Evidence map›Paper›PMID 35298560›Full record

SynthesisPloS one2022

The use of early warning system scores in prehospital and emergency department settings to predict clinical deterioration: A systematic review and meta-analysis.

Gigi Guan, Crystal Man Ying Lee, Stephen Begg, Angela Crombie, George Mnatzaganian

Registry-linked trialAbstract readMeta-AnalysisSystematic Review
In one paragraph

Synthesis in PloS one, 2022. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. It is linked to trial NCT07577349 (Performance of Different Early Warning Systems in Predicting 28-day Mortality Among Geriatric Emergency Department Patients), which is not on this map. Cited by 53 papers, 3 of them syntheses that pooled it.

0numbers the graph read from it
0cells of the map it votes in
53citing papers in PubMed, 3 pooled it
–field-weighted citation impact
1 · What the graph read from it

What it found

Each row is one number read from the abstract, on the scale the paper reported it, with its interval. Left of the dashed line favours the treatment, right favours the comparator. Under each row is the sentence it came from. New to these charts? A ten-minute tutorial.

The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.

2 · The registry

The trial behind it

Trials whose registry record cites this paper, or whose number appears in the abstract. A trial that started after this paper was published is citing it as background, not reporting it.

NCT07577349 completednot on this mapstarted 2025, after this paper: background citation

Performance of Different Early Warning Systems in Predicting 28-day Mortality Among Geriatric Emergency Department Patients

TypeobservationalSponsorHaseki Training and Research HospitalRan2025 to 2026Enrolled2,744ConditionsMortality, Clinical Deterioration, Geriatric Patients, FrailtyArmsDemographic Characteristics, Comorbidities, Vital Signs, Laboratory Parameters, Severity Scores
3 · Its place in the literature

Who cites it

53 citing papers in PubMed, 3 syntheses or guidelines pooled it.

  1. [S3 guideline on sepsis-prevention, diagnosis, therapy, and follow-up care-update 2025].Medizinische Klinik, Intensivmedizin und Notfallmedizin · 2025
    Guideline
  2. Pooled it
  3. Pooled it
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  5. Assessing Risk of Early ICU Admission or Death at Emergency Department Triage: Clinical Judgment Versus Early Warning Scores.Academic emergency medicine : official journal of the Society for Academic Emergency Medicine · 2026
    Observational
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  10. Observational
  11. Observational
  12. Article
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  15. Article
  16. Observational
  17. Article
  18. Delta MEWS combined with SpOFrontiers in medicine · 2026
    Article
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4 · The record

Corrections and comments

PubMed lists nothing against this paper. Absence here is not a guarantee, only a check that was made.

5 · Who and what money

Authors and funding

5 authors.

Gigi GuanRural Department of Community Health, La Trobe Rural Health School, La Trobe University, Bendigo, Victoria, Australia.ORCID 0000-0003-1575-6794
Crystal Man Ying LeeSchool of Population Health, Curtin University, Perth, Western Australia, Australia.
Stephen BeggViolet Vines Marshman Centre for Rural Health Research, La Trobe University, Bendigo, Victoria, Australia.
Angela CrombieResearch & Innovation, Bendigo Health, Bendigo, Victoria, Australia.
George MnatzaganianRural Department of Community Health, La Trobe Rural Health School, La Trobe University, Bendigo, Victoria, Australia.

Funding

No grant is acknowledged in the PubMed record.

6 · The paper itself

Abstract

backgroundIt is unclear which Early Warning System (EWS) score best predicts in-hospital deterioration of patients when applied in the Emergency Department (ED) or prehospital setting.

methodsThis systematic review (SR) and meta-analysis assessed the predictive abilities of five commonly used EWS scores (National Early Warning Score (NEWS) and its updated version NEWS2, Modified Early Warning Score (MEWS), Rapid Acute Physiological Score (RAPS), and Cardiac Arrest Risk Triage (CART)). Outcomes of interest included admission to intensive care unit (ICU), and 3-to-30-day mortality following hospital admission. Using DerSimonian and Laird random-effects models, pooled estimates were calculated according to the EWS score cut-off points, outcomes, and study setting. Risk of bias was evaluated using the Newcastle-Ottawa scale. Meta-regressions investigated between-study heterogeneity. Funnel plots tested for publication bias. The SR is registered in PROSPERO (CRD42020191254).

resultsOverall, 11,565 articles were identified, of which 20 were included. In the ED setting, MEWS, and NEWS at cut-off points of 3, 4, or 6 had similar pooled diagnostic odds ratios (DOR) to predict 30-day mortality, ranging from 4.05 (95% Confidence Interval (CI) 2.35-6.99) to 6.48 (95% CI 1.83-22.89), p = 0.757. MEWS at a cut-off point ≥3 had a similar DOR when predicting ICU admission (5.54 (95% CI 2.02-15.21)). MEWS ≥5 and NEWS ≥7 had DORs of 3.05 (95% CI 2.00-4.65) and 4.74 (95% CI 4.08-5.50), respectively, when predicting 30-day mortality in patients presenting with sepsis in the ED. In the prehospital setting, the EWS scores significantly predicted 3-day mortality but failed to predict 30-day mortality.

conclusionEWS scores' predictability of clinical deterioration is improved when the score is applied to patients treated in the hospital setting. However, the high thresholds used and the failure of the scores to predict 30-day mortality make them less suited for use in the prehospital setting.

Indexed as

Clinical DeteriorationEmergency Service, HospitalHospitalizationHospital MortalityHumansIntensive Care UnitsRetrospective StudiesROC CurveTriage

Identifiers

PMID35298560
PMCPMC8929648

What OpenQuestion holds

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Registered trials

Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the OpenQuestion graph.