Evidence map›Paper›PMID 35288697›Full record

ArticleNature medicine2022

COVID-19 and resilience of healthcare systems in ten countries.

Catherine Arsenault, Anna Gage, Min Kyung Kim, Neena R Kapoor, Patricia Akweongo, Freddie Amponsah, Amit Aryal, Daisuke Asai, John Koku Awoonor-Williams, Wondimu Ayele and 32 more

Abstract read
In one paragraph

Article in Nature medicine, 2022. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Cited by 226 papers, 6 of them syntheses that pooled it.

0numbers the graph read from it
0cells of the map it votes in
226citing papers in PubMed, 6 pooled it
–field-weighted citation impact
1 · What the graph read from it

What it found

Each row is one number read from the abstract, on the scale the paper reported it, with its interval. Left of the dashed line favours the treatment, right favours the comparator. Under each row is the sentence it came from. New to these charts? A ten-minute tutorial.

The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.

2 · The registry

The trial behind it

Trials whose registry record cites this paper, or whose number appears in the abstract. A trial that started after this paper was published is citing it as background, not reporting it.

Neither the registry nor the abstract names a trial number. If this is a trial report, that itself is worth knowing.

3 · Its place in the literature

Who cites it

226 citing papers in PubMed, 6 syntheses or guidelines pooled it.

  1. Pooled it
  2. Pooled it
  3. Pooled it
  4. Pooled it
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  7. Bilateral hypoglossal nerve stimulation for obstructive sleep apnea: a nonrandomized clinical trial.Journal of clinical sleep medicine : JCSM : official publication of the American Academy of Sleep Medicine · 2025
    Trial
  8. Article
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  12. The effect of age-specific stay-at-home recommendation on healthcare utilization: Evidence from Finland's COVID-19 policy.The European journal of health economics : HEPAC : health economics in prevention and care · 2026
    Article
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  16. Observational
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  18. Trends and Disruptions in Antiretroviral Treatment Enrollment in Haiti, 2018-2024.The American journal of tropical medicine and hygiene · 2026
    Article
  19. Article
  20. Article

166 more citing papers are in PubMed but not listed here.

4 · The record

Corrections and comments

5 · Who and what money

Authors and funding

42 authors.

Catherine ArsenaultDepartment of Global Health and Population, Harvard T.H. Chan School of Public Health, Boston MA, USA. carsenault@hsph.harvard.edu.ORCID http://orcid.org/0000-0003-2410-3015
Anna GageDepartment of Global Health and Population, Harvard T.H. Chan School of Public Health, Boston MA, USA.ORCID http://orcid.org/0000-0002-4422-0545
Min Kyung KimSeoul National University College of Medicine, Seoul, South Korea.
Neena R KapoorDepartment of Global Health and Population, Harvard T.H. Chan School of Public Health, Boston MA, USA.
Patricia AkweongoSchool of Public Health, University of Ghana, Accra, Ghana.
Freddie AmponsahPolicy, Planning, Monitoring and Evaluation, Ghana Health Services, Accra, Ghana.
Amit AryalOffice of the Member of Federal Parliament Gagan Kumar Thapa, Kathmandu, Nepal.
Daisuke AsaiWorld Health Organization, Vientiane, Lao People's Democratic Republic, Vientiane, Laos.
John Koku Awoonor-WilliamsSchool of Public Health, University of Ghana, Accra, Ghana.
Wondimu AyeleSchool of Public Health, Addis Ababa University, Addis Ababa, Ethiopia.
Paula BedregalPublic Health Department, Faculty of Medicine, Pontificia Universidad Católica de Chile, Santiago, Chile.
Svetlana V DoubovaEpidemiology and Health Services Research Unit CMN Siglo XXI, Mexican Institute of Social Security, Mexico City, Mexico.
Mahesh DulalOffice of the Member of Federal Parliament Gagan Kumar Thapa, Kathmandu, Nepal.
Dominic Dormenyo GadekaSchool of Public Health, University of Ghana, Accra, Ghana.ORCID http://orcid.org/0000-0002-1583-4572
Georgiana Gordon-StrachanCaribbean Institute for Health Research, University of West Indies, Kingston, Jamaica.ORCID http://orcid.org/0000-0001-5712-9575
Damen Haile MariamSchool of Public Health, Addis Ababa University, Addis Ababa, Ethiopia.
Dilipkumar HensmanWorld Health Organization, Vientiane, Lao People's Democratic Republic, Vientiane, Laos.
Jean Paul JosephHôpital Universitaire de Mirebalais, Zanmi Lasante, Arrondissement de Mirebalais, Mirebalais, Haïti.
Phanuwich KaewkamjornchaiFaculty of Medicine Ramathibodi Hospital, Madidol University, Bangkok, Thailand.ORCID http://orcid.org/0000-0003-3591-7401
Munir Kassa EshetuMinistry of Health of Ethiopia, Addis Ababa, Ethiopia.
Solomon Kassahun GelawMinistry of Health of Ethiopia, Addis Ababa, Ethiopia.
Shogo KubotaWorld Health Organization, Vientiane, Lao People's Democratic Republic, Vientiane, Laos.
Borwornsom LeerapanFaculty of Medicine Ramathibodi Hospital, Madidol University, Bangkok, Thailand.ORCID http://orcid.org/0000-0001-9381-1045
Paula MargozziniPublic Health Department, Faculty of Medicine, Pontificia Universidad Católica de Chile, Santiago, Chile.
Anagaw Derseh MebratieSchool of Public Health, Addis Ababa University, Addis Ababa, Ethiopia.ORCID http://orcid.org/0000-0002-6489-335X
Suresh MehataMinistry of Health and Population, Government of Nepal, Kathmandu, Nepal.
Mosa MoshabelaSchool of Nursing and Public Health, University of KwaZulu-Natal, Durban, South Africa.
Londiwe MthethwaSchool of Nursing and Public Health, University of KwaZulu-Natal, Durban, South Africa.
Adiam NegaSchool of Public Health, Addis Ababa University, Addis Ababa, Ethiopia.
Juhwan OhSeoul National University College of Medicine, Seoul, South Korea.
Sookyung ParkKorea National Health Insurance Services, Health Insurance Research Institute, Gangwon-do, South Korea.
Álvaro Passi-SolarPublic Health Department, Faculty of Medicine, Pontificia Universidad Católica de Chile, Santiago, Chile.
Ricardo Pérez-CuevasDivision of Social Protection and Health, Inter-American Development Bank, Kingston, Jamaica.
Alongkhone PhengsavanhFaculty of Medicine, University of Health Sciences, Vientiane, Lao People's Democratic Republic, Vientiane, Laos.
Tarylee ReddyBiostatistics Unit, South African Medical Research Council, Durban, South Africa.
Thanitsara RittiphairojFaculty of Medicine Ramathibodi Hospital, Madidol University, Bangkok, Thailand.
Jaime C SapagPublic Health Department, Faculty of Medicine, Pontificia Universidad Católica de Chile, Santiago, Chile.
Roody ThermidorStudies and Planning Unit, Ministry of Public Health and Population, Port-au-Prince, Haiti.
Boikhutso TlouSchool of Nursing and Public Health, University of KwaZulu-Natal, Durban, South Africa.
Francisco Valenzuela GuiñezPublic Health Department, Faculty of Medicine, Pontificia Universidad Católica de Chile, Santiago, Chile.
Sebastian BauhoffDepartment of Global Health and Population, Harvard T.H. Chan School of Public Health, Boston MA, USA.ORCID http://orcid.org/0000-0001-6017-4991
Margaret E KrukDepartment of Global Health and Population, Harvard T.H. Chan School of Public Health, Boston MA, USA.ORCID http://orcid.org/0000-0002-9549-8432

Funding

World Health Organization 001
6 · The paper itself

Abstract

Declines in health service use during the Coronavirus Disease 2019 (COVID-19) pandemic could have important effects on population health. In this study, we used an interrupted time series design to assess the immediate effect of the pandemic on 31 health services in two low-income (Ethiopia and Haiti), six middle-income (Ghana, Lao People's Democratic Republic, Mexico, Nepal, South Africa and Thailand) and high-income (Chile and South Korea) countries. Despite efforts to maintain health services, disruptions of varying magnitude and duration were found in every country, with no clear patterns by country income group or pandemic intensity. Disruptions in health services often preceded COVID-19 waves. Cancer screenings, TB screening and detection and HIV testing were most affected (26-96% declines). Total outpatient visits declined by 9-40% at national levels and remained lower than predicted by the end of 2020. Maternal health services were disrupted in approximately half of the countries, with declines ranging from 5% to 33%. Child vaccinations were disrupted for shorter periods, but we estimate that catch-up campaigns might not have reached all children missed. By contrast, provision of antiretrovirals for HIV was not affected. By the end of 2020, substantial disruptions remained in half of the countries. Preliminary data for 2021 indicate that disruptions likely persisted. Although a portion of the declines observed might result from decreased needs during lockdowns (from fewer infectious illnesses or injuries), a larger share likely reflects a shortfall of health system resilience. Countries must plan to compensate for missed healthcare during the current pandemic and invest in strategies for better health system resilience for future emergencies.

Indexed as

COVID-19ChildCommunicable Disease ControlDelivery of Health CareHumansIncomePandemics

Identifiers

PMID35288697
PMCPMC9205770

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Registered trials

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Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the OpenQuestion graph.