Evidence map›Paper›PMID 35250112›Full record

ArticleJournal of urban economics2022

JUE Insight: The geographic spread of COVID-19 correlates with the structure of social networks as measured by Facebook.

Theresa Kuchler, Dominic Russel, Johannes Stroebel

Abstract read
In one paragraph

Article in Journal of urban economics, 2022. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Cited by 96 papers, 1 of them a synthesis that pooled it.

0numbers the graph read from it
0cells of the map it votes in
96citing papers in PubMed, 1 pooled it
–field-weighted citation impact
1 · What the graph read from it

What it found

Each row is one number read from the abstract, on the scale the paper reported it, with its interval. Left of the dashed line favours the treatment, right favours the comparator. Under each row is the sentence it came from. New to these charts? A ten-minute tutorial.

The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.

2 · The registry

The trial behind it

Trials whose registry record cites this paper, or whose number appears in the abstract. A trial that started after this paper was published is citing it as background, not reporting it.

Neither the registry nor the abstract names a trial number. If this is a trial report, that itself is worth knowing.

3 · Its place in the literature

Who cites it

96 citing papers in PubMed, 1 synthesis or guideline pooled it.

  1. A Review of Influencing Factors on Spatial Spread of COVID-19 Based on Geographical Perspective.International journal of environmental research and public health · 2021
    Pooled it
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  6. Socio-Spatial Patterns of Suicide Mortality in the United States.medRxiv : the preprint server for health sciences · 2025
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  8. Epidemic evolutionarily stable strategies within an age-structured host population.Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences of the United States of America · 2025
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  16. Optimal interventions in networks during a pandemic.Journal of population economics · 2023
    Article
  17. Article
  18. Article
  19. Spatial networks and the spread of COVID-19: results and policy implications from Germany.Jahrbuch fur Regionalwissenschaftt = Review of regional research · 2023
    Article
  20. Article

36 more citing papers are in PubMed but not listed here.

4 · The record

Corrections and comments

PubMed lists nothing against this paper. Absence here is not a guarantee, only a check that was made.

5 · Who and what money

Authors and funding

3 authors.

Theresa KuchlerNew York University, Stern School of Business, NBER, and CEPR.
Dominic RusselNew York University, Stern School of Business, NBER, and CEPR.
Johannes StroebelNew York University, Stern School of Business, NBER, and CEPR.

Funding

No grant is acknowledged in the PubMed record.

6 · The paper itself

Abstract

We use aggregated data from Facebook to show that COVID-19 is more likely to spread between regions with stronger social network connections. Areas with more social ties to two early COVID-19 "hotspots" (Westchester County, NY, in the U.S. and Lodi province in Italy) generally had more confirmed COVID-19 cases by the end of March. These relationships hold after controlling for geographic distance to the hotspots as well as the population density and demographics of the regions. As the pandemic progressed in the U.S., a county's social proximity to recent COVID-19 cases and deaths predicts future outbreaks over and above physical proximity and demographics. In part due to its broad coverage, social connectedness data provides additional predictive power to measures based on smartphone location or online search data. These results suggest that data from online social networks can be useful to epidemiologists and others hoping to forecast the spread of communicable diseases such as COVID-19.

Indexed as

Communicable diseaseCoronavirusCOVID-19Social connectedness

Identifiers

PMID35250112
PMCPMC8886493

What OpenQuestion holds

Textmetadata
Read underepoch 390

Registered trials

None linked

Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the OpenQuestion graph.