Evidence map›Paper›PMID 35257614›Full record

Trial reportClinical trials (London, England)2022

Random effect misspecification in stepped wedge designs.

Emily C Voldal, Fan Xia, Avi Kenny, Patrick J Heagerty, James P Hughes

Abstract readRandomized Controlled Trial
In one paragraph

Trial report in Clinical trials (London, England), 2022. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Cited by 3 papers.

0numbers the graph read from it
0cells of the map it votes in
3citing papers in PubMed
–field-weighted citation impact
1 · What the graph read from it

What it found

Each row is one number read from the abstract, on the scale the paper reported it, with its interval. Left of the dashed line favours the treatment, right favours the comparator. Under each row is the sentence it came from. New to these charts? A ten-minute tutorial.

The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.

2 · The registry

The trial behind it

Trials whose registry record cites this paper, or whose number appears in the abstract. A trial that started after this paper was published is citing it as background, not reporting it.

Neither the registry nor the abstract names a trial number. If this is a trial report, that itself is worth knowing.

3 · Its place in the literature

Who cites it

3 citing papers in PubMed.

  1. Article
  2. Article
  3. Article
4 · The record

Corrections and comments

PubMed lists nothing against this paper. Absence here is not a guarantee, only a check that was made.

5 · Who and what money

Authors and funding

5 authors.

Emily C VoldalDepartment of Biostatistics, University of Washington, Seattle, WA, USA.ORCID 0000-0001-5034-3157
Fan XiaDepartment of Epidemiology, University of Washington, Seattle, WA, USA.
Avi KennyDepartment of Biostatistics, University of Washington, Seattle, WA, USA.
Patrick J HeagertyDepartment of Biostatistics, University of Washington, Seattle, WA, USA.
James P HughesDepartment of Biostatistics, University of Washington, Seattle, WA, USA.

Funding

STATISTICAL ISSUES IN AIDS RESEARCHR37AI029168 · NIAID · UNIVERSITY OF WASHINGTON · PI JAMES P HUGHES · 1999 to 2026
$9.8M
STATISTICAL ISSUES IN AIDS RESEARCHR01AI029168 · NIAID · UNIVERSITY OF WASHINGTON · PI HUGHES, JAMES P · 1989 to 2018
$5.3M
NIAID NIH HHS R01 AI029168NIAID NIH HHS R37 AI029168
6 · The paper itself

Abstract

Stepped wedge cluster randomized trials are often analysed using linear mixed effects models that may include random effects for cluster, time and/or treatment. We investigate the impact of misspecification of the random effects structure of the model. Specifically, we considered two cases of misspecification of the random effects in a cross-sectional stepped wedge cluster randomized trials model - fit a linear mixed effects model with random time effects but the true model includes random treatment effects (case 1) or fit a linear mixed effects model with random treatment effect but the true model includes random time effects (case 2) - and derived the variance of the estimated treatment effect under misspecification. We defined two measures of the effect of misspecification: validity and efficiency. Validity is the ratio of the model-based variance of the treatment effect from the mis-specified model divided by the true variance of the treatment effect from the mis-specified model (based on a sandwich estimate of the variance). Efficiency is the ratio of the model-based variance of the treatment effect from the correctly specified model divided by the true variance of the treatment effect from the mis-specified model. We found that validity is less than 1.0 (anti-conservative) in almost all situations investigated with the exception of case 1 with two sequences, when validity could be greater than 1.0. Efficiency is less than 1 in all cases and depends on the intracluster correlation coefficient, the relative magnitude of the variance of the misclassified variance component, and the number of sequences. In general, there is no universal recommendation as to the most robust approach except for the case of a classic stepped wedge cluster randomized trial with only 2 sequences, where fitting a random time model is less likely to lead to anti-conservative inference compared with fitting a random intervention model.

Indexed as

Research DesignCluster AnalysisCross-Sectional StudiesHumansLinear ModelsSample Sizemodel misspecificationmodel selectionrandom effectsStepped wedgevariance estimation

Identifiers

PMID35257614
PMCPMC9378360

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Registered trials

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Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the OpenQuestion graph.