Evidence map›Paper›PMID 35246946›Full record

ArticleEcology letters2022

Tail-dependent spatial synchrony arises from nonlinear driver-response relationships.

Jonathan A Walter, Max C N Castorani, Tom W Bell, Lawrence W Sheppard, Kyle C Cavanaugh, Daniel C Reuman

Abstract readLetter
In one paragraph

Article in Ecology letters, 2022. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Cited by 5 papers.

0numbers the graph read from it
0cells of the map it votes in
5citing papers in PubMed
–field-weighted citation impact
1 · What the graph read from it

What it found

Each row is one number read from the abstract, on the scale the paper reported it, with its interval. Left of the dashed line favours the treatment, right favours the comparator. Under each row is the sentence it came from. New to these charts? A ten-minute tutorial.

The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.

2 · The registry

The trial behind it

Trials whose registry record cites this paper, or whose number appears in the abstract. A trial that started after this paper was published is citing it as background, not reporting it.

Neither the registry nor the abstract names a trial number. If this is a trial report, that itself is worth knowing.

3 · Its place in the literature

Who cites it

5 citing papers in PubMed.

  1. Geography of masting creates greater synchrony in seed scarcity than in seed abundance.Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences of the United States of America · 2025
    Article
  2. Review
  3. Spatial synchrony cascades across ecosystem boundaries and up food webs via resource subsidies.Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences of the United States of America · 2024
    Article
  4. Article
  5. Article
4 · The record

Corrections and comments

PubMed lists nothing against this paper. Absence here is not a guarantee, only a check that was made.

5 · Who and what money

Authors and funding

6 authors.

Jonathan A WalterDepartment of Environmental Sciences, University of Virginia, Charlottesville, Virginia, USA.ORCID https://orcid.org/0000-0003-2983-751X
Max C N CastoraniDepartment of Environmental Sciences, University of Virginia, Charlottesville, Virginia, USA.ORCID https://orcid.org/0000-0002-7372-9359
Tom W BellWoods Hole Oceanographic Institution, Woods Hole, Massachusetts, USA.
Lawrence W SheppardDepartment of Ecology and Evolutionary Biology and Center for Ecological Research and Kansas Biological Survey, University of Kansas, Lawrence, Kansas, USA.
Kyle C CavanaughDepartment of Geography, University of California, Los Angeles, Los Angeles, California, USA.
Daniel C ReumanDepartment of Ecology and Evolutionary Biology and Center for Ecological Research and Kansas Biological Survey, University of Kansas, Lawrence, Kansas, USA.ORCID https://orcid.org/0000-0002-1407-8947

Funding

Division of Ocean Sciences 1831937Division of Ocean Sciences 2023474Division of Ocean Sciences 2023523Division of Ocean Sciences 20235555Division of Ocean Sciences 2140335
6 · The paper itself

Abstract

Spatial synchrony may be tail-dependent, that is, stronger when populations are abundant than scarce, or vice-versa. Here, 'tail-dependent' follows from distributions having a lower tail consisting of relatively low values and an upper tail of relatively high values. We present a general theory of how the distribution and correlation structure of an environmental driver translates into tail-dependent spatial synchrony through a non-linear response, and examine empirical evidence for theoretical predictions in giant kelp along the California coastline. In sheltered areas, kelp declines synchronously (lower-tail dependence) when waves are relatively intense, because waves below a certain height do little damage to kelp. Conversely, in exposed areas, kelp is synchronised primarily by periods of calmness that cause shared recovery (upper-tail dependence). We find evidence for geographies of tail dependence in synchrony, which helps structure regional population resilience: areas where population declines are asynchronous may be more resilient to disturbance because remnant populations facilitate reestablishment.

Indexed as

GeraniaceaeKelpMacrocystisEcosystemGeographycopuladisturbancegiant kelpMacrocystis pyriferanutrientsstabilitysynchronywaves

Identifiers

PMID35246946
PMCPMC9543197

What OpenQuestion holds

Textmetadata
LicenceCC BY
Read underepoch 390

Registered trials

None linked

Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the OpenQuestion graph.