ArticleInternational journal of epidemiology2022
Learning from the pandemic: mortality trends and seasonality of deaths in Australia in 2020.
Article in International journal of epidemiology, 2022. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Cited by 10 papers.
What it found
Each row is one number read from the abstract, on the scale the paper reported it, with its interval. Left of the dashed line favours the treatment, right favours the comparator. Under each row is the sentence it came from. New to these charts? A ten-minute tutorial.
The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.
The trial behind it
Trials whose registry record cites this paper, or whose number appears in the abstract. A trial that started after this paper was published is citing it as background, not reporting it.
Neither the registry nor the abstract names a trial number. If this is a trial report, that itself is worth knowing.
Who cites it
10 citing papers in PubMed.
- Article
- Standardized Mortality Ratios (SMRs) and Radon Exposure Analysis for Lung Cancer and All-Cause Mortality in Locorotondo, Southern Italy.Medicina (Kaunas, Lithuania) · 2024Article
- Development of a registration interval correction model for enhancing excess all-cause mortality surveillance during the COVID-19 pandemic.International journal of epidemiology · 2024Article
- Introduction of electronic death notification in Norway-Impact on diabetes mortality registration.PloS one · 2024Article
- Excess mortality during the Coronavirus disease pandemic in Korea.BMC public health · 2023Article
- Veneto Region dementia-related mortality during the COVID-19 pandemic: multiple causes of death and time series analysis.European journal of public health · 2023Article
- Mortality Related to Chronic Obstructive Pulmonary Disease during the COVID-19 Pandemic: An Analysis of Multiple Causes of Death through Different Epidemic Waves in Veneto, Italy.International journal of environmental research and public health · 2022Article
- Diabetes as a cause of death across different COVID-19 epidemic waves.Diabetes research and clinical practice · 2022Article
- Review
- Inequitable distribution of excess mortality during the COVID-19 pandemic in Korea, 2020.Epidemiology and health · 2022Article
Corrections and comments
PubMed lists nothing against this paper. Absence here is not a guarantee, only a check that was made.
Authors and funding
4 authors.
Funding
No grant is acknowledged in the PubMed record.
Abstract
aimTo assess whether the observed numbers and seasonality of deaths in Australia during 2020 differed from expected trends based on 2015-19 data.
methodsWe used provisional death data from the Australian Bureau of Statistics, stratified by state, age, sex and cause of death. We compared 2020 deaths with 2015-19 deaths using interrupted time series adjusted for time trend and seasonality. We measured the following outcomes along with 95% confidence intervals: observed/expected deaths (rate ratio: RR), change in seasonal variation in mortality (amplitude ratio: AR) and change in week of peak seasonal mortality (phase difference: PD).
resultsOverall 4% fewer deaths from all causes were registered in Australia than expected in 2020 [RR 0·96 (0·95-0·98)] with reductions across states, ages and sex strata. There were fewer deaths from respiratory illness [RR 0·79 (0·76-0·83)] and dementia [RR 0·95 (0·93-0·98)] but more from diabetes [RR 1·08 (1·04-1·13)]. Seasonal variation was reduced for deaths overall [AR 0·94 (0·92-0·95)], and for deaths due to respiratory illnesses [AR 0·78 (0·74-0·83)], dementia [AR 0.92 (0.89-0.95)] and ischaemic heart disease [0.95 (0.90-0.97)].
conclusionsThe observed reductions in respiratory and dementia deaths and the reduced seasonality in ischaemic heart disease deaths may reflect reductions in circulating respiratory (non-SARS-CoV-2) pathogens resulting from the public health measures taken in 2020. The observed increase in diabetes deaths is unexplained and merits further study.
Indexed as
Identifiers
What OpenQuestion holds
Registered trials
Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the OpenQuestion graph.