Evidence map›Paper›PMID 35258102›Full record

ArticleBiometrics2022

Spatial+: A novel approach to spatial confounding.

Emiko Dupont, Simon N Wood, Nicole H Augustin

Open access · hybridAbstract read
In one paragraph

Article in Biometrics, 2022. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Cited by 21 papers.

0numbers the graph read from it
0cells of the map it votes in
21citing papers in PubMed
15.6field-weighted citation impact, top 1% of its field
1 · What the graph read from it

What it found

Each row is one number read from the abstract, on the scale the paper reported it, with its interval. Left of the dashed line favours the treatment, right favours the comparator. Under each row is the sentence it came from. New to these charts? A ten-minute tutorial.

The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.

2 · The registry

The trial behind it

Trials whose registry record cites this paper, or whose number appears in the abstract. A trial that started after this paper was published is citing it as background, not reporting it.

Neither the registry nor the abstract names a trial number. If this is a trial report, that itself is worth knowing.

3 · Its place in the literature

Who cites it

21 citing papers in PubMed, 66 citations in OpenAlex.

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  11. A Bayesian spatial-temporal varying coefficients model for estimating excess deaths associated with respiratory infections.Journal of the Royal Statistical Society. Series A, (Statistics in Society) · 2025
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  18. Alleviating spatial confounding in frailty models.Biostatistics (Oxford, England) · 2023
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4 · The record

Corrections and comments

5 · Who and what money

Authors and funding

3 authors at 2 institutions in 1 country.

Emiko DupontDepartment of Mathematical Sciences, University of Bath, Bath, UK.ORCID 0000-0002-0824-4355
Simon N WoodSchool of Mathematics, University of Edinburgh, Edinburgh, UK.ORCID 0000-0002-2034-7453
Nicole H AugustinSchool of Mathematics, University of Edinburgh, Edinburgh, UK.ORCID 0000-0001-6644-3742
University of Edinburgh · GBUniversity of Bath · GB

Funding

Engineering and Physical Sciences Research Council EP/L015684/1
6 · The paper itself

Abstract

In spatial regression models, collinearity between covariates and spatial effects can lead to significant bias in effect estimates. This problem, known as spatial confounding, is encountered modeling forestry data to assess the effect of temperature on tree health. Reliable inference is difficult as results depend on whether or not spatial effects are included in the model. We propose a novel approach, spatial+, for dealing with spatial confounding when the covariate of interest is spatially dependent but not fully determined by spatial location. Using a thin plate spline model formulation we see that, in this case, the bias in covariate effect estimates is a direct result of spatial smoothing. Spatial+ reduces the sensitivity of the estimates to smoothing by replacing the covariates by their residuals after spatial dependence has been regressed away. Through asymptotic analysis we show that spatial+ avoids the bias problems of the spatial model. This is also demonstrated in a simulation study. Spatial+ is straightforward to implement using existing software and, as the response variable is the same as that of the spatial model, standard model selection criteria can be used for comparisons. A major advantage of the method is also that it extends to models with non-Gaussian response distributions. Finally, while our results are derived in a thin plate spline setting, the spatial+ methodology transfers easily to other spatial model formulations.

Indexed as

Models, StatisticalSpatial RegressionBiasComputer SimulationSoftwarebias reductioncollinearityforestrypartial thin plate spline regressionspatial confounding

Identifiers

PMID35258102
PMCPMC10084199
OpenAlexW3087395852

What OpenQuestion holds

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LicenceCC BY
Read underepoch 390

Registered trials

None linked

Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the OpenQuestion graph.