Evidence map›Paper›PMID 35305978›Full record

ArticleThe Journal of allergy and clinical immunology2022

Prognostic factors for polyp recurrence in chronic rhinosinusitis with nasal polyps.

Junqin Bai, Julia H Huang, Caroline P E Price, Jacob M Schauer, Lydia A Suh, Regan Harmon, David B Conley, Kevin C Welch, Robert C Kern, Stephanie Shintani-Smith and 5 more

Abstract read
In one paragraph

Article in The Journal of allergy and clinical immunology, 2022. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Cited by 69 papers, 1 of them a synthesis that pooled it.

0numbers the graph read from it
0cells of the map it votes in
69citing papers in PubMed, 1 pooled it
–field-weighted citation impact
1 · What the graph read from it

What it found

Each row is one number read from the abstract, on the scale the paper reported it, with its interval. Left of the dashed line favours the treatment, right favours the comparator. Under each row is the sentence it came from. New to these charts? A ten-minute tutorial.

The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.

2 · The registry

The trial behind it

Trials whose registry record cites this paper, or whose number appears in the abstract. A trial that started after this paper was published is citing it as background, not reporting it.

Neither the registry nor the abstract names a trial number. If this is a trial report, that itself is worth knowing.

3 · Its place in the literature

Who cites it

69 citing papers in PubMed, 1 synthesis or guideline pooled it.

  1. Pooled it
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  8. Review
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  11. What can we learn about chronic rhinosinusitis through mucus?Current opinion in otolaryngology & head and neck surgery · 2026
    Review
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  13. Article
  14. Review
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  19. Prognostic value of preoperative prognostic nutritional index and its association with systemic inflammatory response markers in chronic rhinosinusitis.European archives of oto-rhino-laryngology : official journal of the European Federation of Oto-Rhino-Laryngological Societies (EUFOS) : affiliated with the German Society for Oto-Rhino-Laryngology - Head and Neck Surgery · 2025
    Article
  20. Article

9 more citing papers are in PubMed but not listed here.

4 · The record

Corrections and comments

PubMed lists nothing against this paper. Absence here is not a guarantee, only a check that was made.

5 · Who and what money

Authors and funding

15 authors.

Junqin BaiDepartment of Otolaryngology, Northwestern University Feinberg School of Medicine, Chicago, Ill.
Julia H HuangDepartment of Otolaryngology, Northwestern University Feinberg School of Medicine, Chicago, Ill.
Caroline P E PriceDepartment of Otolaryngology, Northwestern University Feinberg School of Medicine, Chicago, Ill.
Jacob M SchauerDepartment of Preventive Medicine-Biostatistics, Northwestern University Feinberg School of Medicine, Chicago, Ill.
Lydia A SuhDivision of Allergy and Immunology, Department of Medicine, Northwestern University Feinberg School of Medicine, Chicago, Ill.
Regan HarmonDepartment of Otolaryngology, Northwestern University Feinberg School of Medicine, Chicago, Ill.
David B ConleyDepartment of Otolaryngology, Northwestern University Feinberg School of Medicine, Chicago, Ill.
Kevin C WelchDepartment of Otolaryngology, Northwestern University Feinberg School of Medicine, Chicago, Ill.
Robert C KernDepartment of Otolaryngology, Northwestern University Feinberg School of Medicine, Chicago, Ill.
Stephanie Shintani-SmithDepartment of Otolaryngology, Northwestern University Feinberg School of Medicine, Chicago, Ill.
Anju T PetersDepartment of Otolaryngology, Northwestern University Feinberg School of Medicine, Chicago, Ill; Division of Allergy and Immunology, Department of Medicine, Northwestern University Feinberg School of Medicine, Chicago, Ill.
Whitney W StevensDepartment of Otolaryngology, Northwestern University Feinberg School of Medicine, Chicago, Ill; Division of Allergy and Immunology, Department of Medicine, Northwestern University Feinberg School of Medicine, Chicago, Ill.
Atsushi KatoDepartment of Otolaryngology, Northwestern University Feinberg School of Medicine, Chicago, Ill; Division of Allergy and Immunology, Department of Medicine, Northwestern University Feinberg School of Medicine, Chicago, Ill.
Robert P SchleimerDepartment of Otolaryngology, Northwestern University Feinberg School of Medicine, Chicago, Ill; Division of Allergy and Immunology, Department of Medicine, Northwestern University Feinberg School of Medicine, Chicago, Ill.
Bruce K TanDepartment of Otolaryngology, Northwestern University Feinberg School of Medicine, Chicago, Ill; Division of Allergy and Immunology, Department of Medicine, Northwestern University Feinberg School of Medicine, Chicago, Ill. Electronic address: b-tan@northwestern.edu.

Funding

Population-based CRS epidemiology: sex differences, natural history, and long-term outcomes based on clinically-defined phenotypes and biologically-based endotypes - GeisingerP01AI145818 · NIAID · NORTHWESTERN UNIVERSITY AT CHICAGO · PI SCHLEIMER, ROBERT P · 2019 to 2023
$9.3M
Initiators, biomarkers and mechanisms of epithelial dysfunction and immune pathogenesis in chronic rhinosinusitis and aspirin exacerbated respiratory disease (AERD)R01AI137174 · NIAID · NORTHWESTERN UNIVERSITY AT CHICAGO · PI SCHLEIMER, ROBERT P · 2018 to 2022
$3.1M
Type-2 inflammation mediates olfactory loss in Chronic Rhinosinusitis: mechanisms and therapeutic opportunitiesR01DC016645 · NIDCD · NORTHWESTERN UNIVERSITY AT CHICAGO · PI TAN, BRUCE K · 2018 to 2022
$3.0M
Autoantibody mediated pathogenesis in chronic rhinosinusitis with nasal polyps: mechanisms and consequencesR01AI134952 · NIAID · NORTHWESTERN UNIVERSITY AT CHICAGO · PI TAN, BRUCE K · 2018 to 2022
$2.0M
Cellular and Molecular Mechanisms of the Pathogenesis of Aspirin Exacerbated Respiratory DiseaseK23AI141694 · NIAID · NORTHWESTERN UNIVERSITY AT CHICAGO · PI STEVENS, WHITNEY W · 2019 to 2023
$948k
NIAID NIH HHS K23 AI141694NIAID NIH HHS P01 AI145818NIAID NIH HHS R01 AI134952NIAID NIH HHS R01 AI137174NIDCD NIH HHS R01 DC016645
6 · The paper itself

Abstract

backgroundChronic rhinosinusitis with nasal polyps is frequently managed with endoscopic sinus surgery (ESS). Prior studies describe individual clinical variables and eosinophil density measures as prognostic for polyp recurrence (PR). However, the relative prognostic significance of these have not been extensively investigated.

objectivesWe sought to evaluate the impact of PR on measures of disease severity post-ESS and quantify the prognostic value of various clinical variables and biomarkers.

methodsNinety-four patients with chronic rhinosinusitis with nasal polyps and prospectively biobanked polyp homogenates at the time of ESS were recruited 2 to 5 years post-ESS. Patients were evaluated with patient-reported outcome measures and endoscopic and radiographic scoring pre- and post-ESS. Biomarkers in polyp homogenates were measured with ELISA and Luminex. Relaxed least absolute shrinkage and selection operator regression optimized predictive clinical, biomarker, and combined models. Model performance was assessed using receiver-operating characteristic curve and random forest analysis.

resultsPR was found in 39.4% of patients, despite significant improvements in modified Lund-Mackay (MLM) radiographic and 22-item Sinonasal Outcomes Test scores (both P < .0001). PR was significantly associated with worse post-ESS MLM, modified Lund-Kennedy, and 22-item Sinonasal Outcomes Test scores. Relaxed least absolute shrinkage and selection operator identified 2 clinical predictors (area under the curve = 0.79) and 3 biomarkers (area under the curve = 0.78) that were prognostic for PR. When combined, the model incorporating these pre-ESS factors: MLM, asthma, eosinophil cationic protein, anti-double-stranded DNA IgG, and IL-5 improved PR predictive accuracy to area under the curve of 0.89. Random forest analysis identified and validated each of the 5 variables as the strongest predictors of PR.

conclusionsPR had strong associations with patient-reported outcome measures, endoscopic and radiographic severity. A combined model comprised of eosinophil cationic protein, IL-5, pre-ESS MLM, asthma, and anti-double-stranded DNA IgG could accurately predict PR.

Indexed as

AsthmaNasal PolypsRhinitisSinusitisBiomarkersChronic DiseaseDNAEndoscopyEosinophil Cationic ProteinHumansImmunoglobulin GInterleukin-5PrognosisBiomarkersDNAEosinophil Cationic ProteinImmunoglobulin GInterleukin-5biomarkerChronic rhinosinusitis with nasal polypsclinical variablespolyp recurrencePROMsrandom forestrelaxed LASSO

Identifiers

PMID35305978
PMCPMC9378510

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Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the OpenQuestion graph.