Evidence map›Paper›PMID 35263168›Full record

ReviewJCO precision oncology2022

Impact of Circulating Tumor DNA-Based Detection of Molecular Residual Disease on the Conduct and Design of Clinical Trials for Solid Tumors.

Pashtoon M Kasi, Gordon Fehringer, Hiroya Taniguchi, Naureen Starling, Yoshiaki Nakamura, Daisuke Kotani, Thomas Powles, Bob T Li, Lajos Pusztai, Vasily N Aushev and 12 more

Erratum issuedOpen access · hybridAbstract readReview
In one paragraph

Review in JCO precision oncology, 2022. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. An erratum has been issued. Cited by 67 papers.

0numbers the graph read from it
0cells of the map it votes in
67citing papers in PubMed
7.0field-weighted citation impact, top 2% of its field
1 · What the graph read from it

What it found

Each row is one number read from the abstract, on the scale the paper reported it, with its interval. Left of the dashed line favours the treatment, right favours the comparator. Under each row is the sentence it came from. New to these charts? A ten-minute tutorial.

The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.

2 · The registry

The trial behind it

Trials whose registry record cites this paper, or whose number appears in the abstract. A trial that started after this paper was published is citing it as background, not reporting it.

Neither the registry nor the abstract names a trial number. If this is a trial report, that itself is worth knowing.

3 · Its place in the literature

Who cites it

67 citing papers in PubMed, 78 citations in OpenAlex.

  1. Tissue-Free Circulating Tumor DNA Assay and Patient Outcome in a Phase III Trial of FOLFOX-Based Adjuvant Chemotherapy (Alliance N0147).Journal of clinical oncology : official journal of the American Society of Clinical Oncology · 2026
    Trial
  2. Trial
  3. Review
  4. Article
  5. Review
  6. Review
  7. Assessment of methylated BCAT1 and IKZF1 circulating tumor DNA as a prognostic biomarker in esophagogastric adenocarcinomas.Diseases of the esophagus : official journal of the International Society for Diseases of the Esophagus · 2026
    Article
  8. Review
  9. Review
  10. Article
  11. Review
  12. Review
  13. Review
  14. Current perspectives on circulating tumor DNA in breast cancer: a narrative review.Translational breast cancer research : a journal focusing on translational research in breast cancer · 2026
    Review
  15. Review
  16. Review
  17. Article
  18. Article
  19. Article
  20. Article

7 more citing papers are in PubMed but not listed here.

4 · The record

Corrections and comments

5 · Who and what money

Authors and funding

22 authors at 10 institutions in 4 countries.

Pashtoon M KasiDepartment of Internal Medicine, University of Iowa Carver College of Medicine, Iowa City, IA.ORCID 0000-0002-5169-7085
Gordon FehringerNatera, Inc., Austin, TX.
Hiroya TaniguchiDepartment of Gastroenterology and Gastrointestinal Oncology, National Cancer Center Hospital East, Chiba, Japan.ORCID 0000-0003-1407-6682
Naureen StarlingThe Royal Marsden Hospital NHS Foundation Trust, London, United Kingdom.ORCID 0000-0002-1496-6792
Yoshiaki NakamuraDepartment of Gastroenterology and Gastrointestinal Oncology, National Cancer Center Hospital East, Chiba, Japan.ORCID 0000-0002-5241-6855
Daisuke KotaniDepartment of Gastroenterology and Gastrointestinal Oncology, National Cancer Center Hospital East, Chiba, Japan.ORCID 0000-0002-4196-555X
Thomas PowlesBarts Cancer Institute, Queen Mary University of London ECMC, Barts Health, London, United Kingdom.ORCID 0000-0001-7760-4724
Bob T LiMemorial Sloan Kettering Cancer Center and Weill Cornell Medicine, New York, NY.ORCID 0000-0001-6661-8733
Lajos PusztaiYale Cancer Center, Yale School of Medicine, New Haven, CT.ORCID 0000-0001-9632-6686
Vasily N AushevNatera, Inc., Austin, TX.ORCID 0000-0001-8003-358X
Ekaterina KalashnikovaNatera, Inc., Austin, TX.ORCID 0000-0003-1078-0656
Shruti SharmaNatera, Inc., Austin, TX.
Meenakshi MalhotraNatera, Inc., Austin, TX.ORCID 0000-0002-9731-5628
Zachary P DemkoNatera, Inc., Austin, TX.ORCID 0000-0001-8796-2381
Alexey AleshinNatera, Inc., Austin, TX.ORCID 0000-0002-0425-0301
Angel RodriguezNatera, Inc., Austin, TX.ORCID 0000-0003-0735-3039
Paul R BillingsNatera, Inc., Austin, TX.ORCID 0000-0003-1198-0537
Axel GrotheyWest Cancer Center and Research Institute, Germantown, TN.
Julien TaiebGeorges Pompidou European Hospital, SIRIC-CARPEM, Université de Paris, Paris, France.ORCID 0000-0002-9955-4753
David CunninghamThe Royal Marsden Hospital NHS Foundation Trust, London, United Kingdom.ORCID 0000-0001-5158-1069
Takayuki YoshinoDepartment of Gastroenterology and Gastrointestinal Oncology, National Cancer Center Hospital East, Chiba, Japan.ORCID 0000-0002-0489-4756
Scott KopetzDepartment of Gastrointestinal Medical Oncology, The University of Texas MD Anderson Cancer Center, Houston, TX.
Natera (United States) · USNational Cancer Center Hospital East · JPRoyal Marsden Hospital · GBHôpital Européen Georges-Pompidou · FRMemorial Sloan Kettering Cancer Center · USQueen Mary University of London · GBThe University of Texas MD Anderson Cancer Center · USUniversity of Iowa · USWest Cancer Center · USYale Cancer Center · US

Funding

X-RAY CRYSTALLOGRAPHYP30CA008748 · NCI · SLOAN-KETTERING INSTITUTE FOR CANCER RES · PI Hongbiao Carl Lekaye · 1985 to 2026
$347.4M
Yale Clinical and Translational Science Award (U Component)UL1TR001863 · NCATS · YALE UNIVERSITY · PI John H. Krystal, LUCILA OHNO-MACHADO · 2016 to 2026
$102.9M
NCATS NIH HHS UL1 TR001863NCI NIH HHS P30 CA008748
6 · The paper itself

Abstract

purposeEarlier detection of cancer recurrence using circulating tumor DNA (ctDNA) to detect molecular residual disease (MRD) has the potential to dramatically affect cancer management. We review evidence supporting the use of ctDNA as a biomarker for detection of MRD and highlight the potential impact that ctDNA testing could have on the conduct of clinical trials.

methodsWe searched the literature using MEDLINE (via PubMed) for articles from January 1, 2000, focusing on studies that assessed ctDNA as a predictor of cancer recurrence. Broadly focused searches on ctDNA and cancer were also performed to provide additional background information. www.clinialtrials.gov was searched to identify trials that incorporate ctDNA testing.

resultsNumerous studies across different cancer types indicate that ctDNA-based MRD detection predicts recurrence with high sensitivity and specificity, and with lead times that precede standard imaging by up to 12 months. Recently, ctDNA testing has started being used to enroll MRD-positive patients at high risk of recurrence into trials, promising gains in statistical power that allow clinical utility to be demonstrated with smaller cohorts. Trials where ctDNA testing based-MRD detection is used to stratify patients into low or high-risk categories for treatment assignment are also ongoing. In addition, there is increasing evidence supporting the use of ctDNA dynamics or clearance as a surrogate end point, which could significantly reduce trial duration.

conclusionctDNA-based trial enrichment across many cancers seems likely to become increasingly common for cost- and time-reduction benefits. Trial efficiency could also benefit from using ctDNA as a surrogate end point, leading to accelerated approval of new therapeutics. A clear demonstration of efficacy from trials that use ctDNA-based MRD detection to assign treatment could transform clinical practice.

Indexed as

Circulating Tumor DNAClinical Trials as TopicDisease ProgressionHumansNeoplasm Recurrence, LocalNeoplasm, ResidualCirculating Tumor DNA

Identifiers

PMID35263168
PMCPMC8926064
OpenAlexW4220770604

What OpenQuestion holds

Textmetadata
LicenceCC BY
Read underepoch 390

Registered trials

None linked

Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the OpenQuestion graph.