Evidence map›Paper›PMID 35260671›Full record

ArticleScientific reports2022

Real-time infection prediction with wearable physiological monitoring and AI to aid military workforce readiness during COVID-19.

Bryan Conroy, Ikaro Silva, Golbarg Mehraei, Robert Damiano, Brian Gross, Emmanuele Salvati, Ting Feng, Jeffrey Schneider, Niels Olson, Anne G Rizzo and 3 more

Open access · goldAbstract read
In one paragraph

Article in Scientific reports, 2022. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Cited by 29 papers.

0numbers the graph read from it
0cells of the map it votes in
29citing papers in PubMed
8.6field-weighted citation impact, top 1% of its field
1 · What the graph read from it

What it found

Each row is one number read from the abstract, on the scale the paper reported it, with its interval. Left of the dashed line favours the treatment, right favours the comparator. Under each row is the sentence it came from. New to these charts? A ten-minute tutorial.

The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.

2 · The registry

The trial behind it

Trials whose registry record cites this paper, or whose number appears in the abstract. A trial that started after this paper was published is citing it as background, not reporting it.

Neither the registry nor the abstract names a trial number. If this is a trial report, that itself is worth knowing.

3 · Its place in the literature

Who cites it

29 citing papers in PubMed, 66 citations in OpenAlex.

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  4. Smart Ring in Clinical Medicine: A Systematic Review.Biomimetics (Basel, Switzerland) · 2025
    Review
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4 · The record

Corrections and comments

PubMed lists nothing against this paper. Absence here is not a guarantee, only a check that was made.

5 · Who and what money

Authors and funding

13 authors at 4 institutions in 1 country.

Bryan ConroyPhilips Research North America, Cambridge, MA, USA.
Ikaro SilvaPhilips Research North America, Cambridge, MA, USA.
Golbarg MehraeiPhilips Research North America, Cambridge, MA, USA.
Robert DamianoPhilips Research North America, Cambridge, MA, USA.
Brian GrossPhilips Research North America, Cambridge, MA, USA.
Emmanuele SalvatiPhilips Research North America, Cambridge, MA, USA.
Ting FengPhilips Research North America, Cambridge, MA, USA.
Jeffrey SchneiderDefense Innovation Unit, Mountain View, CA, USA.
Niels OlsonDefense Innovation Unit, Mountain View, CA, USA.
Anne G RizzoThe Guthrie Clinic, Sayre, PA, USA.
Catherine M CurtinDepartment of Surgery, Palo Alto Veteran Affairs Healthcare System, Palo Alto, CA, USA.
Joseph FrassicaPhilips Research North America, Cambridge, MA, USA.
Daniel C McFarlanePhilips Research North America, Cambridge, MA, USA. dan.mcfarlane@philips.com.
Philips (United States) · USDefense Systems (United States) · USGuthrie Foundation · USVA Palo Alto Health Care System · US

Funding

Defense Threat Reduction Agency HDTRA1-20-C-0041
6 · The paper itself

Abstract

Infectious threats, like the COVID-19 pandemic, hinder maintenance of a productive and healthy workforce. If subtle physiological changes precede overt illness, then proactive isolation and testing can reduce labor force impacts. This study hypothesized that an early infection warning service based on wearable physiological monitoring and predictive models created with machine learning could be developed and deployed. We developed a prototype tool, first deployed June 23, 2020, that delivered continuously updated scores of infection risk for SARS-CoV-2 through April 8, 2021. Data were acquired from 9381 United States Department of Defense (US DoD) personnel wearing Garmin and Oura devices, totaling 599,174 user-days of service and 201 million hours of data. There were 491 COVID-19 positive cases. A predictive algorithm identified infection before diagnostic testing with an AUC of 0.82. Barriers to implementation included adequate data capture (at least 48% data was needed) and delays in data transmission. We observe increased risk scores as early as 6 days prior to diagnostic testing (2.3 days average). This study showed feasibility of a real-time risk prediction score to minimize workforce impacts of infection.

Indexed as

AlgorithmsArea Under CurveCOVID-19HumansMilitary PersonnelMonitoring, PhysiologicROC CurveSARS-CoV-2User-Computer InterfaceWearable Electronic Devices

Identifiers

PMID35260671
PMCPMC8904796
OpenAlexW4220835568

What OpenQuestion holds

Textmetadata
LicenceCC BY
Read underepoch 390

Registered trials

None linked

Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the OpenQuestion graph.