ArticleBMJ open2022
Infection-related and lifestyle-related cancer burden in Kampala, Uganda: projection of the future cancer incidence up to 2030.
Article in BMJ open, 2022. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Cited by 24 papers, 2 of them syntheses that pooled it.
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Who cites it
24 citing papers in PubMed, 2 syntheses or guidelines pooled it.
- Evaluation and forecasting methods to estimate number of patients with non-Hodgkin lymphoma: a systematic literature review.Population health metrics · 2025Pooled it
- Prevalence, trends and distribution of lifestyle cancer risk factors in Uganda: a 20-year systematic review.BMC cancer · 2023Pooled it
- Bridging the service gap: health facility challenges in HPV vaccine uptake in rural Uganda.BMC women's health · 2026Article
- Colorectal cancer incidence and survival trends in Uganda: a population-based registry analysis (2000-20).International journal of epidemiology · 2026Article
- Prevalence and genotypic distribution of high-risk human papillomavirus in primary breast tumors in Western Uganda: a case-control study.Scientific reports · 2026Article
- Arthropod venom peptides: Pioneering nanotechnology in cancer treatment and drug delivery.Cancer pathogenesis and therapy · 2026Review
- Determinants of Adverse Events in Patients with Cancer Who Practiced Self-Medication: A Cross-Sectional Study in Southwestern Uganda.Cancer management and research · 2026Article
- Article
- Correlating Histological Results and Total Serum Levels of the Prostate-Specific Antigen Among Patients in Southwestern Uganda.Prostate cancer · 2026Article
- Global Patterns and Trends in Lifetime Risks of Developing and Dying from Cancer, 1990-2021.Health data science · 2026Article
- Recent Patterns and Trends in Global Prostate Cancer Incidence and Mortality: An Update.European urology · 2025Article
- Health-related quality of life among adult patients with cancer in Uganda - a cross-sectional study.Global health action · 2024Article
- Prevalence of prostate cancer and its grade group stage at diagnosis in patients treated with prostatectomy in rural south western Uganda.BMC urology · 2024Article
- Late diagnosis among patients with prostate cancer at the Uganda Cancer Institute: a retrospective cohort study.African health sciences · 2024Article
- Article
- Cancer patterns in Arua district, Uganda: a hospital-based retrospective study.Ecancermedicalscience · 2024Article
- Spectrum and Trends of Cancer in Southwestern Uganda from 2012 to 2021.The East African health research journal · 2024Article
- Medicinal plants used in the management of cancers by residents in the Elgon Sub-Region, Uganda.BMC complementary medicine and therapies · 2023Article
- Treatment compliance among adult cervical cancer patients receiving care at Uganda cancer institute, Uganda: a retrospective data review.BMC cancer · 2023Article
- Age and Cancer Incidence in 5.2 Million People With Human Immunodeficiency Virus (HIV): The South African HIV Cancer Match Study.Clinical infectious diseases : an official publication of the Infectious Diseases Society of America · 2023Article
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9 authors.
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No grant is acknowledged in the PubMed record.
Abstract
objectivesIn Uganda, infection-related cancers have made the greatest contribution to cancer burden in the past; however, burden from lifestyle-related cancers has increased recently. Using the Kampala Cancer Registry data, we projected incidence of top five cancers, namely, Kaposi sarcoma (KS), cervical, breast and prostate cancer, and non-Hodgkin's lymphoma (NHL) in Uganda.
designTrend analysis of cancer registry data.
settingKampala Cancer Registry, Uganda.
main outcome measureCancer incidence data from 2001 to 2015 were used and projected to 2030. Population data were obtained from the Uganda Bureau of Statistics. Age-standardised incidence rates (ASRs) and their trends over the observed and projected period were calculated. Percentage change in cancer incidence was calculated to determine whether cancer incidence changes were attributable to cancer risk changes or population changes.
resultsIt was projected that the incidence rates of KS and NHL continue to decrease by 22.6% and 37.3%, respectively. The ASR of KS was expected to decline from 29.6 per 100 000 population to 10.4, while ASR of NHL was expected to decrease from 7.6 to 3.2. In contrast, cervical, breast and prostate cancer incidence were projected to increase by 35.3%, 57.7% and 33.4%, respectively. The ASRs of cervical and breast were projected to increase up to 66.1 and 48.4 per 100 000 women. The ASR of prostate cancer was estimated to increase from 41.6 to 60.5 per 100 000 men. These changes were due to changes in risk factors and population growth.
conclusionOur results suggest a rapid shift in the profile of common cancers in Uganda, reflecting a new trend emerging in low/middle-income countries. This change in cancer spectrum, from infection-related to lifestyle-related, yields another challenge to cancer control programmes in resource-limited countries. Forthcoming cancer control programmes should include a substantial focus on lifestyle-related cancers, while infectious disease control programmes should be maintained.
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