Evidence map›Paper›PMID 35273053›Full record

ArticleBMJ open2022

Quantifying the indirect impact of COVID-19 pandemic on utilisation of outpatient and immunisation services in Kenya: a longitudinal study using interrupted time series analysis.

Steven Wambua, Lucas Malla, George Mbevi, Joel Kandiah, Amen-Patrick Nwosu, Timothy Tuti, Chris Paton, Bernard Wambu, Mike English, Emelda A Okiro

Abstract read
In one paragraph

Article in BMJ open, 2022. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Cited by 23 papers, 1 of them a synthesis that pooled it.

0numbers the graph read from it
0cells of the map it votes in
23citing papers in PubMed, 1 pooled it
–field-weighted citation impact
1 · What the graph read from it

What it found

Each row is one number read from the abstract, on the scale the paper reported it, with its interval. Left of the dashed line favours the treatment, right favours the comparator. Under each row is the sentence it came from. New to these charts? A ten-minute tutorial.

The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.

2 · The registry

The trial behind it

Trials whose registry record cites this paper, or whose number appears in the abstract. A trial that started after this paper was published is citing it as background, not reporting it.

Neither the registry nor the abstract names a trial number. If this is a trial report, that itself is worth knowing.

3 · Its place in the literature

Who cites it

23 citing papers in PubMed, 1 synthesis or guideline pooled it.

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  18. COVID-19 impacts on healthcare access in sub-Saharan Africa: an overview.The journal of venomous animals and toxins including tropical diseases · 2023
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4 · The record

Corrections and comments

PubMed lists nothing against this paper. Absence here is not a guarantee, only a check that was made.

5 · Who and what money

Authors and funding

10 authors.

Steven WambuaPopulation Health Unit, KEMRI-Wellcome Trust Research Programme Nairobi, Nairobi, Kenya stevenwambua3@gmail.com.ORCID 0000-0003-2300-7670
Lucas MallaHealth Services Unit, KEMRI-Wellcome Trust Research Programme Nairobi, Nairobi, Kenya.
George MbeviHealth Services Unit, KEMRI-Wellcome Trust Research Programme Nairobi, Nairobi, Kenya.
Joel KandiahMathematics Institute, University of Warwick, Coventry, UK.
Amen-Patrick NwosuNuffield Department of Clinical Medicine, Oxford Centre for Global Health Research, Oxford, UK.ORCID 0000-0001-6991-7798
Timothy TutiHealth Services Unit, KEMRI-Wellcome Trust Research Programme Nairobi, Nairobi, Kenya.ORCID 0000-0002-7915-3004
Chris PatonNuffield Department of Clinical Medicine, Oxford Centre for Global Health Research, Oxford, UK.
Bernard WambuDivision of Neonatal and Child Health, Kenya Ministry of Health, Nairobi, Kenya.
Mike EnglishHealth Services Unit, KEMRI-Wellcome Trust Research Programme Nairobi, Nairobi, Kenya.ORCID 0000-0002-7427-0826
Emelda A OkiroPopulation Health Unit, KEMRI-Wellcome Trust Research Programme Nairobi, Nairobi, Kenya.

Funding

Wellcome Trust 201866/Z/16/ZWellcome Trust 207522/Z/17/Z
6 · The paper itself

Abstract

objectiveIn this study, we assess the indirect impact of COVID-19 on utilisation of immunisation and outpatient services in Kenya.

designLongitudinal study.

settingData were analysed from all healthcare facilities reporting to Kenya's health information system from January 2018 to March 2021. Multiple imputation was used to address missing data, interrupted time series analysis was used to quantify the changes in utilisation of services and sensitivity analysis was carried out to assess robustness of estimates. EXPOSURE OF INTEREST: COVID-19 outbreak and associated interventions. OUTCOME MEASURES: Monthly attendance to health facilities. We assessed changes in immunisation and various outpatient services nationally.

resultsBefore the first case of COVID-19 and pursuant intervention measures in March 2020, uptake of health services was consistent with historical levels. There was significant drops in attendance (level changes) in April 2020 for overall outpatient visits for under-fives (rate ratio, RR 0.50, 95% CI 0.44 to 0.57), under-fives with pneumonia (RR 0.43, 95% CI 0.38 to 0.47), overall over-five visits (RR 0.65, 95% CI 0.57 to 0.75), over-fives with pneumonia (RR 0.62, 95% CI 0.55 to 0.70), fourth antenatal care visit (RR 0.86, 95% CI 0.80 to 0.93), total hypertension (RR 0.89, 95% CI 0.82 to 0.96), diabetes cases (RR 0.95 95% CI, 0.93 to 0.97) and HIV testing (RR 0.97, 95% CI 0.94 to 0.99). Immunisation services, first antenatal care visits, new cases of hypertension and diabetes were not affected. The post-COVID-19 trend was increasing, with more recent data suggesting reversal of effects and health services reverting to expected levels as of March 2021.

conclusionCOVID-19 pandemic has had varied indirect effects on utilisation of health services in Kenya. There is need for proactive and targeted interventions to reverse these effects as part of the pandemic's response to avert non-COVID-19 indirect mortality.

Indexed as

COVID-19Ambulatory CareFemaleHumansImmunizationInterrupted Time Series AnalysisKenyaLongitudinal StudiesOutpatientsPandemicsPregnancySARS-CoV-2COVID-19DHIS2immunizationoutpatient servicesSARS-CoV-2

Identifiers

PMID35273053
PMCPMC8914407

What OpenQuestion holds

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LicenceCC BY
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Registered trials

None linked

Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the OpenQuestion graph.