Evidence map›Paper›PMID 35263322›Full record

ArticlePLoS biology2022

Analysis of multiple bacterial species and antibiotic classes reveals large variation in the association between seasonal antibiotic use and resistance.

Daphne S Sun, Stephen M Kissler, Sanjat Kanjilal, Scott W Olesen, Marc Lipsitch, Yonatan H Grad

Abstract read
In one paragraph

Article in PLoS biology, 2022. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Cited by 15 papers.

0numbers the graph read from it
0cells of the map it votes in
15citing papers in PubMed
–field-weighted citation impact
1 · What the graph read from it

What it found

Each row is one number read from the abstract, on the scale the paper reported it, with its interval. Left of the dashed line favours the treatment, right favours the comparator. Under each row is the sentence it came from. New to these charts? A ten-minute tutorial.

The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.

2 · The registry

The trial behind it

Trials whose registry record cites this paper, or whose number appears in the abstract. A trial that started after this paper was published is citing it as background, not reporting it.

Neither the registry nor the abstract names a trial number. If this is a trial report, that itself is worth knowing.

3 · Its place in the literature

Who cites it

15 citing papers in PubMed.

  1. Article
  2. Article
  3. Article
  4. Review
  5. Article
  6. Antibiotic consumption patterns in older adults: a comparative study of people 65 years and older in and outside nursing homes, Belgium, 2016 to 2022.Euro surveillance : bulletin Europeen sur les maladies transmissibles = European communicable disease bulletin · 2024
    Article
  7. Article
  8. Review
  9. Article
  10. Review
  11. Observational
  12. Review
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  14. Article
  15. Review
4 · The record

Corrections and comments

PubMed lists nothing against this paper. Absence here is not a guarantee, only a check that was made.

5 · Who and what money

Authors and funding

6 authors.

Daphne S SunDepartment of Immunology and Infectious Diseases, Harvard T.H. Chan School of Public Health, Boston, Massachusetts, United States of America.ORCID 0000-0002-7647-7169
Stephen M KisslerDepartment of Immunology and Infectious Diseases, Harvard T.H. Chan School of Public Health, Boston, Massachusetts, United States of America.ORCID 0000-0001-6000-8387
Sanjat KanjilalDepartment of Population Medicine, Harvard Medical School and Harvard Pilgrim Health Care Institute, Boston, Massachusetts, United States of America.
Scott W OlesenDepartment of Immunology and Infectious Diseases, Harvard T.H. Chan School of Public Health, Boston, Massachusetts, United States of America.ORCID 0000-0001-5400-4945
Marc LipsitchDepartment of Immunology and Infectious Diseases, Harvard T.H. Chan School of Public Health, Boston, Massachusetts, United States of America.ORCID 0000-0003-1504-9213
Yonatan H GradDepartment of Immunology and Infectious Diseases, Harvard T.H. Chan School of Public Health, Boston, Massachusetts, United States of America.

Funding

INFECTIOUS DISEASE AND BASIC MICROBIOLOGICAL MECHANISMST32AI007061 · NIAID · MASSACHUSETTS GENERAL HOSPITAL · PI Marcia B Goldberg · 1985 to 2026
$12.1M
Bacteriology PhD Training ProgramT32AI132120 · NIAID · HARVARD MEDICAL SCHOOL · PI RUDNER, DAVID Z · 2017 to 2021
$1.7M
Improving antibiotic treatment decisions through machine learningK08HS027841 · AHRQ · HARVARD PILGRIM HEALTH CARE, INC. · PI KANJILAL, SANJAT · 2021 to 2023
$448k
AHRQ HHS K08 HS027841NIAID NIH HHS T32 AI007061NIAID NIH HHS T32 AI132120Wellcome Trust
6 · The paper itself

Abstract

Understanding how antibiotic use drives resistance is crucial for guiding effective strategies to limit the spread of resistance, but the use-resistance relationship across pathogens and antibiotics remains unclear. We applied sinusoidal models to evaluate the seasonal use-resistance relationship across 3 species (Staphylococcus aureus, Escherichia coli, and Klebsiella pneumoniae) and 5 antibiotic classes (penicillins, macrolides, quinolones, tetracyclines, and nitrofurans) in Boston, Massachusetts. Outpatient use of all 5 classes and resistance in inpatient and outpatient isolates in 9 of 15 species-antibiotic combinations showed statistically significant amplitudes of seasonality (false discovery rate (FDR) < 0.05). While seasonal peaks in use varied by class, resistance in all 9 species-antibiotic combinations peaked in the winter and spring. The correlations between seasonal use and resistance thus varied widely, with resistance to all antibiotic classes being most positively correlated with use of the winter peaking classes (penicillins and macrolides). These findings challenge the simple model of antibiotic use independently selecting for resistance and suggest that stewardship strategies will not be equally effective across all species and antibiotics. Rather, seasonal selection for resistance across multiple antibiotic classes may be dominated by use of the most highly prescribed antibiotic classes, penicillins and macrolides.

Indexed as

Anti-Bacterial AgentsDrug Resistance, BacterialBacteriaEscherichia coliMacrolidesPenicillinsSeasonsAnti-Bacterial AgentsMacrolidesPenicillins

Identifiers

PMID35263322
PMCPMC8936496

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Registered trials

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Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the OpenQuestion graph.