Evidence map›Paper›PMID 35244991›Full record

ArticleInvestigative and clinical urology2022

Incidence and mortality projections for major cancers among Korean men until 2034, with a focus on prostate cancer.

Sahyun Pak, Kyu-Won Jung, Eun-Hye Park, Young Hwii Ko, Young-Joo Won, Jae Young Joung

Abstract read
In one paragraph

Article in Investigative and clinical urology, 2022. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Cited by 10 papers.

0numbers the graph read from it
0cells of the map it votes in
10citing papers in PubMed
–field-weighted citation impact
1 · What the graph read from it

What it found

Each row is one number read from the abstract, on the scale the paper reported it, with its interval. Left of the dashed line favours the treatment, right favours the comparator. Under each row is the sentence it came from. New to these charts? A ten-minute tutorial.

The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.

2 · The registry

The trial behind it

Trials whose registry record cites this paper, or whose number appears in the abstract. A trial that started after this paper was published is citing it as background, not reporting it.

Neither the registry nor the abstract names a trial number. If this is a trial report, that itself is worth knowing.

3 · Its place in the literature

Who cites it

10 citing papers in PubMed.

  1. Article
  2. Article
  3. Article
  4. Review
  5. Article
  6. Article
  7. Article
  8. [Prostate Biopsy: General Consideration and Systematic Biopsy].Journal of the Korean Society of Radiology · 2023
    Review
  9. Article
  10. Article
4 · The record

Corrections and comments

PubMed lists nothing against this paper. Absence here is not a guarantee, only a check that was made.

5 · Who and what money

Authors and funding

6 authors.

Sahyun Pak *Department of Urology, Hallym University Kangnam Sacred Heart Hospital, College of Medicine, Hallym University, Seoul, Korea.ORCID 0000-0001-7015-4943
Kyu-Won Jung *Korea Central Cancer Registry, National Cancer Center, Goyang, Korea.ORCID 0000-0002-4389-9701
Eun-Hye ParkKorea Central Cancer Registry, National Cancer Center, Goyang, Korea.ORCID 0000-0002-8191-2807
Young Hwii KoDepartment of Urology, Yeungnam University College of Medicine, Daegu, Korea.ORCID 0000-0002-9150-4292
Young-Joo WonKorea Central Cancer Registry, National Cancer Center, Goyang, Korea.ORCID 0000-0001-9861-6740
Jae Young JoungDepartment of Urology, Center for Urologic Cancer, National Cancer Center, Goyang, Korea. urojy@ncc.re.kr.ORCID 0000-0003-2954-1663

Funding

No grant is acknowledged in the PubMed record.

6 · The paper itself

Abstract

purposeThe Korean population is rapidly aging, and the cancer burden is expected to change significantly. This study aimed to generate projections of incidence and mortality of major cancers among men in Korea until 2034, with a special focus on prostate cancer. MATERIALS AND

methodsCancer incidence data from 1999 to 2016 were obtained from the Korea National Cancer Incidence Database. Mortality data were obtained from Statistics Korea. The most common cancers among Korean men (stomach, colorectum, liver, lung and prostate) were analyzed. To predict the future trends of these cancers, the age-period-cohort method was conducted and extrapolated up to 2034.

resultsIn Korean men, prostate cancer was the fourth most commonly diagnosed cancer in 2016. Based on newly diagnosed cases, the leading cancer site in the year 2034 is expected to be the lung, and the prostate is expected to be the second most frequently diagnosed cancer among Korean men. Age-standardized incidence rates of the most common cancers in men, except prostate cancer, are expected to decrease until 2034. Lung cancer is projected to remain the most common cause of cancer-related mortality until 2034, and the highest estimated change in cancer deaths is expected to be for prostate cancer.

conclusionsIn Korea, the incidence and mortality of prostate cancer is expected to increase markedly in the period up to 2034, particularly in older men. Concerted efforts in screening, diagnosis, and treatment strategies should be considered by healthcare planners and providers.

Indexed as

Lung NeoplasmsNeoplasms, Second PrimaryProstatic NeoplasmsAgedHumansIncidenceMalePelvisProstateForecastingIncidenceMortalityProstate cancer

Identifiers

PMID35244991
PMCPMC8902420

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Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the OpenQuestion graph.