Evidence map›Paper›PMID 35257906›Full record

ArticleInternational journal of infectious diseases : IJID : official publication of the International Society for Infectious Diseases2022

Interpretation of Discrepancies between Cities in the Transmission of COVID-19: Evidence from China in the First Weeks of the Pandemic.

Zhao-Ge Liu, Xiang-Yang Li

Abstract read
In one paragraph

Article in International journal of infectious diseases : IJID : official publication of the International Society for Infectious Diseases, 2022. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Not yet cited in PubMed.

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1 · What the graph read from it

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2 · The registry

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3 · Its place in the literature

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4 · The record

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5 · Who and what money

Authors and funding

2 authors.

Zhao-Ge LiuNo. 422, Siming South Rd, School of Public Affairs, Xiamen University, Xiamen, 361005, China. Electronic address: zhaogeliu@xmu.edu.cn.
Xiang-Yang LiNo. 13, Fayuan Street, School of Management, Harbin Institute of Technology, Harbin 150001, China. Electronic address: xiangyangli@hit.edu.cn.

Funding

No grant is acknowledged in the PubMed record.

6 · The paper itself

Abstract

objectivesThis study aims to examine and explain the differences at city level in cumulative COVID-19 cases and time from first to last infection during the first 6 weeks of the epidemic in China.

methodsA quantitative study is conducted in China based on the multisource spatial data of 315 Chinese cities. Firstly, the spatial discrepancy of COVID-19 transmission was examined based on spatial autocorrelation analysis and hot pot analysis. Next, a comprehensive indicator framework was established by including a wide range of factors such as human mobility, geographical features, public health measures, and residents' awareness. Finally, multivariate regression models using these variables were constructed to identify the determinants of COVID-19 transmission.

resultsSignificant spatial discrepancy of transmission was proved, and 10 determinants were identified.

conclusionsThe transmission consequence (measured by the number of cumulative cases) was mostly correlated with the migration scale from Wuhan, followed by socioeconomic factors. Transmission duration (measured as the time from the first to last case within the city) was mostly determined by total migration scale and lockdown speed, which suggests that timely implementation of public health measures facilitated fast control of transmission. Residents' attention to COVID-19 was proved to be not only helpful for reducing confirmed cases, but also in favor of rapid transmission control. Altitude produced slight but significant effect on transmission duration. These conclusions are expected to provide decision support for the local governments of China and other jurisdictions.

Indexed as

COVID-19ChinaCitiesCommunicable Disease ControlHumansPandemicsSARS-CoV-2City-wide analysisCOVID-19 transmissionMultivariate regression modelSpatial discrepancySpatial statistical analysis

Identifiers

PMID35257906
PMCPMC8895725

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