overdose have been developed. However, despite a marked increase in opioid analgesic consumption in Korea, there have been no tools predicting the risk of opioid overdose in the Korean population. Using the national claims database of the Korean population, we identified patients who were incidentally prescribed non-injectable opioid analgesic (NIOA) at least once from 2017 to 2018 (N = 1,752,380). Among them, 866 cases of opioid overdose occurred, and per case, four controls were selected. Patients were randomly allocated to the development (80%) and validation (20%) cohort. Thirteen predictive variables were selected via logistic regression modelling, and a risk-score was assigned for each predictor. Our model showed good performance with c-statistics of 0.84 in the validation cohort. The developed risk score model is the first tool to identify high-risk patients for opioid overdose in Korea. It is expected to be applicable in the clinical setting and useful as a national level surveillance tool due to the easily calculable and identifiable predictors available from the claims database.

Indexed as

Drug OverdoseOpiate OverdoseAnalgesics, OpioidDatabases, FactualHumansRisk FactorsAnalgesics, Opioid

Identifiers

PMID35322156
PMCPMC8943129

What OpenQuestion holds

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LicenceCC BY
Read underepoch 390

Registered trials

None linked

Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the OpenQuestion graph.