ArticleAddiction (Abingdon, England)2022
Association of quarterly prevalence of e-cigarette use with ever regular smoking among young adults in England: a time-series analysis between 2007 and 2018.
Article in Addiction (Abingdon, England), 2022. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Cited by 14 papers, 1 of them a synthesis that pooled it.
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Who cites it
14 citing papers in PubMed, 1 synthesis or guideline pooled it.
- Electronic cigarettes and subsequent cigarette smoking in young people: A systematic review.Addiction (Abingdon, England) · 2025Pooled it
- Cigarette smoking, e-cigarette use, and hypertension: a population-based cross-sectional study.Journal of human hypertension · 2026Article
- Unreliable evidence from problematic risk of bias assessments: Comment on Begh et al., 'Electronic cigarettes and subsequent cigarette smoking in young people: A systematic review'.Addiction (Abingdon, England) · 2025Article
- Impact of Standardised Packaging of Tobacco Products Regulations on cigarette consumption and youth smoking in England: interrupted time-series analysis.Tobacco control · 2025Article
- The association of modifiable and socio-demographic factors with first transitions from smoking to exclusive e-cigarette use, dual use or no nicotine use: Findings from the Avon Longitudinal Study of Parents and Children United Kingdom birth cohort.Addiction (Abingdon, England) · 2025Article
- New-generation nicotine delivery products require new approaches to research.Internal and emergency medicine · 2025Article
- Vaping and socioeconomic inequalities in smoking cessation and relapse: a longitudinal analysis of the UK Household Longitudinal Study.Tobacco control · 2024Article
- Prevalence, demographic, socio-economic, and lifestyle factors associated with cigarette, e-cigarette, and dual use: evidence from the 2017-2021 Scottish Health Survey.Internal and emergency medicine · 2024Article
- Increased e-cigarette use prevalence is associated with decreased smoking prevalence among US adults.Harm reduction journal · 2024Article
- The "Gateway" hypothesis: evaluation of evidence and alternative explanations.Harm reduction journal · 2024Review
- Exploring the opinions and potential impact of unflavoured e-liquid on smoking cessation among people who smoke and smoking relapse among people who previously smoked and now use e-cigarettes: findings from a UK-based mixed methods study.Harm reduction journal · 2024Article
- How do underage youth access e-cigarettes in settings with minimum age sales restriction laws? A scoping review.BMC public health · 2023Article
- Commentary on Beard et al.: Using survey data to test the hypothesis that e-cigarettes are a gateway to cigarette smoking in youth.Addiction (Abingdon, England) · 2022Article
- Association of quarterly prevalence of e-cigarette use with ever regular smoking among young adults in England: a time-series analysis between 2007 and 2018.Addiction (Abingdon, England) · 2022Article
Corrections and comments
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3 authors.
Funding
Abstract
aimsTo assess how changes in the prevalence of e-cigarette use among young adults have been associated with changes in the uptake of smoking in England between 2007 and 2018.
designTime-series analysis of population trends with autoregressive integrated moving average with exogeneous input (ARIMAX models).
settingEngland.
participantsData were aggregated quarterly on young adults aged 16-24 years (n = 37 105) taking part in the Smoking Toolkit Study. MEASURES: In the primary analysis, prevalence of e-cigarette use was used to predict prevalence of ever regular smoking among those aged 16-24. Sensitivity analyses stratified the sample into those aged 16-17 and 18-24. Bayes' factors and robustness regions were calculated for non-significant findings [effect size beta coefficient (B) = 3.1].
findingsThere was evidence for no association between the prevalence of e-cigarette use and ever regular smoking among those aged 16-24 [B = -0.015, 95% confidence interval (CI) = -0.046 to 0.016; P = 0.341; Bayes factor (BF) = 0.002]. Evidence for no association was also found in the stratified analysis among those aged 16-17 (B = 0.070, 95% CI -0.014 to 0.155, P = 0.102; BF = 0.015) and 18-24 (B = -0.021, 95% CI -0.053 to 0.011; P = 0.205; BF = 0.003). These findings were able to rule out percentage point increases or decreases in ever regular smoking prevalence greater than 0.31% or less than -0.03% for 16-17-year-olds and 0.01 or -0.08% for 18-24-year-olds for every 1%-point increase in e-cigarette prevalence.
conclusionPrevalence of e-cigarette use among the youth population in England does not appear to be associated with substantial increases or decreases in the prevalence of smoking uptake. Small associations cannot be ruled out.
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