Evidence map›Paper›PMID 35322039›Full record

ArticleNature communications2022

Extremely wet summer events enhance permafrost thaw for multiple years in Siberian tundra.

Rúna Í Magnússon, Alexandra Hamm, Sergey V Karsanaev, Juul Limpens, David Kleijn, Andrew Frampton, Trofim C Maximov, Monique M P D Heijmans

Abstract read
In one paragraph

Article in Nature communications, 2022. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Cited by 9 papers.

0numbers the graph read from it
0cells of the map it votes in
9citing papers in PubMed
–field-weighted citation impact
1 · What the graph read from it

What it found

Each row is one number read from the abstract, on the scale the paper reported it, with its interval. Left of the dashed line favours the treatment, right favours the comparator. Under each row is the sentence it came from. New to these charts? A ten-minute tutorial.

The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.

2 · The registry

The trial behind it

Trials whose registry record cites this paper, or whose number appears in the abstract. A trial that started after this paper was published is citing it as background, not reporting it.

Neither the registry nor the abstract names a trial number. If this is a trial report, that itself is worth knowing.

3 · Its place in the literature

Who cites it

9 citing papers in PubMed.

  1. Article
  2. Article
  3. Article
  4. Article
  5. Anomalous wet summers and rising atmospheric COProceedings of the National Academy of Sciences of the United States of America · 2024
    Article
  6. Article
  7. Weakening warming on spring freeze-thaw cycle caused greening Earth's third pole.Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences of the United States of America · 2024
    Article
  8. Review
  9. Article
4 · The record

Corrections and comments

PubMed lists nothing against this paper. Absence here is not a guarantee, only a check that was made.

5 · Who and what money

Authors and funding

8 authors.

Rúna Í MagnússonPlant Ecology and Nature Conservation Group, Wageningen University & Research, Wageningen, The Netherlands. runa.magnusson@wur.nl.ORCID 0000-0003-2254-2612
Alexandra HammDepartment of Physical Geography, Stockholm University, Stockholm, Sweden.ORCID 0000-0003-2785-7672
Sergey V KarsanaevInstitute for Biological Problems of the Cryolithozone, Siberian Branch of the Russian Academy of Sciences, Yakutsk, Russia.
Juul LimpensPlant Ecology and Nature Conservation Group, Wageningen University & Research, Wageningen, The Netherlands.
David KleijnPlant Ecology and Nature Conservation Group, Wageningen University & Research, Wageningen, The Netherlands.ORCID 0000-0003-2500-7164
Andrew FramptonDepartment of Physical Geography, Stockholm University, Stockholm, Sweden.
Trofim C MaximovInstitute for Biological Problems of the Cryolithozone, Siberian Branch of the Russian Academy of Sciences, Yakutsk, Russia.
Monique M P D HeijmansPlant Ecology and Nature Conservation Group, Wageningen University & Research, Wageningen, The Netherlands. monique.heijmans@wur.nl.ORCID 0000-0002-6036-4039

Funding

No grant is acknowledged in the PubMed record.

6 · The paper itself

Abstract

Permafrost thaw can accelerate climate warming by releasing carbon from previously frozen soil in the form of greenhouse gases. Rainfall extremes have been proposed to increase permafrost thaw, but the magnitude and duration of this effect are poorly understood. Here we present empirical evidence showing that one extremely wet summer (+100 mm; 120% increase relative to average June-August rainfall) enhanced thaw depth by up to 35% in a controlled irrigation experiment in an ice-rich Siberian tundra site. The effect persisted over two subsequent summers, demonstrating a carry-over effect of extremely wet summers. Using soil thermal hydrological modelling, we show that rainfall extremes delayed autumn freeze-up and rainfall-induced increases in thaw were most pronounced for warm summers with mid-summer precipitation rainfall extremes. Our results suggest that, with rainfall and temperature both increasing in the Arctic, permafrost will likely degrade and disappear faster than is currently anticipated based on rising air temperatures alone.

Indexed as

PermafrostArctic RegionsSeasonsSoilTundraSoil

Identifiers

PMID35322039
PMCPMC8943195

What OpenQuestion holds

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LicenceCC BY
Read underepoch 390

Registered trials

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Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the OpenQuestion graph.