Evidence map›Paper›PMID 35315961›Full record

ArticleEcology letters2022

PERFICT: A Re-imagined foundation for predictive ecology.

Eliot J B McIntire, Alex M Chubaty, Steven G Cumming, Dave Andison, Ceres Barros, Céline Boisvenue, Samuel Haché, Yong Luo, Tatiane Micheletti, Frances E C Stewart

Abstract read
In one paragraph

Article in Ecology letters, 2022. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Cited by 4 papers.

0numbers the graph read from it
0cells of the map it votes in
4citing papers in PubMed
–field-weighted citation impact
1 · What the graph read from it

What it found

Each row is one number read from the abstract, on the scale the paper reported it, with its interval. Left of the dashed line favours the treatment, right favours the comparator. Under each row is the sentence it came from. New to these charts? A ten-minute tutorial.

The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.

2 · The registry

The trial behind it

Trials whose registry record cites this paper, or whose number appears in the abstract. A trial that started after this paper was published is citing it as background, not reporting it.

Neither the registry nor the abstract names a trial number. If this is a trial report, that itself is worth knowing.

3 · Its place in the literature

Who cites it

4 citing papers in PubMed.

  1. Article
  2. Article
  3. Review
  4. Article
4 · The record

Corrections and comments

PubMed lists nothing against this paper. Absence here is not a guarantee, only a check that was made.

5 · Who and what money

Authors and funding

10 authors.

Eliot J B McIntirePacific Forestry Centre, Canadian Forest Service, Natural Resources Canada, Victoria, British Columbia, Canada.ORCID https://orcid.org/0000-0002-6914-8316
Alex M ChubatyPacific Forestry Centre, Canadian Forest Service, Natural Resources Canada, Victoria, British Columbia, Canada.ORCID https://orcid.org/0000-0001-7146-8135
Steven G CummingDépartement des sciences du bois et de la forêt, Pavillon Abitibi-Price, 2405, rue de la Terrasse, Université Laval, Québec City, Québec, Canada.ORCID https://orcid.org/0000-0002-7862-2913
Dave AndisonFaculty of Forestry, Forest Resources Management, The University of British Columbia, Vancouver, British Columbia, Canada.ORCID https://orcid.org/0000-0001-7135-7160
Ceres BarrosFaculty of Forestry, Forest Resources Management, The University of British Columbia, Vancouver, British Columbia, Canada.ORCID https://orcid.org/0000-0003-4036-977X
Céline BoisvenuePacific Forestry Centre, Canadian Forest Service, Natural Resources Canada, Victoria, British Columbia, Canada.ORCID https://orcid.org/0000-0002-6031-7961
Samuel HachéCanadian Wildlife Service, Environment and Climate Change Canada, Yellowknife, Northwest Territories, Canada.ORCID https://orcid.org/0000-0003-3952-009X
Yong LuoPacific Forestry Centre, Canadian Forest Service, Natural Resources Canada, Victoria, British Columbia, Canada.ORCID https://orcid.org/0000-0002-3748-9773
Tatiane MichelettiFaculty of Forestry, Forest Resources Management, The University of British Columbia, Vancouver, British Columbia, Canada.ORCID https://orcid.org/0000-0003-4838-8342
Frances E C StewartPacific Forestry Centre, Canadian Forest Service, Natural Resources Canada, Victoria, British Columbia, Canada.ORCID https://orcid.org/0000-0001-9344-8346

Funding

Environment and Climate Change CanadafRI ResearchMitacs IT10289Mitacs IT12391Natural Resources CanadaNatural Sciences and Engineering Research Council of Canada
6 · The paper itself

Abstract

Making predictions from ecological models-and comparing them to data-offers a coherent approach to evaluate model quality, regardless of model complexity or modelling paradigm. To date, our ability to use predictions for developing, validating, updating, integrating and applying models across scientific disciplines while influencing management decisions, policies, and the public has been hampered by disparate perspectives on prediction and inadequately integrated approaches. We present an updated foundation for Predictive Ecology based on seven principles applied to ecological modelling: make frequent Predictions, Evaluate models, make models Reusable, Freely accessible and Interoperable, built within Continuous workflows that are routinely Tested (PERFICT). We outline some benefits of working with these principles: accelerating science; linking with data science; and improving science-policy integration.

Indexed as

EcologyModels, Theoreticalcomputational workflowscross-disciplinaryecological forecastingFAIR dataopen modelspredictive ecologypredictive validationscience-policy integration

Identifiers

PMID35315961
PMCPMC9310704

What OpenQuestion holds

Textmetadata
LicenceCC BY
Read underepoch 390

Registered trials

None linked

Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the OpenQuestion graph.