Evidence map›Paper›PMID 35264587›Full record

ArticleScientific reports2022

Impact of urban structure on infectious disease spreading.

Javier Aguilar, Aleix Bassolas, Gourab Ghoshal, Surendra Hazarie, Alec Kirkley, Mattia Mazzoli, Sandro Meloni, Sayat Mimar, Vincenzo Nicosia, José J Ramasco and 1 more

Open access · goldAbstract read
In one paragraph

Article in Scientific reports, 2022. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Cited by 20 papers.

0numbers the graph read from it
0cells of the map it votes in
20citing papers in PubMed
6.3field-weighted citation impact, top 2% of its field
1 · What the graph read from it

What it found

Each row is one number read from the abstract, on the scale the paper reported it, with its interval. Left of the dashed line favours the treatment, right favours the comparator. Under each row is the sentence it came from. New to these charts? A ten-minute tutorial.

The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.

2 · The registry

The trial behind it

Trials whose registry record cites this paper, or whose number appears in the abstract. A trial that started after this paper was published is citing it as background, not reporting it.

Neither the registry nor the abstract names a trial number. If this is a trial report, that itself is worth knowing.

3 · Its place in the literature

Who cites it

20 citing papers in PubMed, 52 citations in OpenAlex.

  1. Article
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  3. HIV Transmission Dynamics in Greater Mexico City are Shaped by Dense Spatial Mixing.medRxiv : the preprint server for health sciences · 2026
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  8. Observational
  9. Article
  10. Antimicrobial Resistance Patterns in an Urban County: a Spatiotemporal Exploration.AMIA ... Annual Symposium proceedings. AMIA Symposium · 2024
    Article
  11. Article
  12. Review
  13. Article
  14. Article
  15. Urban Determinants of COVID-19 Spread: a Comparative Study across Three Cities in New York State.Journal of urban health : bulletin of the New York Academy of Medicine · 2022
    Article
  16. Article
  17. Article
  18. Article
  19. Article
  20. Article
4 · The record

Corrections and comments

PubMed lists nothing against this paper. Absence here is not a guarantee, only a check that was made.

5 · Who and what money

Authors and funding

11 authors at 7 institutions in 5 countries.

Javier AguilarInstituto de Física Interdisciplinar y Sistemas Complejos IFISC (CSIC-UIB), Campus UIB, 07122, Palma de Mallorca, Spain.
Aleix BassolasInstituto de Física Interdisciplinar y Sistemas Complejos IFISC (CSIC-UIB), Campus UIB, 07122, Palma de Mallorca, Spain.
Gourab GhoshalDepartment of Physics and Astronomy, University of Rochester, Rochester, NY, 14627, USA.
Surendra HazarieDepartment of Physics and Astronomy, University of Rochester, Rochester, NY, 14627, USA.
Alec KirkleySchool of Data Science, City University of Hong Kong, 85PF Hong Kong, China.
Mattia MazzoliInstituto de Física Interdisciplinar y Sistemas Complejos IFISC (CSIC-UIB), Campus UIB, 07122, Palma de Mallorca, Spain.
Sandro MeloniInstituto de Física Interdisciplinar y Sistemas Complejos IFISC (CSIC-UIB), Campus UIB, 07122, Palma de Mallorca, Spain.
Sayat MimarDepartment of Physics and Astronomy, University of Rochester, Rochester, NY, 14627, USA.
Vincenzo NicosiaSchool of Mathematical Sciences, Queen Mary University of London, E1 4NS, London, UK.
José J RamascoInstituto de Física Interdisciplinar y Sistemas Complejos IFISC (CSIC-UIB), Campus UIB, 07122, Palma de Mallorca, Spain. jramasco@ifisc.uib-csic.es.
Adam SadilekGoogle, 1600 Amphitheatre Parkway, Mountain View, CA, 94043, USA.
Institute for Cross-Disciplinary Physics and Complex Systems · ESUniversity of Rochester · USCity University of Hong Kong · HKGoogle (United States) · USInstitut Pierre Louis d‘Épidémiologie et de Santé Publique · FRQueen Mary University of London · GBUniversidad Rovira i Virgili · ES

Funding

Agencia Estatal de Investigación RTI2018-093732-B-C22Army Research Office W911NF-18-1-0421CSIC funded by a contribution of AENA CSIC-COVID-19-039Government of the Balearic Islands and the European Social Fund FPI/2090/2018National Science Foundation IIS-2029095UK EPSRC EP/S027920/1
6 · The paper itself

Abstract

The ongoing SARS-CoV-2 pandemic has been holding the world hostage for several years now. Mobility is key to viral spreading and its restriction is the main non-pharmaceutical interventions to fight the virus expansion. Previous works have shown a connection between the structural organization of cities and the movement patterns of their residents. This puts urban centers in the focus of epidemic surveillance and interventions. Here we show that the organization of urban flows has a tremendous impact on disease spreading and on the amenability of different mitigation strategies. By studying anonymous and aggregated intra-urban flows in a variety of cities in the United States and other countries, and a combination of empirical analysis and analytical methods, we demonstrate that the response of cities to epidemic spreading can be roughly classified in two major types according to the overall organization of those flows. Hierarchical cities, where flows are concentrated primarily between mobility hotspots, are particularly vulnerable to the rapid spread of epidemics. Nevertheless, mobility restrictions in such types of cities are very effective in mitigating the spread of a virus. Conversely, in sprawled cities which present many centers of activity, the spread of an epidemic is much slower, but the response to mobility restrictions is much weaker and less effective. Investing resources on early monitoring and prompt ad-hoc interventions in more vulnerable cities may prove helpful in containing and reducing the impact of future pandemics.

Indexed as

Models, TheoreticalCitiesCommunicable DiseasesCOVID-19HumansSARS-CoV-2United States

Identifiers

PMID35264587
PMCPMC8907266
OpenAlexW4220798749

What OpenQuestion holds

Textmetadata
LicenceCC BY
Read underepoch 390

Registered trials

None linked

Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the OpenQuestion graph.