Evidence map›Paper›PMID 35259954›Full record

ArticleJournal of the Royal Society, Interface2022

Optimal COVID-19 lockdown strategies in an age-structured SEIR model of Northern Ireland.

Gavin M Abernethy, David H Glass

Abstract read
In one paragraph

Article in Journal of the Royal Society, Interface, 2022. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Cited by 11 papers, 1 of them a synthesis that pooled it.

0numbers the graph read from it
0cells of the map it votes in
11citing papers in PubMed, 1 pooled it
–field-weighted citation impact
1 · What the graph read from it

What it found

Each row is one number read from the abstract, on the scale the paper reported it, with its interval. Left of the dashed line favours the treatment, right favours the comparator. Under each row is the sentence it came from. New to these charts? A ten-minute tutorial.

The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.

2 · The registry

The trial behind it

Trials whose registry record cites this paper, or whose number appears in the abstract. A trial that started after this paper was published is citing it as background, not reporting it.

Neither the registry nor the abstract names a trial number. If this is a trial report, that itself is worth knowing.

3 · Its place in the literature

Who cites it

11 citing papers in PubMed, 1 synthesis or guideline pooled it.

  1. Pooled it
  2. Detecting changepoints in dynamical systems: Modeling time-varying transmission of seasonal influenza.Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences of the United States of America · 2026
    Article
  3. Article
  4. Origins of the problematic E in SEIR epidemic models.Infectious Disease Modelling · 2024
    Article
  5. Article
  6. Review
  7. Article
  8. Article
  9. Article
  10. Article
  11. Article
4 · The record

Corrections and comments

PubMed lists nothing against this paper. Absence here is not a guarantee, only a check that was made.

5 · Who and what money

Authors and funding

2 authors.

Gavin M AbernethyEngineering and Mathematics, Sheffield Hallam University, Sheffield, UK.ORCID 0000-0001-6983-6349
David H GlassUlster University, Jordanstown, UK.ORCID 0000-0002-6180-696X

Funding

No grant is acknowledged in the PubMed record.

6 · The paper itself

Abstract

An age-structured SEIR model simulates the propagation of COVID-19 in the population of Northern Ireland. It is used to identify optimal timings of short-term lockdowns that enable long-term pandemic exit strategies by clearing the threshold for herd immunity or achieving time for vaccine development with minimal excess deaths.

Indexed as

COVID-19Communicable Disease ControlHumansImmunity, HerdNorthern IrelandSARS-CoV-2compartmental modelepidemiologylockdown simulationSARS-CoV-2

Identifiers

PMID35259954
PMCPMC8905176

What OpenQuestion holds

Textmetadata
LicenceCC BY
Read underepoch 390

Registered trials

None linked

Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the OpenQuestion graph.