ArticleEnvironmental research2022
Environmental factors and mobility predict COVID-19 seasonality in the Netherlands.
Article in Environmental research, 2022. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Cited by 11 papers, 1 of them a synthesis that pooled it.
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Who cites it
11 citing papers in PubMed, 1 synthesis or guideline pooled it, 22 citations in OpenAlex.
- Modelling the impact of behavioural interventions during pandemics: A systematic review.PloS one · 2025Pooled it
- Oscillating spatiotemporal patterns of COVID-19 in the United States.Scientific reports · 2024Article
- Study on the impact of meteorological factors on influenza in different periods and prediction based on artificial intelligence RF-Bi-LSTM algorithm: to compare the COVID-19 period with the non-COVID-19 period.BMC infectious diseases · 2024Article
- Environmental predictors of SARS-CoV-2 infection incidence in Catalonia (northwestern Mediterranean).Frontiers in public health · 2024Article
- Associations between meteorological factors and COVID-19: a global scoping review.Frontiers in public health · 2024Article
- Who Gets the Flu? Individualized Validation of Influenza-like Illness in Urban Spaces.International journal of environmental research and public health · 2023Article
- A Review of the Role of Pollen in COVID-19 Infection.International journal of environmental research and public health · 2023Review
- Common Pollen Modulate Immune Responses against Viral-Like Challenges in Airway Coculture Model.Journal of immunology research · 2023Article
- Synergistic influence of air temperature and vaccination on COVID-19 transmission and mortality in 146 countries or regions.Environmental research · 2022Article
- The environment, epidemics, and human health.Environmental research · 2022Article
- Genome Evolution and Early Introductions of the SARS-CoV-2 Omicron Variant in Mexico.Virus evolution · 2022Article
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Authors and funding
3 authors at 3 institutions in 1 country.
Funding
No grant is acknowledged in the PubMed record.
Abstract
backgroundWe recently showed that seasonal patterns of COVID-19 incidence and Influenza-Like Illnesses incidence are highly similar, in a country in the temperate climate zone, such as the Netherlands. We hypothesize that in The Netherlands the same environmental factors and mobility trends that are associated with the seasonality of flu-like illnesses are predictors of COVID-19 seasonality as well.
methodsWe used meteorological, pollen/hay fever and mobility data from the Netherlands. For the reproduction number of COVID-19 (R
resultsThrough stepwise backward multiple linear regression four highly significant (p < 0.01) predictive factors are selected in our combined model: temperature, solar radiation, hay fever incidence, and mobility to indoor recreation locations. Our combined model explains 87.5% of the variance of R
conclusionsWe conclude that the combined mobility and environmental model can adequately predict the seasonality of COVID-19 in a country with a temperate climate like the Netherlands. In this model higher solar radiation, higher temperature and hay fever are related to lower COVID-19 reproduction, and higher mobility to indoor recreation locations is related to an increased COVID-19 spread.
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