ArticleProceedings of the National Academy of Sciences of the United States of America2022
Early warning of the Indian Ocean Dipole using climate network analysis.
Article in Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences of the United States of America, 2022. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Cited by 3 papers.
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Who cites it
3 citing papers in PubMed.
- Fuels Mediate the Influence of Climate Teleconnections on Wildfires in Dryland Ecosystems.Global change biology · 2025Article
- A Holistic Approach to Cardiometabolic and Infectious Health in the General Population of Reunion Island: The REUNION Study.Journal of epidemiology and global health · 2024Article
- Arctic weather variability and connectivity.Nature communications · 2023Article
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Authors and funding
7 authors.
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Abstract
SignificanceThe Indian Ocean Dipole (IOD), an air-sea coupled phenomenon over the tropical Indian Ocean, has substantial impacts on the climate, ecosystems, and society. Due to the winter predictability barrier, however, a reliable prediction of the IOD has been limited to 3 or 4 mo in advance. Our work approaches this problem from a new data-driven perspective: the climate network analysis. Using this network-based method, an efficient early warning signal for the IOD event was revealed in boreal winter. Our approach can correctly predict the IOD events one calendar year in advance (from December of the previous year) with a hit rate of higher than 70%, which strongly outperforms current dynamic models.
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